Serie B
· Regular Season - 38
May 08, 2026 20:30
A. Novakovich
(ast. M. Portanova)
76'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sampdoria a 35% win probability (draw 32%, Reggiana 31%). The final result was Reggiana 1–0 Sampdoria. In 1 previous meetings, Reggiana have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sampdoria.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
2
Shots on target
6
0.99
Actual xG
0.87
6
Saves
1
32%
Possession
68%
3
Corners
9
8
Tackles
6
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
F. Vicari
/ A. Papetti
10'
32'
F. Depaoli
C. Gondo
43'
M. Rover
/ A. Novakovich
46'
C. Gondo
/ N. Girma
57'
69'
S. Giordano
/
F. Depaoli
69'
E. Soleri
/
A. Barak
T. Reinhart
75'
⚽A. Novakovich
· ast. M. Portanova
76'
78'
S. Pafundi
/
M. Cicconi
T. Reinhart
/ F. Vallarelli
83'
M. Lambourde
/ M. Bertagnoli
83'
87'
A. Ferrari
/
D. Hadzikadunic
87'
T. Casalino
/
L. Henderson
Pre-match prediction
31.44%
Reggiana ←
32.66%
X
35.9%
Sampdoria
we assigned to the actual result (Reggiana)
31.44%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.80
0.99
+0.19
0.88
0.87
-0.01
xG dominance was balanced (0.99 – 0.87).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
A. Micai
G
3
D
47
Mateus Lusuardi
D
34
F. Vicari
10'
D
17
L. Libutti
D
16
T. Reinhart
83'
M
T. Reinhart
83'
M
23
M. Rover
45'
M
8
Charlys
M
90
M. Portanova
1 👟
M
93
M. Lambourde
83'
M
11
C. Gondo
57'
F
Bench
9
A. Novakovich
1 ⚽
45'
F
2
A. Papetti
80'
D
A. Papetti
80'
D
33
A. Tripaldelli
D
10
K. Bozhanaj
M
57
L. Belardinelli
M
26
M. Bertagnoli
14'
M
80
N. Girma
33'
F
77
T. Fumagalli
F
50
G
7
M. Cicconi
78'
D
2
M. Viti
D
17
D. Hadzikadunic
87'
D
13
M. Palma
D
16
L. Henderson
87'
M
L. Henderson
87'
M
94
S. Esposito
M
72
A. Barák
69'
M
A. Barák
69'
M
11
T. Begic
F
9
M. Coda
F
23
F. Depaoli
69'
F
F. Depaoli
69'
F
Bench
92
E. Soleri
21'
F
8
M. Ricci
M
21
S. Giordano
21'
D
Best on the pitch
A. Micai
G · Reggiana
8.20
· 31 pass
Charlys
M · Reggiana
7.70
1 shots
· 26 pass
M. Portanova
M · Reggiana
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 15 pass
A. Novakovich
F · Reggiana
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 8 pass
M. Lambourde
M · Reggiana
7.30
3 shots
· 21 pass
S. Esposito
M · Sampdoria
7.20
· 99 pass
Reggiana — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Micai | G | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 22% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — | |
| Mateus Lusuardi | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 29% | — | — | — |
| F. Vicari | D | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| L. Libutti | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| T. Reinhart | M | 83 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Rover | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Charlys | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Portanova | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Lambourde | M | 83 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Gondo | F | 57 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Novakovich | F | 45 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| A. Papetti | D | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Bertagnoli | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| N. Girma | F | 33 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
Sampdoria — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | — | — | — | |
| M. Cicconi | D | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Viti | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 92 | 90% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Hadzikadunic | D | 87 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 75 | 69% | — | — | — |
| M. Palma | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Henderson | M | 87 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 61 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Esposito | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 99 | 90% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Barák | M | 69 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 40 | 38% | — | — | — |
| T. Begic | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 48 | 39% | — | — | — |
| M. Coda | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
| F. Depaoli | F | 69 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| E. Soleri | F | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| S. Giordano | D | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Reggiana vs Sampdoria?
The final score was Reggiana 1–0 Sampdoria.
What did the model predict before Reggiana vs Sampdoria?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Reggiana win, 32% to a draw, and 35% to an Sampdoria win.