Bundesliga
· Relegation Group - 28
April 21, 2026 20:30
A. Bajic
(ast. A. Leitner)
28'
K. Mutandwa
(ast. A. Bajic)
35'
67'
(ast. D. Frieser)
M. Grosse
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ried a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Grazer AK 31%). The final result was Ried 2–1 Grazer AK. In 4 previous meetings, Ried have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Grazer AK.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
2
2.22
Actual xG
0.53
1
Saves
4
50%
Possession
50%
5
Corners
4
9
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
12'
T. Koch
⚽A. Bajic
· ast. A. Leitner
28'
⚽K. Mutandwa
· ast. A. Bajic
35'
38'
L. Klassen
38'
M. Olesen
45'+1
D. Pines
46'
M. Kreuzriegler
/
L. Vraa-Jensen
46'
D. Frieser
/
M. Bagrationi
46'
M. Satin
/
C. Lichtenberger
62'
M. Grosse
/
A. Hofleitner
67'
ast. D. Frieser ·
M. Grosse⚽
J. Nasrawe
/ J. Mayer
72'
N. Bajlicz
/ M. Rasner
72'
75'
T. Paumgartner
/
T. Koch
A. van Wyk
/ E. E. Aisowieren
78'
A. Bajic
83'
M. Rasner
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
37.78%
Ried ←
31.13%
X
31.09%
Grazer
we assigned to the actual result (Ried)
37.78%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.06
2.22
+1.16
1.04
0.53
-0.51
Ried dominated by xG (2.22 vs 0.53).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
A. Leitner
1 👟
G
A. Leitner
1 👟
G
30
O. Steurer
D
O. Steurer
D
23
D
5
Nikki Havenaar
D
Nikki Havenaar
D
28
N. Bajlicz
72'
M
N. Bajlicz
72'
M
6
Y. Maart
M
Y. Maart
M
17
P. Pomer
M
P. Pomer
M
29
A. Van Wyk
78'
F
A. Van Wyk
78'
F
19
J. Nasrawe
72'
M
J. Nasrawe
72'
M
12
A. Bajić
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
A. Bajić
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
7
K. Mutandwa
1 ⚽
F
K. Mutandwa
1 ⚽
F
Bench
47
Evan Eghosa Aisowieren
12'
M
Evan Eghosa Aisowieren
12'
M
15
J. Boguo
F
J. Boguo
F
26
Jonas Mayer
18'
M
Jonas Mayer
18'
M
8
M. Rasner
18'
M
M. Rasner
18'
M
13
P. Kiedl
F
12
F. Stolz
G
F. Stolz
G
3
L. Vraa-Jensen
45'
D
L. Vraa-Jensen
45'
D
2
D. Pines
D
D. Pines
D
82
B. Owusu
D
B. Owusu
D
6
M. Olesen
M
M. Olesen
M
23
45'
M
10
C. Lichtenberger
45'
M
C. Lichtenberger
45'
M
8
T. Koch
75'
M
T. Koch
75'
M
32
L. Klassen
M
L. Klassen
M
22
R. Harakaté
F
R. Harakaté
F
25
A. Hofleitner
62'
F
A. Hofleitner
62'
F
Bench
11
M. Große
1 ⚽
28'
F
M. Große
1 ⚽
28'
F
4
M. Kreuzriegler
45'
D
M. Kreuzriegler
45'
D
7
M. Şatin
45'
M
M. Şatin
45'
M
Best on the pitch
A. Bajić
F · Ried
9.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 23 pass
F. Stolz
G · Grazer
7.90
· 41 pass
Nikki Havenaar
D · Ried
7.50
· 44 pass
A. Van Wyk
F · Ried
7.30
1 shots
· 15 pass
M. Große
F · Grazer
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 12 pass
N. Bajlicz
M · Ried
7.20
1 shots
· 40 pass
Ried — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Leitner | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 40 | 21% | — | — | — |
| O. Steurer | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 28% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 37% | 1 | — | — | |
| Nikki Havenaar | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 44 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Bajlicz | M | 72 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 34% | 5 | — | — |
| Y. Maart | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 40% | — | — | — |
| P. Pomer | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 24% | — | — | — |
| A. Van Wyk | F | 78 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| J. Nasrawe | M | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 30% | — | — | — |
| A. Bajić | F | 90 | 9.70 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Mutandwa | F | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Evan Eghosa Aisowieren | M | 12 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Jonas Mayer | M | 18 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| M. Rasner | M | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
Grazer AK — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Stolz | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 31% | — | — | — |
| L. Vraa-Jensen | D | 45 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | — | — | — |
| D. Pines | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | — | 1 | — |
| B. Owusu | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Olesen | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| C. Lichtenberger | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Koch | M | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Klassen | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 34% | 5 | 1 | — |
| R. Harakaté | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Hofleitner | F | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 1% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Große | F | 28 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Kreuzriegler | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| M. Şatin | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ried vs Grazer AK?
The final score was Ried 2–1 Grazer AK.
What did the model predict before Ried vs Grazer AK?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Ried win, 31% to a draw, and 31% to an Grazer AK win.