Bundesliga
· Final
May 22, 2026 19:30
✓Model correct — prediction Ried
N. Havenaar
(ast. J. Nasrawe)
14'
J. Boguo
(ast. N. Havenaar)
77'
75'
(ast. P. Dahl)
R. Amane
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ried a 56% win probability (draw 22%, Rapid Vienna 21%). The final result was Ried 2–1 Rapid Vienna. In 5 previous meetings, Ried have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Rapid Vienna.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
5
1.03
Actual xG
1.84
4
Saves
1
46%
Possession
54%
4
Corners
5
10
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
N. Bajlicz
4'
⚽N. Havenaar
· ast. J. Nasrawe
14'
M. Sollbauer
/ F. Rossdorfer
48'
71'
M. Tilio
/
N. Wurmbrand
71'
F. Demir
/
J. Auer
71'
T. Borkeeiet
/
A. Weimann
F. Rossdorfer
/ M. Rasner
72'
75'
ast. P. Dahl ·
R. Amane⚽
⚽J. Boguo
· ast. N. Havenaar
77'
J. Boguo
/ E. E. Aisowieren
83'
85'
L. Schaub
/
A. Ahoussou
86'
F. Demir
Pre-match prediction
56.42%
Ried ←
22.43%
X
21.14%
Rapid
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Ried)
56.42%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.91
1.03
-0.88
0.87
1.84
+0.97
Rapid Vienna dominated by xG (1.84 vs 1.03).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
A. Leitner
G
A. Leitner
G
30
O. Steurer
D
O. Steurer
D
23
M. Sollbauer
48'
D
M. Sollbauer
48'
D
5
Nikki Havenaar
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
Nikki Havenaar
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
28
N. Bajlicz
M
N. Bajlicz
M
6
Y. Maart
M
Y. Maart
M
19
J. Nasrawe
1 👟
M
J. Nasrawe
1 👟
M
17
P. Pomer
M
P. Pomer
M
15
J. Boguo
1 ⚽
83'
F
J. Boguo
1 ⚽
83'
F
12
A. Bajić
F
A. Bajić
F
7
K. Mutandwa
F
K. Mutandwa
F
Bench
22
Conrad Scholl
M
Conrad Scholl
M
47
Evan Eghosa Aisowieren
9'
M
Evan Eghosa Aisowieren
9'
M
18
F. Rossdorfer
24'
M
F. Rossdorfer
24'
M
26
Jonas Mayer
M
Jonas Mayer
M
40
Leonit Zeqiri
M
Leonit Zeqiri
M
36
Marcel Kostenbauer
G
Marcel Kostenbauer
G
8
M. Rasner
18'
M
M. Rasner
18'
M
14
Philip Weissenbacher
D
Philip Weissenbacher
D
48
Raphael Pesu
M
Raphael Pesu
M
1
N. Hedl
G
N. Hedl
G
20
K. Ahoussou
85'
D
K. Ahoussou
85'
D
6
S. Raux-Yao
D
S. Raux-Yao
D
4
Jakob Schöller
D
Jakob Schöller
D
23
Jonas Auer
71'
M
Jonas Auer
71'
M
29
R. Amané
1 ⚽
M
R. Amané
1 ⚽
M
26
A. Weimann
71'
M
A. Weimann
71'
M
18
M. Seidl
M
M. Seidl
M
10
P. Dahl
1 👟
F
P. Dahl
1 👟
F
15
Nikolaus Wurmbrand
71'
F
Nikolaus Wurmbrand
71'
F
9
E. Kara
F
E. Kara
F
Bench
47
Amìn-Elias Gröller
D
Amìn-Elias Gröller
D
61
F. Demir
19'
D
F. Demir
19'
D
44
Lorenz Szladits
M
Lorenz Szladits
M
21
L. Schaub
5'
M
L. Schaub
5'
M
43
Moulaye Haïdara
F
Moulaye Haïdara
F
7
M. Tilio
19'
F
M. Tilio
19'
F
25
P. Gartler
G
P. Gartler
G
16
T. Børkeeiet
19'
M
T. Børkeeiet
19'
M
17
Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen
M
Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen
M
Best on the pitch
Nikki Havenaar
D · Ried
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 35 pass
P. Dahl
F · Rapid
8.20
1 👟
2 shots
· 23 pass
J. Boguo
F · Ried
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 17 pass
A. Leitner
G · Ried
7.30
· 36 pass
J. Nasrawe
M · Ried
7.30
1 👟
· 38 pass
R. Amané
M · Rapid
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 45 pass
Ried — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Leitner | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 26% | — | — | — |
| O. Steurer | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | — | — | — |
| M. Sollbauer | D | 48 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Nikki Havenaar | D | 90 | 8.50 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| N. Bajlicz | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 40% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Y. Maart | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Nasrawe | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 38 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Pomer | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 27% | — | — | — |
| J. Boguo | F | 83 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Bajić | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 17% | — | — | — |
| K. Mutandwa | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Evan Eghosa Aisowieren | M | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| F. Rossdorfer | M | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Rasner | M | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Rapid Vienna — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Hedl | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 31% | — | — | — |
| K. Ahoussou | D | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Raux-Yao | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 54 | 50% | — | — | — |
| Jakob Schöller | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 51 | 45% | 4 | — | — |
| Jonas Auer | M | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Amané | M | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 45 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Weimann | M | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| M. Seidl | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| P. Dahl | F | 90 | 8.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 23 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| Nikolaus Wurmbrand | F | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Kara | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| F. Demir | D | 19 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Schaub | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Tilio | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Børkeeiet | M | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ried vs Rapid Vienna?
The final score was Ried 2–1 Rapid Vienna.
What did the model predict before Ried vs Rapid Vienna?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Ried win, 22% to a draw, and 21% to an Rapid Vienna win.