Bundesliga
· Relegation Group - 28
April 21, 2026 20:30
A. Bajic
(ast. A. Leitner)
28'
K. Mutandwa
(ast. A. Bajic)
35'
67'
(ast. D. Frieser)
M. Grosse
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ried a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Grazer AK 31%). The final result was Ried 2–1 Grazer AK. In 3 previous meetings, Ried have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Grazer AK.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
2
2.22
Actual xG
0.53
1
Saves
4
50%
Possession
50%
5
Corners
4
9
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
12'
T. Koch
⚽A. Bajic
· ast. A. Leitner
28'
⚽K. Mutandwa
· ast. A. Bajic
35'
38'
L. Klassen
38'
M. Olesen
45'+1
D. Pines
46'
M. Kreuzriegler
/
L. Vraa-Jensen
46'
D. Frieser
/
M. Bagrationi
46'
M. Satin
/
C. Lichtenberger
62'
M. Grosse
/
A. Hofleitner
67'
ast. D. Frieser ·
M. Grosse⚽
J. Nasrawe
/ J. Mayer
72'
N. Bajlicz
/ M. Rasner
72'
75'
T. Paumgartner
/
T. Koch
A. van Wyk
/ E. E. Aisowieren
78'
A. Bajic
83'
M. Rasner
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
37.78%
Ried ←
31.13%
X
31.09%
Grazer
we assigned to the actual result (Ried)
37.78%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.06
2.22
+1.16
1.04
0.53
-0.51
Ried dominated by xG (2.22 vs 0.53).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Andreas Leitner
1 👟
G
Andreas Leitner
1 👟
G
30
Oliver Steurer
D
Oliver Steurer
D
23
D
5
N. Havenaar
D
N. Havenaar
D
28
N. Bajlicz
72'
M
N. Bajlicz
72'
M
6
Yusuf Maart
M
Yusuf Maart
M
17
Philipp Pomer
M
Philipp Pomer
M
29
Antonio Van Wyk
78'
F
Antonio Van Wyk
78'
F
19
Jussef Nasrawe
72'
M
Jussef Nasrawe
72'
M
12
A. Bajić
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
A. Bajić
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
7
K. Mutandwa
1 ⚽
F
K. Mutandwa
1 ⚽
F
Bench
47
Evan Eghosa
12'
M
Evan Eghosa
12'
M
26
Jonas Mayer
18'
M
Jonas Mayer
18'
M
15
Joris Boguo
F
Joris Boguo
F
8
Martin Rasner
18'
M
Martin Rasner
18'
M
13
P. Kiedl
F
12
Franz Stolz
G
Franz Stolz
G
3
Ludwig Vraa-Jensen
45'
D
Ludwig Vraa-Jensen
45'
D
2
Donovan Pines
D
Donovan Pines
D
82
B. Owusu
D
B. Owusu
D
6
Mathias Olesen
M
Mathias Olesen
M
23
45'
M
10
Christian Lichtenberger
45'
M
Christian Lichtenberger
45'
M
8
T. Koch
75'
M
T. Koch
75'
M
32
Leon Klassen
M
Leon Klassen
M
22
R. Harakaté
F
R. Harakaté
F
25
Alexander Hofleitner
62'
F
Alexander Hofleitner
62'
F
Bench
11
Mark Große
1 ⚽
28'
F
Mark Große
1 ⚽
28'
F
4
M. Kreuzriegler
45'
D
M. Kreuzriegler
45'
D
7
Murat Satin
45'
M
Murat Satin
45'
M
Best on the pitch
A. Bajić
F · Ried
9.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 23 pass
Franz Stolz
G · Grazer
7.90
· 41 pass
N. Havenaar
D · Ried
7.50
· 44 pass
Antonio Van Wyk
F · Ried
7.30
1 shots
· 15 pass
Mark Große
F · Grazer
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 12 pass
N. Bajlicz
M · Ried
7.20
1 shots
· 40 pass
Ried — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Leitner | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 40 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Oliver Steurer | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 28% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 37% | 1 | — | — | |
| N. Havenaar | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 44 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Bajlicz | M | 72 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 34% | 5 | — | — |
| Yusuf Maart | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Philipp Pomer | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Antonio Van Wyk | F | 78 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Jussef Nasrawe | M | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 30% | — | — | — |
| A. Bajić | F | 90 | 9.70 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Mutandwa | F | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Evan Eghosa | M | 12 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Jonas Mayer | M | 18 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Martin Rasner | M | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
Grazer AK — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franz Stolz | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Ludwig Vraa-Jensen | D | 45 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Donovan Pines | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | — | 1 | — |
| B. Owusu | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| Mathias Olesen | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| Christian Lichtenberger | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Koch | M | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| Leon Klassen | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 34% | 5 | 1 | — |
| R. Harakaté | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Alexander Hofleitner | F | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 1% | 2 | — | — |
| Mark Große | F | 28 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Kreuzriegler | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Murat Satin | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ried vs Grazer AK?
The final score was Ried 2–1 Grazer AK.
What did the model predict before Ried vs Grazer AK?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Ried win, 31% to a draw, and 31% to an Grazer AK win.