Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 4
August 21, 2026 19:30
P. Sissoko
45'+1
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ried a 39% win probability (draw 30%, Grazer AK 29%). The final result was Ried 1–0 Grazer AK. In 4 previous meetings, Ried have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Grazer AK.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
2
1.23
Actual xG
0.81
2
Saves
2
45%
Possession
55%
4
Corners
1
9
Tackles
9
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
S. Chukwudi
5'
28'
33'
Y. Oberleitner
39'
Anderson
⚽P. Sissoko
(pen.)
45'+1
45'+2
P. Michorl
P. Sissoko
45'+2
57'
B. Owusu
E. E. Aisowieren
/ J. Boguo
59'
P. Sissoko
/ T. Kusanovic
59'
67'
M. Gragger
/
Anderson
67'
D. Maderner
/
A. Hofleitner
J. Nasrawe
/ M. Rasner
72'
73'
M. Grosse
/
C. Lichtenberger
83'
S. Mandey
/
P. Michorl
A. Bajic
/ D. Radonjic
87'
T. Kusanovic
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
39.86%
Ried ←
30.3%
X
29.84%
Grazer
we assigned to the actual result (Ried)
39.86%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.87
1.23
-0.64
1.10
0.81
-0.29
Ried dominated by xG (1.23 vs 0.81).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
A. Leitner
61'
G
A. Leitner
61'
G
7
O. Sorg
61'
D
O. Sorg
61'
D
30
O. Steurer
61'
D
O. Steurer
61'
D
28
S. Chukwudi
61'
D
S. Chukwudi
61'
D
4
L. Malicsek
61'
D
L. Malicsek
61'
D
6
Y. Maart
61'
M
Y. Maart
61'
M
22
S. Schwab
61'
M
S. Schwab
61'
M
47
Evan Eghosa Aisowieren
59'
M
Evan Eghosa Aisowieren
59'
M
10
J. Nasrawe
61'
M
J. Nasrawe
61'
M
12
A. Bajić
61'
M
A. Bajić
61'
M
9
N. Sissoko
59'
F
N. Sissoko
59'
F
Bench
33
A. Goiginger
D
A. Goiginger
D
5
D. Radonjic
D
D. Radonjic
D
42
Fabian Lechner
M
Fabian Lechner
M
77
F. Wimmer
G
F. Wimmer
G
15
J. Boguo
2'
F
J. Boguo
2'
F
8
M. Rasner
M
M. Rasner
M
38
Nermin Mesic
F
Nermin Mesic
F
21
T. Kusanovic
2'
F
T. Kusanovic
2'
F
19
T. Lund Jensen
M
T. Lund Jensen
M
23
C. Stanković
61'
G
C. Stanković
61'
G
27
Y. Oberleitner
61'
D
Y. Oberleitner
61'
D
2
D. Pines
61'
D
D. Pines
61'
D
82
B. Owusu
61'
D
B. Owusu
61'
D
8
T. Koch
61'
M
T. Koch
61'
M
32
L. Klassen
61'
M
L. Klassen
61'
M
29
I. Guerti
61'
M
I. Guerti
61'
M
34
P. Michorl
61'
M
P. Michorl
61'
M
28
Anderson
61'
M
Anderson
61'
M
25
A. Hofleitner
61'
F
A. Hofleitner
61'
F
10
C. Lichtenberger
61'
F
C. Lichtenberger
61'
F
Bench
30
Christoph Hasenhuttl
D
Christoph Hasenhuttl
D
9
D. Maderner
F
D. Maderner
F
1
J. Meierhofer
G
J. Meierhofer
G
6
L. Hermesh
M
L. Hermesh
M
38
Maximilian Jus
F
Maximilian Jus
F
48
M. Gragger
D
M. Gragger
D
11
M. Große
F
M. Große
F
72
Petar Markovic
D
Petar Markovic
D
17
S. Mandey
M
S. Mandey
M
Best on the pitch
A. Leitner
G · Ried
8.00
· 24 pass
C. Stanković
G · Grazer
7.00
· 26 pass
A. Bajić
M · Ried
7.00
1 shots
· 13 pass
L. Malicsek
D · Ried
7.00
· 28 pass
O. Steurer
D · Ried
7.00
1 shots
· 37 pass
C. Lichtenberger
F · Grazer
6.90
1 shots
· 22 pass
Ried — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Leitner | G | 61 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| O. Sorg | D | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Steurer | D | 61 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Chukwudi | D | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Malicsek | D | 61 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Maart | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 21% | — | — | — |
| S. Schwab | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| Evan Eghosa Aisowieren | M | 59 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Nasrawe | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| A. Bajić | M | 61 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| N. Sissoko | F | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Boguo | F | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| T. Kusanovic | F | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Grazer AK — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Stanković | G | 61 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Y. Oberleitner | D | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 33% | 3 | 1 | — |
| D. Pines | D | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 41 | 36% | — | — | — |
| B. Owusu | D | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Koch | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Klassen | M | 61 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 23% | — | — | — |
| I. Guerti | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| P. Michorl | M | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | — | 1 | — |
| Anderson | M | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Hofleitner | F | 61 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| C. Lichtenberger | F | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ried vs Grazer AK?
The final score was Ried 1–0 Grazer AK.
What did the model predict before Ried vs Grazer AK?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Ried win, 30% to a draw, and 29% to an Grazer AK win.