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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 33 May 10, 2026 21:00 Roazhon Park, Rennes
Rennes
#6 · 59 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Paris FC
#11 · 44 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Rennes
E. Lepaul (ast. Q. Merlin) 74'
B. Embolo (ast. A. Nordin) 75'
53' W. Geubbels
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rennes a 58% win probability (draw 19%, Paris FC 21%). The final result was Rennes 2–1 Paris FC. In 1 previous meetings, Rennes have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Paris FC.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
6
5
Shots on target
1
1.95
Actual xG
1.18
0
Saves
3
51%
Possession
49%
8
Corners
2
14
Tackles
12
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
46'
M. Lopez / I. Kebbal ↕
53'
W. Geubbels⚽
↕ L. Blas / B. Embolo
66'
↕ S. Szymanski / A. Nordin
67'
71'
C. Immobile / W. Geubbels ↕
⚽E. Lepaul · ast. Q. Merlin
74'
⚽B. Embolo · ast. A. Nordin
75'
↕ M. Nagida / A. Seidu
76'
76'
A. Camara / H. Traore ↕
77'
J. Ikone / A. Gory ↕
83'
V. Marchetti / P. Lees-Melou ↕
↕ E. Lepaul / D. Cisse
87'
89'
C. Immobile
Pre-match prediction
58.16%
Rennes ←
19.91%
X
21.94%
Paris
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Rennes) 58.16% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Rennes
2.83
1.95
-0.88
Paris
1.79
1.18
-0.61
Rennes dominated by xG (1.95 vs 1.18). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Rodez Rodez 1 3
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 34 76
2 Lens Lens 34 70
2 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 1 0
3 Lille Lille 34 61
4 Lyon Lyon 34 60
5 Marseille Marseille 34 59
6 Rennes Rennes 34 59
7 Monaco Monaco 34 54
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 34 53
9 Lorient Lorient 34 45
10 Toulouse Toulouse 33 44
11 Paris FC Paris FC 34 44
12 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 34 39
13 Angers Angers 34 36
14 Le Havre Le Havre 34 35
15 Auxerre Auxerre 34 34
16 Nice Nice 34 32
17 Nantes Nantes 33 23
18 Metz Metz 34 17
Lineups
Rennes Rennes 4-3-3
30 Brice Samba Brice Samba G 6.50
26 Q. Merlin Q. Merlin 1 👟 D 7.20
24 Anthony Rouault Anthony Rouault D 6.30
48 Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal D 7.30
18 Mahamadou Nagida Mahamadou Nagida 76' D 7.20
45 M. Camara M. Camara M 7.00
21 Valentin Rongier Valentin Rongier M 6.60
17
Sebastian Szymański 67' M 7.30
10 Ludovic Blas Ludovic Blas 66' F 7.70
9 E. Lepaul E. Lepaul 1 ⚽ 87' F 7.60
11 Mousa Tamari Mousa Tamari F 6.60
Bench
36 Alidu Seidu Alidu Seidu 14' D 6.90
70 Arnaud Nordin Arnaud Nordin 1 👟 24' F 6.90
7 B. Embolo B. Embolo 1 ⚽ 23' F 7.60
6 Djaoui Cissé Djaoui Cissé 10' M 6.30
4 Glen Kamara Glen Kamara M
60 Kilian Belazzoug Kilian Belazzoug G
3 Lilian Brassier Lilian Brassier D
65 Nordan Mukiele Nordan Mukiele F
77 Yassir Zabiri Yassir Zabiri F
Paris FC Paris FC 4-2-3-1
35 Kevin Trapp Kevin Trapp G 7.60
19 Nhoa Sangui Nhoa Sangui D 6.70
5 Moustapha Mbow Moustapha Mbow D 6.30
42 D. Coppola D. Coppola D 6.70
14 Hamari Traoré Hamari Traoré 76' D 6.90
23 Rudy Matondo Rudy Matondo M 6.20
33 Pierre Lees Melou Pierre Lees Melou 83' M 6.60
24 Luca Koleosho Luca Koleosho M 6.30
10 I. Kebbal I. Kebbal 45' M 6.60
7 Alimami Gory Alimami Gory 77' M 6.30
9 Willem Geubbels Willem Geubbels 1 ⚽ 71' F 7.20
Bench
17 A. Camara A. Camara 14' M 7.60
36 C. Immobile C. Immobile 19' F 5.70
93 J. Ikoné J. Ikoné 13' F 6.60
18
Marshall Munetsi M
21 M. Lopez M. Lopez 45' M 6.20
27 Moses Simon Moses Simon F
16 Obed Nkambadio Obed Nkambadio G
6 Otávio Otávio D
4 Vincent Marchetti Vincent Marchetti 14' M 6.60
Best on the pitch
Ludovic Blas
Ludovic Blas
F · Rennes
7.70
1 shots · 27 pass
A. Camara
A. Camara
M · Paris
7.60
· 11 pass
E. Lepaul
E. Lepaul
F · Rennes
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots · 22 pass
B. Embolo
B. Embolo
F · Rennes
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 5 pass
Kevin Trapp
Kevin Trapp
G · Paris
7.60
· 41 pass
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal
D · Rennes
7.30
2 shots · 40 pass
Rennes Rennes — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Brice Samba G 90 6.50 — — — 33 27% — — —
Q. Merlin D 90 7.20 — 1 1 46 32% 3 — —
Anthony Rouault D 90 6.30 — — 1 54 47% — — —
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal D 90 7.30 — — 2 40 32% 1 — —
Mahamadou Nagida D 76 7.20 — — — 44 34% 1 — —
M. Camara M 90 7.00 — — — 29 22% 3 — —
Valentin Rongier M 90 6.60 — — — 55 47% 1 — —
Sebastian Szymański M 67 7.30 — — 1 26 18% 2 — —
Ludovic Blas F 66 7.70 — — 1 27 20% 1 — —
E. Lepaul F 87 7.60 1 — 3 22 17% 1 — —
Mousa Tamari F 90 6.60 — — 2 28 22% — — —
Alidu Seidu D 14 6.90 — — — 8 7% — — —
Arnaud Nordin F 24 6.90 — 1 1 7 5% — — —
B. Embolo F 23 7.60 1 — 1 5 3% 1 — —
Djaoui Cissé M 10 6.30 — — — 1 — — — —
Paris FC Paris FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Kevin Trapp G 90 7.60 — — — 41 21% — — —
Nhoa Sangui D 90 6.70 — — — 26 23% 2 — —
Moustapha Mbow D 90 6.30 — — — 51 48% — — —
D. Coppola D 90 6.70 — — — 60 54% — — —
Hamari Traoré D 76 6.90 — — — 37 33% 1 — —
Rudy Matondo M 90 6.20 — — — 26 23% 1 — —
Pierre Lees Melou M 83 6.60 — — 1 35 26% 2 — —
Luca Koleosho M 90 6.30 — — 1 27 23% 3 — —
I. Kebbal M 45 6.60 — — — 24 21% — — —
Alimami Gory M 77 6.30 — — — 15 10% 2 — —
Willem Geubbels F 71 7.20 1 — 2 11 4% — — —
A. Camara M 14 7.60 — — — 11 9% 1 — —
C. Immobile F 19 5.70 — — 1 6 3% — 1 —
J. Ikoné F 13 6.60 — — — 10 8% — — —
M. Lopez M 45 6.20 — — 1 31 21% — — —
Vincent Marchetti M 14 6.60 — — — 8 8% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rennes vs Paris FC?
The final score was Rennes 2–1 Paris FC.
What did the model predict before Rennes vs Paris FC?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Rennes win, 19% to a draw, and 21% to an Paris FC win.