Rennes 2–1 OFI — pre-match prediction — Europa League — October 15, 2026

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Europa League · League Stage - 2 October 15, 2026 21:00 Roazhon Park, Rennes

Rennes

#13 · 5 pts

2 – 1

Final score

OFI

#26 · 3 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Rennes

Mahamadou Nagida 76'

Abdelhamid Aït Boudlal 90'

10' (ast. Nikolaos Athanasiou) Taxiarchis Fountas

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rennes a 56% win probability (draw 19%, OFI 23%). The final result was Rennes 2–1 OFI.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.79

Actual xG

0.12

Saves

67%

Possession

33%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

10'

ast. Nikolaos Athanasiou · Taxiarchis Fountas⚽

41'

Krešimir Krizmanić

45'

Giannis Apostolakis / Taxiarchis Fountas ↕

59'

Lorenzo Dickmann

Abdelhamid Aït Boudlal

67'

↕ Ludovic Blas / Eliezer Mayenda

67'

↕ Valentin Rongier / Boulaye Dia

67'

Zisis Karachalios / Andreas Bouchalakis ↕

68'

Aitor Cantalapiedra / Kenan Kodro ↕

⚽Mahamadou Nagida

76'

↕ Sebastian Szymański / Djaoui Cissé

77'

↕ Przemysław Frankowski / Bryan Reynolds

77'

↕ Mousa Al-Tamari / Issa Soumaré

77'

Mahdi Camara

78'

80'

Giannis Theodosoulakis / Thiago Nuss ↕

83'

Borja González / Lorenzo Dickmann ↕

⚽Abdelhamid Aït Boudlal

90'

Pre-match prediction

56.72%

Rennes ←

19.47%

23.81%

OFI

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Rennes) 56.72% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Rennes

2.21

1.79

-0.42

OFI

1.56

0.12

-1.44

Rennes dominated by xG (1.79 vs 0.12). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Benfica	3	9
2	Bayer Leverkusen	3	9
3	Bournemouth	3	9
4	Ferencvarosi TC	3	9
5	Olympiakos Piraeus	3	9
6	Union St. Gilloise	3	7
7	Juventus	3	7
8	Beşiktaş	3	7
9	Sunderland	3	7
10	AZ Alkmaar	3	6
11	Omonia Nicosia	3	6
12	Lyon	3	6
13	Rennes	3	5
14	Real Sociedad	3	4
15	Crystal Palace	3	4
16	Sparta Praha	3	4
17	Levski Sofia	3	4
18	Dinamo Zagreb	3	4
19	Sturm Graz	3	4
20	NEC Nijmegen	3	4
21	Red Bull Salzburg	3	4
22	Anderlecht	3	3
23	1899 Hoffenheim	3	3
24	AC Milan	3	3
25	Celta Vigo	3	3
26	OFI	3	3
27	Jagiellonia	3	3
28	Torreense	3	3
29	Celje	3	1
30	Hapoel Beer Sheva	3	1
31	Lillestrom	3	1
32	Lech Poznan	3	1
33	Plzen	3	0
34	Marseille	3	0
35	Celtic	3	0
36	Ararat-Armenia	3	0

Lineups

Rennes 4-3-3

B. Samba G 6.64

M. Nagida 1 ⚽ D 8.05

A. Ait Boudlal 1 ⚽ D 7.53

C. Cresswell D 7.87

P. Frankowski 77' D 7.48

M. Camara M 6.44

V. Rongier 67' M 6.79

S. Szymański 77' M 6.99

Mousa Tamari 77' F 6.32

E. Lepaul F 6.59

L. Blas 67' F 6.46

Bench

A. Nordin F 0.00

A. Rouault D 0.00

A. Thomasson M 0.00

B. Dia 23' F 6.67

B. Reynolds 13' D 6.41

D. Cissé 13' M 6.34

Eliezer Mayenda 23' F 7.05

Gonçalo Oliveira D 0.00

I. Soumaré 13' F 6.19

Kilian Belazzoug G 0.00

N. Lemaître G 0.00

Q. Merlin D 0.00

OFI 3-4-3

N. Christogeorgos G 6.92

K. Krizmanić D 5.84

D. Nikolaou D 6.38

A. Poungouras D 6.49

N. Athanasiou 1 👟 M 6.65

A. Bouchalakis 67' M 6.25

T. Androutsos M 5.78

L. Dickmann 83' M 6.03

T. Nuss 80' F 6.01

K. Kodro 68' F 6.11

T. Fountas 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.62

Bench

Aitor Cantalapiedra 22' F 6.12

Borja González 7' D 6.45

G. Apostolakis 45' M 6.41

G. Kanellópoulos M 0.00

G. Theodosoulakis 10' F 5.93

K. Kostoulas D 0.00

K. Lilo G 0.00

Pavlos Kenourgiakis D 0.00

P. Katsikas G 0.00

Thanasis Sitmalidis F 0.00

T. Romano F 0.00

Z. Karachalios 23' M 6.24

Best on the pitch

M. Nagida

D · Rennes

8.05

1 ⚽

5 shots · 57 pass

C. Cresswell

D · Rennes

7.87

2 shots · 79 pass

T. Fountas

F · OFI

7.62

1 ⚽

1 shots · 8 pass

A. Ait Boudlal

D · Rennes

7.53

1 ⚽

3 shots · 63 pass

P. Frankowski

D · Rennes

7.48

1 shots · 49 pass

Eliezer Mayenda

F · Rennes

7.05

2 shots · 4 pass

Rennes — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
B. Samba	G	90	6.64	—	—	0	23	20%	0	—	—
M. Nagida	D	90	8.05	1	—	5	57	52%	2	—	—
A. Ait Boudlal	D	90	7.53	1	—	3	63	57%	0	1	—
C. Cresswell	D	90	7.87	—	—	2	79	69%	5	—	—
P. Frankowski	D	77	7.48	—	—	1	49	42%	3	—	—
M. Camara	M	90	6.44	—	—	1	52	47%	3	1	—
V. Rongier	M	67	6.79	—	—	2	71	63%	2	—	—
S. Szymański	M	77	6.99	—	—	1	43	39%	1	—	—
Mousa Tamari	F	77	6.32	—	—	2	26	22%	1	—	—
E. Lepaul	F	90	6.59	—	—	3	24	22%	0	—	—
L. Blas	F	67	6.46	—	—	1	29	25%	1	—	—
B. Dia	F	23	6.67	—	—	0	3	2%	1	—	—
B. Reynolds	D	13	6.41	—	—	0	9	8%	0	—	—
D. Cissé	M	13	6.34	—	—	1	6	5%	0	—	—
Eliezer Mayenda	F	23	7.05	—	—	2	4	1%	0	—	—
I. Soumaré	F	13	6.19	—	—	1	6	6%	1	—	—

OFI — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
N. Christogeorgos	G	90	6.92	—	—	0	33	9%	0	—	—
K. Krizmanić	D	90	5.84	—	—	0	28	20%	0	1	—
D. Nikolaou	D	90	6.38	—	—	0	31	23%	0	—	—
A. Poungouras	D	90	6.49	—	—	0	19	15%	1	—	—
N. Athanasiou	M	90	6.65	—	1	0	27	19%	3	—	—
A. Bouchalakis	M	67	6.25	—	—	0	22	18%	1	—	—
T. Androutsos	M	90	5.78	—	—	0	23	16%	2	—	—
L. Dickmann	M	83	6.03	—	—	0	14	9%	3	1	—
T. Nuss	F	80	6.01	—	—	0	16	11%	2	—	—
K. Kodro	F	68	6.11	—	—	0	15	11%	0	—	—
T. Fountas	F	45	7.62	1	—	1	8	7%	1	—	—
Aitor Cantalapiedra	F	22	6.12	—	—	0	5	3%	0	—	—
Borja González	D	7	6.45	—	—	1	0	0%	0	—	—
G. Apostolakis	M	45	6.41	—	—	0	10	5%	3	—	—
G. Theodosoulakis	F	10	5.93	—	—	0	5	4%	0	—	—
Z. Karachalios	M	23	6.24	—	—	0	9	9%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Rennes vs OFI?

The final score was Rennes 2–1 OFI.

What did the model predict before Rennes vs OFI?

The model assigned 56% probability to a Rennes win, 19% to a draw, and 23% to an OFI win.