Bundesliga
· Relegation Group - 30
May 02, 2026 17:00
A. Bajic
(ast. K. Mutandwa)
29'
K. Mutandwa
80'
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC BW Linz a 43% win probability (draw 23%, Ried 33%). The final result was Ried 2–0 FC BW Linz. In 3 previous meetings, Ried have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC BW Linz.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
5
1.93
Actual xG
0.72
5
Saves
2
50%
Possession
50%
5
Corners
8
13
Tackles
16
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽A. Bajic
· ast. K. Mutandwa
29'
A. Bajic
33'
M. Senft
45'
J. Boguo
45'
J. Nasrawe
/ J. Mayer
58'
N. Bajlicz
/ M. Rasner
58'
J. Boguo
/ F. Rossdorfer
58'
67'
I. Dahlqvist
/
D. Reiter
71'
S. Seidl
76'
M. Fofana
/
S. Seidl
77'
D. Bumberger
/
S. Pirkl
77'
F. Strauss
⚽K. Mutandwa
(pen.)
80'
A. Bajic
/ D. Kirnbauer
82'
83'
P. Mensah
/
Ronivaldo
83'
Joao Luiz
/
N. Maier
K. Mutandwa
/ S. Sane
89'
O. Steurer
89'
Pre-match prediction
33.55%
Ried ←
23.26%
X
43.19%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (Ried)
33.55%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.56
1.93
+0.37
2.17
0.72
-1.45
Ried dominated by xG (1.93 vs 0.72).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Andreas Leitner
G
Andreas Leitner
G
30
Oliver Steurer
D
Oliver Steurer
D
23
D
5
N. Havenaar
D
N. Havenaar
D
17
Philipp Pomer
D
Philipp Pomer
D
28
Nicolas Bajlicz
59'
M
Nicolas Bajlicz
59'
M
6
Yusuf Maart
M
Yusuf Maart
M
15
Joris Boguo
59'
M
Joris Boguo
59'
M
19
Jussef Nasrawe
59'
M
Jussef Nasrawe
59'
M
12
A. Bajić
1 ⚽
83'
M
A. Bajić
1 ⚽
83'
M
7
K. Mutandwa
1 ⚽
1 👟
89'
F
K. Mutandwa
1 ⚽
1 👟
89'
F
Bench
18
Fabian Rossdorfer
35'
M
Fabian Rossdorfer
35'
M
26
Jonas Mayer
35'
M
Jonas Mayer
35'
M
8
Martin Rasner
35'
M
Martin Rasner
35'
M
13
P. Kiedl
F
58
G
2
Fabio Strauss
D
Fabio Strauss
D
15
D
17
A. Pašić
D
A. Pašić
D
60
S. Pirkl
77'
M
S. Pirkl
77'
M
19
Alexander Briedl
M
Alexander Briedl
M
20
Simon Seidl
77'
M
Simon Seidl
77'
M
30
Nico Maier
84'
M
Nico Maier
84'
M
29
Dominik Reiter
68'
M
Dominik Reiter
68'
M
18
Shon Weissman
F
9
Ronivaldo
84'
F
Ronivaldo
84'
F
Bench
14
Christopher Cvetko
M
Christopher Cvetko
M
23
David Bumberger
17'
D
David Bumberger
17'
D
5
Isak Dahlqvist
26'
M
16
Martin Moormann
D
Best on the pitch
N. Havenaar
D · Ried
8.50
1 shots
· 34 pass
A. Bajić
M · Ried
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
Yusuf Maart
M · Ried
7.70
· 36 pass
Andreas Leitner
G · Ried
7.20
· 30 pass
D · Ried
7.20
· 23 pass
Philipp Pomer
D · Ried
7.20
· 31 pass
Ried — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Leitner | G | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Oliver Steurer | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 29% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 3 | — | — | |
| N. Havenaar | D | 94 | 8.50 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Philipp Pomer | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolas Bajlicz | M | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Yusuf Maart | M | 94 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Joris Boguo | M | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jussef Nasrawe | M | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bajić | M | 83 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Mutandwa | F | 89 | 7.20 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Fabian Rossdorfer | M | 35 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Jonas Mayer | M | 35 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Martin Rasner | M | 35 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
FC BW Linz — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Fabio Strauss | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 26% | 3 | 1 | — |
| D | 94 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| A. Pašić | D | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 21% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Pirkl | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Alexander Briedl | M | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Simon Seidl | M | 77 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Nico Maier | M | 84 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| Dominik Reiter | M | 68 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Shon Weissman | F | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 5 | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Ronivaldo | F | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| David Bumberger | D | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Isak Dahlqvist | M | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ried vs FC BW Linz?
The final score was Ried 2–0 FC BW Linz.
What did the model predict before Ried vs FC BW Linz?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Ried win, 23% to a draw, and 43% to an FC BW Linz win.