USL Championship
· Group Stage
May 03, 2026 01:30
Leo Afonso
(ast. C. Holstad)
17'
3'
(ast. D. McCartney)
S. Tregarthen
49'
P. Kavita
57'
(ast. S. Tregarthen)
R. Damus
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rhode Island a 43% win probability (draw 27%, Birmingham Legion 28%). The final result was Rhode Island 1–3 Birmingham Legion.
Match statistics
Match Events
3'
ast. D. McCartney ·
S. Tregarthen⚽
⚽Leo Afonso
· ast. C. Holstad
17'
K. Yao
45'+1
H. Bacharach Capdevila
47'
49'
P. Kavita⚽
57'
ast. S. Tregarthen ·
R. Damus⚽
H. Bacharach Capdevila
/ Z. Herivaux
67'
K. Yao
/ N. Scardina
67'
A. Rodriguez
/ D. Atkinson
67'
74'
S. Ngoma
/
G. Diarbian
A. Sanchez
/ L. Dorsey
77'
79'
S. Antwi
J. Kwizera
80'
C. Holstad
/ A. Shapiro-Thompson
85'
85'
R. Williams
/
R. Damus
90'+1
K. Cole
/
P. Vassell
Pre-match prediction
43.93%
Rhode
27.91%
X
28.16%
Birmingham ←
we assigned to the actual result (Birmingham Legion)
28.16%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.13
—
—
1.55
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion?
The final score was Rhode Island 1–3 Birmingham Legion.
What did the model predict before Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Rhode Island win, 27% to a draw, and 28% to an Birmingham Legion win.