USL Championship
· Group Stage
August 23, 2026 01:30
✓Model correct — prediction Rhode Island
Leo Afonso
5'
H. Bacharach Capdevila
(ast. Y. Tsukada)
66'
G. Stoneman
83'
16'
(ast. I. Paul)
S. Lletget
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rhode Island a 61% win probability (draw 22%, Monterey Bay 15%). The final result was Rhode Island 3–1 Monterey Bay.
Match statistics
Match Events
⚽Leo Afonso
5'
16'
ast. I. Paul ·
S. Lletget⚽
22'
Z. Farnsworth
A. Sanchez
25'
42'
D. Otoya
55'
W. Leggett
/
D. Otoya
59'
Q. Elliot
⚽H. Bacharach Capdevila
· ast. Y. Tsukada
66'
70'
F. Barajas
/
O. Glasgow
A. Rodriguez
/ N. Fuson
72'
Y. Tsukada
/ D. Atkinson
72'
A. Shapiro-Thompson
76'
77'
F. Barajas
A. Shapiro-Thompson
/ E. Klein
80'
Leo Afonso
/ O. Foyo
80'
⚽G. Stoneman
83'
84'
Jacob Montes
/
S. Lletget
N. Scardina
/ D. Rovira
89'
90'+2
W. Leggett
E. Klein
90'
Pre-match prediction
61.95%
Rhode ←
22.5%
X
15.55%
Monterey
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Rhode Island)
61.95%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.65
—
—
0.68
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rhode Island vs Monterey Bay?
The final score was Rhode Island 3–1 Monterey Bay.
What did the model predict before Rhode Island vs Monterey Bay?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Rhode Island win, 22% to a draw, and 15% to an Monterey Bay win.