Bundesliga
· Final
May 22, 2026 19:30
✓Model correct — prediction Ried
N. Havenaar
(ast. J. Nasrawe)
14'
J. Boguo
(ast. N. Havenaar)
77'
75'
(ast. P. Dahl)
R. Amane
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ried a 56% win probability (draw 22%, Rapid Vienna 21%). The final result was Ried 2–1 Rapid Vienna. In 4 previous meetings, Ried have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Rapid Vienna.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
5
1.03
Actual xG
1.84
4
Saves
1
46%
Possession
54%
4
Corners
5
10
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
N. Bajlicz
4'
⚽N. Havenaar
· ast. J. Nasrawe
14'
M. Sollbauer
/ F. Rossdorfer
48'
71'
M. Tilio
/
N. Wurmbrand
71'
F. Demir
/
J. Auer
71'
T. Borkeeiet
/
A. Weimann
F. Rossdorfer
/ M. Rasner
72'
75'
ast. P. Dahl ·
R. Amane⚽
⚽J. Boguo
· ast. N. Havenaar
77'
J. Boguo
/ E. E. Aisowieren
83'
85'
L. Schaub
/
A. Ahoussou
86'
F. Demir
Pre-match prediction
56.42%
Ried ←
22.43%
X
21.14%
Rapid
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Ried)
56.42%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.91
1.03
-0.88
0.87
1.84
+0.97
Rapid Vienna dominated by xG (1.84 vs 1.03).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Andreas Leitner
G
Andreas Leitner
G
30
Oliver Steurer
D
Oliver Steurer
D
23
M. Sollbauer
48'
D
M. Sollbauer
48'
D
5
Nikki Havenaar
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
Nikki Havenaar
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
28
Nicolas Bajlicz
M
Nicolas Bajlicz
M
6
Yusuf Maart
M
Yusuf Maart
M
19
Jussef Nasrawe
1 👟
M
Jussef Nasrawe
1 👟
M
17
Philipp Pomer
M
Philipp Pomer
M
15
Joris Boguo
1 ⚽
83'
F
Joris Boguo
1 ⚽
83'
F
12
A. Bajić
F
A. Bajić
F
7
K. Mutandwa
F
K. Mutandwa
F
Bench
22
Conrad Scholl
M
Conrad Scholl
M
47
Evan Eghosa
9'
M
Evan Eghosa
9'
M
18
Fabian Rossdorfer
24'
M
Fabian Rossdorfer
24'
M
26
Jonas Mayer
M
Jonas Mayer
M
40
Leonit Zeqiri
M
Leonit Zeqiri
M
36
Marcel Kostenbauer
G
Marcel Kostenbauer
G
8
Martin Rasner
18'
M
Martin Rasner
18'
M
14
Philip Weissenbacher
D
Philip Weissenbacher
D
48
Raphael Pesu
M
Raphael Pesu
M
1
Niklas Hedl
G
Niklas Hedl
G
20
Kouadio Ange Ahoussou
85'
D
Kouadio Ange Ahoussou
85'
D
6
Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao
D
Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao
D
4
Jakob Schöller
D
Jakob Schöller
D
23
Jonas Auer
71'
M
Jonas Auer
71'
M
29
R. Amané
1 ⚽
M
R. Amané
1 ⚽
M
26
Andreas Weimann
71'
M
Andreas Weimann
71'
M
18
M. Seidl
M
M. Seidl
M
10
P. Dahl
1 👟
F
P. Dahl
1 👟
F
15
Nikolaus Wurmbrand
71'
F
Nikolaus Wurmbrand
71'
F
9
E. Kara
F
E. Kara
F
Bench
47
Amin Gröller
D
Amin Gröller
D
61
Furkan Demir
19'
D
Furkan Demir
19'
D
44
Lorenz Szladits
M
Lorenz Szladits
M
21
Louis Schaub
5'
M
Louis Schaub
5'
M
7
Marco Tilio
19'
F
Marco Tilio
19'
F
43
Moulaye Haïdara
F
Moulaye Haïdara
F
25
Paul Gartler
G
Paul Gartler
G
17
T. Gulliksen
M
T. Gulliksen
M
16
Tobias Borkeeiet
19'
M
Tobias Borkeeiet
19'
M
Best on the pitch
Nikki Havenaar
D · Ried
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 35 pass
P. Dahl
F · Rapid
8.20
1 👟
2 shots
· 23 pass
Joris Boguo
F · Ried
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 17 pass
Andreas Leitner
G · Ried
7.30
· 36 pass
Jussef Nasrawe
M · Ried
7.30
1 👟
· 38 pass
R. Amané
M · Rapid
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 45 pass
Ried — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Leitner | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Oliver Steurer | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | — | — | — |
| M. Sollbauer | D | 48 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Nikki Havenaar | D | 90 | 8.50 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| Nicolas Bajlicz | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 40% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Yusuf Maart | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Jussef Nasrawe | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 38 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Philipp Pomer | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Joris Boguo | F | 83 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Bajić | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 17% | — | — | — |
| K. Mutandwa | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Evan Eghosa | M | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Fabian Rossdorfer | M | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Martin Rasner | M | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Rapid Vienna — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niklas Hedl | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Kouadio Ange Ahoussou | D | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 54 | 50% | — | — | — |
| Jakob Schöller | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 51 | 45% | 4 | — | — |
| Jonas Auer | M | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Amané | M | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 45 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| Andreas Weimann | M | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| M. Seidl | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| P. Dahl | F | 90 | 8.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 23 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| Nikolaus Wurmbrand | F | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Kara | F | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Furkan Demir | D | 19 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Louis Schaub | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Marco Tilio | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Tobias Borkeeiet | M | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ried vs Rapid Vienna?
The final score was Ried 2–1 Rapid Vienna.
What did the model predict before Ried vs Rapid Vienna?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Ried win, 22% to a draw, and 21% to an Rapid Vienna win.