Ried 2–0 FC BW Linz — pre-match prediction — Bundesliga — May 02, 2026

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Bundesliga · Relegation Group - 30 May 02, 2026 17:00

Ried

#8 · 5 pts

2 – 0

Final score

FC BW Linz

A. Bajic (ast. K. Mutandwa) 29'

K. Mutandwa 80' (pen.)

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC BW Linz a 43% win probability (draw 23%, Ried 33%). The final result was Ried 2–0 FC BW Linz. In 3 previous meetings, Ried have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC BW Linz.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.93

Actual xG

0.72

Saves

50%

Possession

50%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽A. Bajic · ast. K. Mutandwa

29'

A. Bajic

33'

M. Senft

45'

J. Boguo

45'

↕ J. Nasrawe / J. Mayer

58'

↕ N. Bajlicz / M. Rasner

58'

↕ J. Boguo / F. Rossdorfer

58'

67'

I. Dahlqvist / D. Reiter ↕

71'

S. Seidl

76'

M. Fofana / S. Seidl ↕

77'

D. Bumberger / S. Pirkl ↕

77'

F. Strauss

⚽K. Mutandwa (pen.)

80'

↕ A. Bajic / D. Kirnbauer

82'

83'

P. Mensah / Ronivaldo ↕

83'

Joao Luiz / N. Maier ↕

↕ K. Mutandwa / S. Sane

89'

O. Steurer

89'

Pre-match prediction

33.55%

Ried ←

23.26%

43.19%

we assigned to the actual result (Ried) 33.55% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Ried

1.56

1.93

+0.37

2.17

0.72

-1.45

Ried dominated by xG (1.93 vs 0.72). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Lask Linz	5	15
2	Red Bull Salzburg	6	14
3	Rapid Vienna	5	12
4	Sturm Graz	5	8
5	WSG Wattens	5	7
6	TSV Hartberg	5	6
7	Wolfsberger AC	5	5
8	Ried	6	5
9	Austria Lustenau	5	5
10	Grazer AK	5	4
11	SCR Altach	5	3
12	Austria Vienna	5	3

Lineups

Ried 4-2-3-1

A. Leitner G 7.20

O. Steurer D 6.90

D 7.20

N. Havenaar D 8.50

P. Pomer D 7.20

N. Bajlicz 59' M 6.70

Y. Maart M 7.70

J. Boguo 59' M 6.20

J. Nasrawe 59' M 6.70

A. Bajić 1 ⚽ 83' M 8.00

K. Mutandwa 1 ⚽ 1 👟 89' F 7.20

Bench

Fabian Rossdorfer 35' M 6.30

Jonas Mayer 35' M 6.90

M. Rasner 35' M 6.60

P. Kiedl F

FC BW Linz 3-5-2

G 6.70

Fabio Strauss D 6.30

D 5.70

A. Pašić D 6.50

S. Pirkl 77' M 6.30

A. Briedl M 6.50

S. Seidl 77' M 6.60

N. Maier 84' M 6.60

Dominik Reiter 68' M 6.20

S. Weissman F 6.30

Ronivaldo 84' F 6.20

Bench

C. Cvetko M

David Bumberger 17' D 6.30

I. Dahlqvist 26' M 6.70

M. Moormann D

Best on the pitch

N. Havenaar

D · Ried

8.50

1 shots · 34 pass

A. Bajić

M · Ried

8.00

1 ⚽

2 shots · 14 pass

Y. Maart

M · Ried

7.70

· 36 pass

A. Leitner

G · Ried

7.20

· 30 pass

D · Ried

7.20

· 23 pass

P. Pomer

D · Ried

7.20

· 31 pass

Ried — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
A. Leitner	G	94	7.20	—	—	—	30	15%	—	—	—
O. Steurer	D	94	6.90	—	—	—	41	29%	—	1	—
	D	94	7.20	—	—	—	23	20%	3	—	—
N. Havenaar	D	94	8.50	—	—	1	34	25%	—	—	—
P. Pomer	D	94	7.20	—	—	—	31	23%	1	—	—
N. Bajlicz	M	59	6.70	—	—	1	23	19%	—	—	—
Y. Maart	M	94	7.70	—	—	—	36	30%	2	—	—
J. Boguo	M	59	6.20	—	—	1	10	6%	1	1	—
J. Nasrawe	M	59	6.70	—	—	—	25	19%	1	—	—
A. Bajić	M	83	8.00	1	—	2	14	11%	1	1	—
K. Mutandwa	F	89	7.20	1	1	4	12	7%	—	—	—
Fabian Rossdorfer	M	35	6.30	—	—	1	11	5%	—	—	—
Jonas Mayer	M	35	6.90	—	—	—	4	3%	2	—	—
M. Rasner	M	35	6.60	—	—	—	13	5%	2	—	—

FC BW Linz — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	94	6.70	—	—	—	33	19%	—	—	—
Fabio Strauss	D	94	6.30	—	—	—	39	26%	3	1	—
	D	94	5.70	—	—	—	35	22%	—	—	—
A. Pašić	D	94	6.50	—	—	—	30	21%	4	—	—
S. Pirkl	M	77	6.30	—	—	—	26	16%	2	—	—
A. Briedl	M	94	6.50	—	—	—	20	14%	1	—	—
S. Seidl	M	77	6.60	—	—	—	18	16%	1	1	—
N. Maier	M	84	6.60	—	—	—	27	19%	4	—	—
Dominik Reiter	M	68	6.20	—	—	1	19	12%	—	—	—
S. Weissman	F	94	6.30	—	—	5	16	11%	—	—	—
Ronivaldo	F	84	6.20	—	—	3	13	9%	—	—	—
David Bumberger	D	17	6.30	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—
I. Dahlqvist	M	26	6.70	—	—	—	6	4%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Ried vs FC BW Linz?

The final score was Ried 2–0 FC BW Linz.

What did the model predict before Ried vs FC BW Linz?

The model assigned 33% probability to a Ried win, 23% to a draw, and 43% to an FC BW Linz win.