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Rep. Of Ireland - Austria

UEFA Nations League October 01, 2026 20:45 Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata
Rep. Of Ireland
#3 · 0 pts
vs
Austria
#2 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
76.76%
Win
Rep. Of Ireland
12.08%
Draw
11.16%
Win
Austria
3.27
Expected xG
1.07
Most likely outcome
Rep. Of Ireland
76.76%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 2 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 3–1 (8.29%)
1X2 Result
1 77%
X 12%
2 11%
Double Chance
1X 89%
X2 23%
12 88%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 93%
Over 2.5 84%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Rep. Of Ireland a 76% win probability, against 12% for a draw and 11% for Austria. Expected goals are 3.3 for Rep. Of Ireland and 1.1 for Austria (total 4.3), with a 92% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–1 at 8.29% probability.

Season Stats

Rep. Of Ireland
4W 0D 4L
Austria
3W 3D 2L
Averages per game
0.9
Goals
1.9
1.8
Conceded
1.0
3.3
Shots OT
5.8
3.1
Corners
4.8
41%
Poss.
65%
Percentages
88%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
38%
38%
BTTS
63%
13%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ Based on the last 8 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
38%
BTTS
Rep. Of Ireland
2W 0D 2L · at home
Austria
1W 1D 2L · away
0.8
gls/g
1.0
1.2
Conceded
1.2
50%
Win %
25%
50%
Win or Draw
50%
75%
O 1.5
100%
25%
O 2.5
25%
0%
O 3.5
0%
25%
BTTS
50%
25%
Clean Sht
25%
50%
Failed to Score
25%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Rep. Of Ireland Austria →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.3% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% —
1 4.3% 4.6% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
2 7.0% 7.5% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.6% 8.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
4 6.2% 6.6% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
5 4.0% 4.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% —

Recent form

Rep. Of Ireland Rep. Of Ireland
W Bulgaria 2–1
W Bulgaria 1–2
L England 5–0
W Finland 1–0
L Greece 2–0
Austria Austria
L Serbia 2–0
D Serbia 1–1
D Slovenia 1–1
W Kazakhstan 0–2
W Norway 5–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 18%

Playing profile

Rep. Of Ireland Rep. Of Ireland
Attack
40
Defence
84
Form
46
Austria Austria
Attack
31
Defence
58
Form
41
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

UEFA Nations League , League B, Group 3

# Team G Pts
1 Israel Israel 0 0
2 Austria Austria 0 0
3 Rep. Of Ireland Rep. Of Ireland 0 0
4 Kosovo Kosovo 0 0

What's at stake · UEFA Nations League , League B, Group 3

Top 2 advance to the next round

Rep. Of Ireland Austria
Current #3 #2
→ Rep. Of Ireland #1 #3
→ Draw #2 #1
→ Austria #3 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Rep. Of Ireland vs Austria?
The model gives Rep. Of Ireland a 76% win probability, 12% for a draw, and 11% for an Austria win.
How many goals are expected in Rep. Of Ireland vs Austria?
Expected goals: Rep. Of Ireland 3.3, Austria 1.1 (total 4.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 92%.
What is the most likely score in Rep. Of Ireland vs Austria?
3–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.29%.