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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 33 May 10, 2026 21:00 Roazhon Park, Rennes
Rennes
#5 · 10 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Paris FC
#3 · 11 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Rennes
E. Lepaul (ast. Q. Merlin) 74'
B. Embolo (ast. A. Nordin) 75'
53' W. Geubbels
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rennes a 58% win probability (draw 19%, Paris FC 21%). The final result was Rennes 2–1 Paris FC. In 1 previous meetings, Rennes have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Paris FC.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
6
5
Shots on target
1
1.95
Actual xG
1.18
0
Saves
3
51%
Possession
49%
8
Corners
2
14
Tackles
12
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
46'
M. Lopez / I. Kebbal ↕
53'
W. Geubbels⚽
↕ L. Blas / B. Embolo
66'
↕ S. Szymanski / A. Nordin
67'
71'
C. Immobile / W. Geubbels ↕
⚽E. Lepaul · ast. Q. Merlin
74'
⚽B. Embolo · ast. A. Nordin
75'
↕ M. Nagida / A. Seidu
76'
76'
A. Camara / H. Traore ↕
77'
J. Ikone / A. Gory ↕
83'
V. Marchetti / P. Lees-Melou ↕
↕ E. Lepaul / D. Cisse
87'
89'
C. Immobile
Pre-match prediction
58.16%
Rennes ←
19.91%
X
21.94%
Paris
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Rennes) 58.16% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Rennes
2.83
1.95
-0.88
Paris
1.79
1.18
-0.61
Rennes dominated by xG (1.95 vs 1.18). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Monaco Monaco 5 13
2 Lyon Lyon 5 11
3 Paris FC Paris FC 5 11
4 Lille Lille 5 10
5 Rennes Rennes 5 10
6 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 5 8
7 Angers Angers 5 7
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 5 7
9 Le Mans Le Mans 5 6
10 Auxerre Auxerre 5 6
11 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 5 5
12 Lorient Lorient 5 5
13 Toulouse Toulouse 5 5
14 Nice Nice 5 5
15 Lens Lens 5 4
16 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 5 4
17 Marseille Marseille 5 3
18 Le Havre Le Havre 5 2
Lineups
Rennes Rennes 4-3-3
30 B. Samba B. Samba G 6.50
26 Q. Merlin Q. Merlin 1 👟 D 7.20
24 A. Rouault A. Rouault D 6.30
48 A. Ait Boudlal A. Ait Boudlal D 7.30
18 M. Nagida M. Nagida 76' D 7.20
45 M. Camara M. Camara M 7.00
21 V. Rongier V. Rongier M 6.60
17 S. Szymański S. Szymański 67' M 7.30
10 L. Blas L. Blas 66' F 7.70
9 E. Lepaul E. Lepaul 1 ⚽ 87' F 7.60
11 Mousa Tamari Mousa Tamari F 6.60
Bench
70 A. Nordin A. Nordin 1 👟 24' F 6.90
36 A. Seidu A. Seidu 14' D 6.90
7 B. Embolo B. Embolo 1 ⚽ 23' F 7.60
6 Djaoui Cissé Djaoui Cissé 10' M 6.30
4 G. Kamara G. Kamara M
60 Kilian Belazzoug Kilian Belazzoug G
3 L. Brassier L. Brassier D
77 M. Zabiri M. Zabiri F
65 N. Mukiele N. Mukiele F
Paris FC Paris FC 4-2-3-1
35 K. Trapp K. Trapp G 7.60
19 Nhoa Sangui Nhoa Sangui D 6.70
5 M. Mbow M. Mbow D 6.30
42 D. Coppola D. Coppola D 6.70
14 H. Traoré H. Traoré 76' D 6.90
23 R. Matondo R. Matondo M 6.20
33 P. Lees-Melou P. Lees-Melou 83' M 6.60
24 L. Koleosho L. Koleosho M 6.30
10 I. Kebbal I. Kebbal 45' M 6.60
7 A. Gory A. Gory 77' M 6.30
9 Willem Geubbels Willem Geubbels 1 ⚽ 71' F 7.20
Bench
17 A. Camara A. Camara 14' M 7.60
36 C. Immobile C. Immobile 19' F 5.70
93 J. Ikoné J. Ikoné 13' F 6.60
21 M. Lopez M. Lopez 45' M 6.20
18 M. Munetsi M. Munetsi M
27 M. Simon M. Simon F
16 O. Nkambadio O. Nkambadio G
6 Otávio Otávio D
4 V. Marchetti V. Marchetti 14' M 6.60
Best on the pitch
L. Blas
L. Blas
F · Rennes
7.70
1 shots · 27 pass
A. Camara
A. Camara
M · Paris
7.60
· 11 pass
E. Lepaul
E. Lepaul
F · Rennes
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots · 22 pass
B. Embolo
B. Embolo
F · Rennes
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 5 pass
K. Trapp
K. Trapp
G · Paris
7.60
· 41 pass
A. Ait Boudlal
A. Ait Boudlal
D · Rennes
7.30
2 shots · 40 pass
Rennes Rennes — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Samba G 90 6.50 — — — 33 27% — — —
Q. Merlin D 90 7.20 — 1 1 46 32% 3 — —
A. Rouault D 90 6.30 — — 1 54 47% — — —
A. Ait Boudlal D 90 7.30 — — 2 40 32% 1 — —
M. Nagida D 76 7.20 — — — 44 34% 1 — —
M. Camara M 90 7.00 — — — 29 22% 3 — —
V. Rongier M 90 6.60 — — — 55 47% 1 — —
S. Szymański M 67 7.30 — — 1 26 18% 2 — —
L. Blas F 66 7.70 — — 1 27 20% 1 — —
E. Lepaul F 87 7.60 1 — 3 22 17% 1 — —
Mousa Tamari F 90 6.60 — — 2 28 22% — — —
A. Nordin F 24 6.90 — 1 1 7 5% — — —
A. Seidu D 14 6.90 — — — 8 7% — — —
B. Embolo F 23 7.60 1 — 1 5 3% 1 — —
Djaoui Cissé M 10 6.30 — — — 1 — — — —
Paris FC Paris FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Trapp G 90 7.60 — — — 41 21% — — —
Nhoa Sangui D 90 6.70 — — — 26 23% 2 — —
M. Mbow D 90 6.30 — — — 51 48% — — —
D. Coppola D 90 6.70 — — — 60 54% — — —
H. Traoré D 76 6.90 — — — 37 33% 1 — —
R. Matondo M 90 6.20 — — — 26 23% 1 — —
P. Lees-Melou M 83 6.60 — — 1 35 26% 2 — —
L. Koleosho M 90 6.30 — — 1 27 23% 3 — —
I. Kebbal M 45 6.60 — — — 24 21% — — —
A. Gory M 77 6.30 — — — 15 10% 2 — —
Willem Geubbels F 71 7.20 1 — 2 11 4% — — —
A. Camara M 14 7.60 — — — 11 9% 1 — —
C. Immobile F 19 5.70 — — 1 6 3% — 1 —
J. Ikoné F 13 6.60 — — — 10 8% — — —
M. Lopez M 45 6.20 — — 1 31 21% — — —
V. Marchetti M 14 6.60 — — — 8 8% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rennes vs Paris FC?
The final score was Rennes 2–1 Paris FC.
What did the model predict before Rennes vs Paris FC?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Rennes win, 19% to a draw, and 21% to an Paris FC win.