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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 2 August 30, 2026 17:15 Roazhon Park, Rennes
Rennes
#2 · 16 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Le Mans
#15 · 7 pts
E. Lepaul (ast. A. Thomasson) 5'
V. Rongier (ast. I. Soumare) 26'
E. Lepaul 90'+6 (pen.)
30' (ast. L. Calodat) L. Mafouta
(pen.) 54' L. Mafouta
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rennes a 39% win probability (draw 30%, Le Mans 30%). The final result was Rennes 3–2 Le Mans.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
9
8
Shots on target
5
2.66
Actual xG
2.99
3
Saves
5
64%
Possession
36%
8
Corners
6
5
Tackles
9
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽E. Lepaul · ast. A. Thomasson
5'
⚽V. Rongier · ast. I. Soumare
26'
30'
ast. L. Calodat · L. Mafouta⚽
I. Soumare
48'
54'
(pen.) L. Mafouta⚽
↕ S. Szymanski / M. Camara
60'
↕ I. Soumare / A. Nordin
60'
60'
J. Vercruysse / L. Bretelle ↕
66'
A. Lauray
68'
A. Rabillard / D. Gueye ↕
68'
D. Sidibe / L. Calodat ↕
68'
D. Sidibe
↕ V. Rongier / L. Blas
74'
↕ M. Tamari / E. Mayenda
74'
↕ Q. Merlin / M. Nagida
78'
81'
E. Hatfout / N. Kocik ↕
81'
M. Robin / A. Bourabaa ↕
⚽E. Lepaul (pen.)
90'+6
E. Lepaul
90'+6
A. Ait Boudlal
90'+12
90'+12
H. Voyer
Pre-match prediction
39.39%
Rennes ←
30.19%
X
30.41%
Le
we assigned to the actual result (Rennes) 39.39% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Rennes
0.93
2.66
+1.73
Le
1.84
2.99
+1.15
Le Mans dominated by xG (2.99 vs 2.66). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 8 17
2 Rennes Rennes 8 16
3 Lille Lille 8 15
4 Monaco Monaco 8 15
5 Lyon Lyon 8 14
6 Paris FC Paris FC 8 14
7 Lens Lens 8 13
8 Marseille Marseille 8 12
9 Lorient Lorient 8 12
10 Nice Nice 8 11
11 Toulouse Toulouse 8 10
12 Auxerre Auxerre 8 10
13 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 8 9
14 Angers Angers 8 8
15 Le Mans Le Mans 8 7
16 Strasbourg Strasbourg 8 7
17 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 8 5
18 Le Havre Le Havre 8 2
Lineups
Rennes Rennes 4-3-3
16 N. Lemaître N. Lemaître G 7.20
26 Q. Merlin Q. Merlin 78' D 6.60
48 A. Ait Boudlal A. Ait Boudlal D 7.20
4 C. Cresswell C. Cresswell D 6.60
95 P. Frankowski P. Frankowski D 6.30
28 A. Thomasson A. Thomasson 1 👟 M 7.20
21 V. Rongier V. Rongier 1 ⚽ 74' M 7.30
17 S. Szymański S. Szymański 60' M 6.50
90 I. Soumaré I. Soumaré 1 👟 60' F 7.00
9 E. Lepaul E. Lepaul 2 ⚽ F 8.20
11 Mousa Tamari Mousa Tamari 74' F 6.60
Bench
70 A. Nordin A. Nordin 30' F 6.30
24 A. Rouault A. Rouault D
14 B. Reynolds B. Reynolds D
12 Eliezer Mayenda Eliezer Mayenda 16' F 6.90
65 H. Do Marcolino H. Do Marcolino F
60 Kilian Belazzoug Kilian Belazzoug G
10 L. Blas L. Blas 16' F 7.20
45 M. Camara M. Camara 30' M 6.90
18 M. Nagida M. Nagida 12' D 6.90
Le Mans Le Mans 3-1-4-2
98 N. Kocik N. Kocik 81' G 7.50
5 H. Voyer H. Voyer D 6.30
21 Théo Eyoum Théo Eyoum D 6.30
15 N. Boissé N. Boissé D 5.90
8 A. Lauray A. Lauray M 6.30
22 L. Calodat L. Calodat 1 👟 68' M 8.00
11
Adil Bourabaa 81' M 6.60
29 L. Bretelle L. Bretelle 60' M 6.20
18 L. Buadés L. Buadés M 6.30
14 L. Mafouta L. Mafouta 2 ⚽ F 7.90
25 D. Guèye D. Guèye 68' F 6.20
Bench
9 A. Rabillard A. Rabillard 22' F 6.90
7 B. Brahimi B. Brahimi F
19 D. Sidibé D. Sidibé D
23 D. Traoré D. Traoré M
1 E. Hatfout E. Hatfout 9' G 6.30
10 J. Vercruysse J. Vercruysse 30' M 6.90
24 M. Robin M. Robin 9' M 6.50
16 Raúl Torrente Raúl Torrente D
20 W. Harhouz W. Harhouz F
Best on the pitch
E. Lepaul
E. Lepaul
F · Rennes
8.20
2 ⚽
6 shots · 14 pass
L. Calodat
L. Calodat
M · Le
8.00
1 👟
1 shots · 18 pass
L. Mafouta
L. Mafouta
F · Le
7.90
2 ⚽
3 shots · 14 pass
N. Kocik
N. Kocik
G · Le
7.50
· 31 pass
V. Rongier
V. Rongier
M · Rennes
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 42 pass
L. Blas
L. Blas
F · Rennes
7.20
2 shots · 13 pass
Rennes Rennes — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Lemaître G 90 7.20 — — — 16 11% — — —
Q. Merlin D 78 6.60 — — — 40 34% — — —
A. Ait Boudlal D 90 7.20 — — — 63 56% — 1 —
C. Cresswell D 90 6.60 — — 1 77 65% 1 — —
P. Frankowski D 90 6.30 — — — 75 62% — — —
A. Thomasson M 90 7.20 — 1 — 56 48% 1 — —
V. Rongier M 74 7.30 1 — 1 42 37% 1 — —
S. Szymański M 60 6.50 — — 1 19 15% — — —
I. Soumaré F 60 7.00 — 1 1 17 15% — 1 —
E. Lepaul F 90 8.20 2 — 6 14 11% — 1 —
Mousa Tamari F 74 6.60 — — 3 18 12% 1 — —
A. Nordin F 30 6.30 — — 1 9 8% — — —
Eliezer Mayenda F 16 6.90 — — — 10 8% — — —
L. Blas F 16 7.20 — — 2 13 13% 1 — —
M. Camara M 30 6.90 — — — 18 18% — — —
M. Nagida D 12 6.90 — — — 11 8% — — —
Le Mans Le Mans — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Kocik G 81 7.50 — — — 31 13% — — —
H. Voyer D 90 6.30 — — — 47 30% 2 1 —
Théo Eyoum D 90 6.30 — — — 25 23% — — —
N. Boissé D 90 5.90 — — — 22 18% 1 — —
A. Lauray M 90 6.30 — — 2 35 25% 1 1 —
L. Calodat M 68 8.00 — 1 1 18 13% 1 — —
Adil Bourabaa M 81 6.60 — — 1 17 17% — — —
L. Bretelle M 60 6.20 — — — 12 10% — — —
L. Buadés M 90 6.30 — — — 21 13% — — —
L. Mafouta F 90 7.90 2 — 3 14 10% — — —
D. Guèye F 68 6.20 — — 2 11 7% 1 — —
A. Rabillard F 22 6.90 — — — 2 2% 1 — —
E. Hatfout G 9 6.30 — — — 9 4% — — —
J. Vercruysse M 30 6.90 — — — 11 7% 2 — —
M. Robin M 9 6.50 — — — 5 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rennes vs Le Mans?
The final score was Rennes 3–2 Le Mans.
What did the model predict before Rennes vs Le Mans?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Rennes win, 30% to a draw, and 30% to an Le Mans win.