USL Championship
· Group Stage
September 06, 2026 01:30
S. Korzeniowski
(ast. J. Kwizera)
48'
(pen.)
18'
S. Totsch
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rhode Island a 41% win probability (draw 28%, Louisville City 30%). The final result was Rhode Island 1–1 Louisville City. In 1 previous meetings, Rhode Island have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Louisville City.
Match statistics
Match Events
18'
(pen.)
S. Totsch⚽
K. Yao
/ O. Foyo
46'
⚽S. Korzeniowski
· ast. J. Kwizera
48'
50'
A. McFadden
51'
Q. Huerman
56'
E. Perez
/
S. Gleadle
56'
T. Davila
/
K. Lambert
56'
J. Morris
/
B. Dayes
63'
S. Totsch
K. Smith
66'
Y. Tsukada
/ A. Rodriguez
69'
A. Shapiro-Thompson
/ E. Klein
69'
69'
R. Schewe
/
D. Faundez
Leo Afonso
/ D. Atkinson
81'
81'
C. Donovan
/
T. Showunmi
G. Stoneman
/ A. Sanchez
89'
90'+5
E. Davila
J. Kwizera
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
41.01%
Rhode
28.11%
X ←
30.88%
Louisville
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
28.11%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.15
—
—
0.98
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rhode Island vs Louisville City?
The final score was Rhode Island 1–1 Louisville City.
What did the model predict before Rhode Island vs Louisville City?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Rhode Island win, 28% to a draw, and 30% to an Louisville City win.