Bundesliga
· Relegation Group - 30
May 02, 2026 17:00
A. Bajic
(ast. K. Mutandwa)
29'
K. Mutandwa
80'
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC BW Linz a 43% win probability (draw 23%, Ried 33%). The final result was Ried 2–0 FC BW Linz. In 3 previous meetings, Ried have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC BW Linz.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
5
1.93
Actual xG
0.72
5
Saves
2
50%
Possession
50%
5
Corners
8
13
Tackles
16
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽A. Bajic
· ast. K. Mutandwa
29'
A. Bajic
33'
M. Senft
45'
J. Boguo
45'
J. Nasrawe
/ J. Mayer
58'
N. Bajlicz
/ M. Rasner
58'
J. Boguo
/ F. Rossdorfer
58'
67'
I. Dahlqvist
/
D. Reiter
71'
S. Seidl
76'
M. Fofana
/
S. Seidl
77'
D. Bumberger
/
S. Pirkl
77'
F. Strauss
⚽K. Mutandwa
(pen.)
80'
A. Bajic
/ D. Kirnbauer
82'
83'
P. Mensah
/
Ronivaldo
83'
Joao Luiz
/
N. Maier
K. Mutandwa
/ S. Sane
89'
O. Steurer
89'
Pre-match prediction
33.55%
Ried ←
23.26%
X
43.19%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (Ried)
33.55%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.56
1.93
+0.37
2.17
0.72
-1.45
Ried dominated by xG (1.93 vs 0.72).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
A. Leitner
G
A. Leitner
G
30
O. Steurer
D
O. Steurer
D
23
D
5
Nikki Havenaar
D
Nikki Havenaar
D
17
P. Pomer
D
P. Pomer
D
28
N. Bajlicz
59'
M
N. Bajlicz
59'
M
6
Y. Maart
M
Y. Maart
M
15
J. Boguo
59'
M
J. Boguo
59'
M
19
J. Nasrawe
59'
M
J. Nasrawe
59'
M
12
A. Bajić
1 ⚽
83'
M
A. Bajić
1 ⚽
83'
M
7
K. Mutandwa
1 ⚽
1 👟
89'
F
K. Mutandwa
1 ⚽
1 👟
89'
F
Bench
18
F. Rossdorfer
35'
M
F. Rossdorfer
35'
M
26
Jonas Mayer
35'
M
Jonas Mayer
35'
M
8
M. Rasner
35'
M
M. Rasner
35'
M
13
P. Kiedl
F
58
G
2
Fabio Strauss
D
Fabio Strauss
D
15
D
17
A. Pašić
D
A. Pašić
D
60
S. Pirkl
77'
M
S. Pirkl
77'
M
19
A. Briedl
M
A. Briedl
M
20
S. Seidl
77'
M
S. Seidl
77'
M
30
N. Maier
84'
M
N. Maier
84'
M
29
Dominik Reiter
68'
M
Dominik Reiter
68'
M
18
S. Weissman
F
S. Weissman
F
9
Ronivaldo
84'
F
Ronivaldo
84'
F
Bench
14
C. Cvetko
M
C. Cvetko
M
23
David Bumberger
17'
D
David Bumberger
17'
D
5
I. Dahlqvist
26'
M
I. Dahlqvist
26'
M
16
M. Moormann
D
M. Moormann
D
Best on the pitch
Nikki Havenaar
D · Ried
8.50
1 shots
· 34 pass
A. Bajić
M · Ried
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
Y. Maart
M · Ried
7.70
· 36 pass
A. Leitner
G · Ried
7.20
· 30 pass
D · Ried
7.20
· 23 pass
P. Pomer
D · Ried
7.20
· 31 pass
Ried — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Leitner | G | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 15% | — | — | — |
| O. Steurer | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 29% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 3 | — | — | |
| Nikki Havenaar | D | 94 | 8.50 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 25% | — | — | — |
| P. Pomer | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Bajlicz | M | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Y. Maart | M | 94 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Boguo | M | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Nasrawe | M | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bajić | M | 83 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Mutandwa | F | 89 | 7.20 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| F. Rossdorfer | M | 35 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Jonas Mayer | M | 35 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Rasner | M | 35 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
FC BW Linz — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Fabio Strauss | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 26% | 3 | 1 | — |
| D | 94 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| A. Pašić | D | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 21% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Pirkl | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Briedl | M | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Seidl | M | 77 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Maier | M | 84 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| Dominik Reiter | M | 68 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 12% | — | — | — |
| S. Weissman | F | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 5 | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Ronivaldo | F | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| David Bumberger | D | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| I. Dahlqvist | M | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ried vs FC BW Linz?
The final score was Ried 2–0 FC BW Linz.
What did the model predict before Ried vs FC BW Linz?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Ried win, 23% to a draw, and 43% to an FC BW Linz win.