← Ligue 1
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 33 May 10, 2026 21:00
Rennes
#5 · 59 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Paris FC
#11 · 41 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Rennes
E. Lepaul (ast. Q. Merlin) 74'
B. Embolo (ast. A. Nordin) 75'
53' W. Geubbels

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rennes a 58% win probability (draw 19%, Paris FC 21%). The final result was Rennes 2–1 Paris FC. In 1 previous meetings, Rennes have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Paris FC.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
6
5
Shots on target
1
1.95
Actual xG
1.18
0
Saves
3
51%
Possession
49%
8
Corners
2
14
Tackles
12
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
46'
M. Lopez / I. Kebbal ↕
53'
W. Geubbels⚽
↕ L. Blas / B. Embolo
66'
↕ S. Szymanski / A. Nordin
67'
71'
C. Immobile / W. Geubbels ↕
⚽E. Lepaul · ast. Q. Merlin
74'
⚽B. Embolo · ast. A. Nordin
75'
↕ M. Nagida / A. Seidu
76'
76'
A. Camara / H. Traore ↕
77'
J. Ikone / A. Gory ↕
83'
V. Marchetti / P. Lees-Melou ↕
↕ E. Lepaul / D. Cisse
87'
89'
C. Immobile
Pre-match prediction
58.16%
Rennes ←
19.91%
X
21.94%
Paris
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Rennes) 58.16% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Rennes
2.83
1.95
-0.88
Paris
1.79
1.18
-0.61
Rennes dominated by xG (1.95 vs 1.18). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 33 76
1 Rodez Rodez 1 3
2 Lens Lens 33 67
2 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 1 0
3 Lille Lille 33 61
4 Lyon Lyon 33 60
5 Rennes Rennes 33 59
6 Marseille Marseille 33 56
7 Monaco Monaco 33 54
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 33 50
9 Lorient Lorient 33 45
10 Toulouse Toulouse 33 44
11 Paris FC Paris FC 33 41
12 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 33 38
13 Angers Angers 33 35
14 Le Havre Le Havre 33 32
15 Auxerre Auxerre 33 31
16 Nice Nice 33 31
17 Nantes Nantes 33 23
18 Metz Metz 33 16
Lineups
Rennes Rennes 4-3-3
30 Brice Samba Brice Samba G 6.50
26 Q. Merlin Q. Merlin 1 👟 D 7.20
24 Anthony Rouault Anthony Rouault D 6.30
48 Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal D 7.30
18 Mahamadou Nagida Mahamadou Nagida 76' D 7.20
45 Mahdi Camara Mahdi Camara M 7.00
21 Valentin Rongier Valentin Rongier M 6.60
17 Sebastian Szymański Sebastian Szymański 67' M 7.30
10 Ludovic Blas Ludovic Blas 66' F 7.70
9 E. Lepaul E. Lepaul 1 ⚽ 87' F 7.60
11 Mousa Tamari Mousa Tamari F 6.60
Bench
36 Alidu Seidu Alidu Seidu 14' D 6.90
70 Arnaud Nordin Arnaud Nordin 1 👟 24' F 6.90
7 B. Embolo B. Embolo 1 ⚽ 23' F 7.60
6 Djaoui Cissé Djaoui Cissé 10' M 6.30
4 Glen Kamara Glen Kamara M
60 Kilian Belazzoug Kilian Belazzoug G
3 Lilian Brassier Lilian Brassier D
65 Nordan Mukiele Nordan Mukiele F
77 Yassir Zabiri Yassir Zabiri F
Paris FC Paris FC 4-2-3-1
35 Kevin Trapp Kevin Trapp G 7.60
19 Nhoa Sangui Nhoa Sangui D 6.70
5 Moustapha Mbow Moustapha Mbow D 6.30
42 Diego Coppola Diego Coppola D 6.70
14 Hamari Traoré Hamari Traoré 76' D 6.90
23 Rudy Matondo Rudy Matondo M 6.20
33 Pierre Lees Melou Pierre Lees Melou 83' M 6.60
24 Luca Koleosho Luca Koleosho M 6.30
10 I. Kebbal I. Kebbal 45' M 6.60
7 Alimami Gory Alimami Gory 77' M 6.30
9 Willem Geubbels Willem Geubbels 1 ⚽ 71' F 7.20
Bench
17 A. Camara A. Camara 14' M 7.60
36 Ciro Immobile Ciro Immobile 19' F 5.70
93 J. Ikoné J. Ikoné 13' F 6.60
18 Marshall Munetsi Marshall Munetsi M
21 M. Lopez M. Lopez 45' M 6.20
27 Moses Simon Moses Simon F
16 Obed Nkambadio Obed Nkambadio G
6 Otávio Otávio D
4 Vincent Marchetti Vincent Marchetti 14' M 6.60
Best on the pitch
Ludovic Blas
Ludovic Blas
F · Rennes
7.70
1 shots · 27 pass
A. Camara
A. Camara
M · Paris
7.60
· 11 pass
E. Lepaul
E. Lepaul
F · Rennes
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots · 22 pass
B. Embolo
B. Embolo
F · Rennes
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 5 pass
Kevin Trapp
Kevin Trapp
G · Paris
7.60
· 41 pass
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal
D · Rennes
7.30
2 shots · 40 pass
Rennes Rennes — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Brice Samba G 90 6.50 — — — 33 27% — — —
Q. Merlin D 90 7.20 — 1 1 46 32% 3 — —
Anthony Rouault D 90 6.30 — — 1 54 47% — — —
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal D 90 7.30 — — 2 40 32% 1 — —
Mahamadou Nagida D 76 7.20 — — — 44 34% 1 — —
Mahdi Camara M 90 7.00 — — — 29 22% 3 — —
Valentin Rongier M 90 6.60 — — — 55 47% 1 — —
Sebastian Szymański M 67 7.30 — — 1 26 18% 2 — —
Ludovic Blas F 66 7.70 — — 1 27 20% 1 — —
E. Lepaul F 87 7.60 1 — 3 22 17% 1 — —
Mousa Tamari F 90 6.60 — — 2 28 22% — — —
Alidu Seidu D 14 6.90 — — — 8 7% — — —
Arnaud Nordin F 24 6.90 — 1 1 7 5% — — —
B. Embolo F 23 7.60 1 — 1 5 3% 1 — —
Djaoui Cissé M 10 6.30 — — — 1 — — — —
Paris FC Paris FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Kevin Trapp G 90 7.60 — — — 41 21% — — —
Nhoa Sangui D 90 6.70 — — — 26 23% 2 — —
Moustapha Mbow D 90 6.30 — — — 51 48% — — —
Diego Coppola D 90 6.70 — — — 60 54% — — —
Hamari Traoré D 76 6.90 — — — 37 33% 1 — —
Rudy Matondo M 90 6.20 — — — 26 23% 1 — —
Pierre Lees Melou M 83 6.60 — — 1 35 26% 2 — —
Luca Koleosho M 90 6.30 — — 1 27 23% 3 — —
I. Kebbal M 45 6.60 — — — 24 21% — — —
Alimami Gory M 77 6.30 — — — 15 10% 2 — —
Willem Geubbels F 71 7.20 1 — 2 11 4% — — —
A. Camara M 14 7.60 — — — 11 9% 1 — —
Ciro Immobile F 19 5.70 — — 1 6 3% — 1 —
J. Ikoné F 13 6.60 — — — 10 8% — — —
M. Lopez M 45 6.20 — — 1 31 21% — — —
Vincent Marchetti M 14 6.60 — — — 8 8% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rennes vs Paris FC?
The final score was Rennes 2–1 Paris FC.
What did the model predict before Rennes vs Paris FC?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Rennes win, 19% to a draw, and 21% to an Paris FC win.