Bundesliga
· Relegation Group - 31
May 09, 2026 17:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Ried, result Wolfsberger AC wins
(pen.)
31'
A. Schopf
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ried a 64% win probability (draw 19%, Wolfsberger AC 16%). The final result was Ried 0–1 Wolfsberger AC. In 4 previous meetings, Ried have won 3 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Wolfsberger AC.
Match statistics
2
Total shots
8
1
Shots on target
6
0.69
Actual xG
2.90
3
Saves
1
66%
Possession
34%
6
Corners
5
13
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
31'
(pen.)
A. Schopf⚽
46'
D. Zukic
/
D. Avdijaj
54'
F. Wohlmuth
J. Mayer
/ M. Rasner
55'
56'
N. Polster
N. Bajlicz
/ A. van Wyk
69'
73'
E. Kojzek
/
M. Pink
82'
B. Matic
/
R. Renner
J. Nasrawe
/ S. Sane
82'
N. Havenaar
87'
A. Leitner
88'
90'+3
E. Chukwu
/
A. Gattermayer
90'+3
E. Kujovic
/
E. Agyeman
Pre-match prediction
64.03%
Ried
19.03%
X
16.95%
Wolfsberger ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Wolfsberger AC)
16.95%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.56
0.69
-1.87
1.01
2.90
+1.89
Wolfsberger AC dominated by xG (2.90 vs 0.69).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Andreas Leitner
G
Andreas Leitner
G
30
Oliver Steurer
D
Oliver Steurer
D
23
D
5
N. Havenaar
D
N. Havenaar
D
19
Jussef Nasrawe
82'
M
Jussef Nasrawe
82'
M
28
Nicolas Bajlicz
69'
M
Nicolas Bajlicz
69'
M
6
Yusuf Maart
M
Yusuf Maart
M
17
Philipp Pomer
M
Philipp Pomer
M
26
Jonas Mayer
55'
F
Jonas Mayer
55'
F
12
A. Bajić
F
A. Bajić
F
7
K. Mutandwa
F
K. Mutandwa
F
Bench
29
Antonio Van Wyk
23'
F
Antonio Van Wyk
23'
F
15
Joris Boguo
F
Joris Boguo
F
8
Martin Rasner
37'
M
Martin Rasner
37'
M
13
P. Kiedl
F
12
Nikolas Polster
G
Nikolas Polster
G
37
Nicolas Wimmer
D
Nicolas Wimmer
D
8
Simon Piesinger
D
Simon Piesinger
D
15
D
77
R. Renner
82'
M
R. Renner
82'
M
34
Emmanuel Agyemang
M
Emmanuel Agyemang
M
18
Alessandro Schöpf
1 ⚽
M
Alessandro Schöpf
1 ⚽
M
31
Fabian Wohlmuth
M
Fabian Wohlmuth
M
10
D. Avdijaj
45'
F
D. Avdijaj
45'
F
7
Angelo Gattermayer
F
Angelo Gattermayer
F
32
M. Pink
73'
F
M. Pink
73'
F
Bench
2
Boris Matić
10'
M
Boris Matić
10'
M
20
Dejan Zukić
47'
M
Dejan Zukić
47'
M
9
Erik Kojzek
19'
F
Erik Kojzek
19'
F
Best on the pitch
Philipp Pomer
M · Ried
7.90
· 45 pass
Alessandro Schöpf
M · Wolfsberger
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 29 pass
Simon Piesinger
D · Wolfsberger
7.30
1 shots
· 27 pass
Nikolas Polster
G · Wolfsberger
7.30
· 31 pass
Dejan Zukić
M · Wolfsberger
7.20
1 shots
· 13 pass
Fabian Wohlmuth
M · Wolfsberger
7.20
1 shots
· 16 pass
Ried — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Leitner | G | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 34% | — | 1 | — |
| Oliver Steurer | D | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 59 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 49 | 44% | 1 | — | — | |
| N. Havenaar | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 60 | 47% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Jussef Nasrawe | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Nicolas Bajlicz | M | 69 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Yusuf Maart | M | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Philipp Pomer | M | 92 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Jonas Mayer | F | 55 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Bajić | F | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Mutandwa | F | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Antonio Van Wyk | F | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Martin Rasner | M | 37 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
Wolfsberger AC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikolas Polster | G | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Nicolas Wimmer | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| Simon Piesinger | D | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 18% | — | — | — |
| D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| R. Renner | M | 82 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Emmanuel Agyemang | M | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Alessandro Schöpf | M | 92 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 29 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabian Wohlmuth | M | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Avdijaj | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Angelo Gattermayer | F | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 4% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Pink | F | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Boris Matić | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Dejan Zukić | M | 47 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Erik Kojzek | F | 19 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ried vs Wolfsberger AC?
The final score was Ried 0–1 Wolfsberger AC.
What did the model predict before Ried vs Wolfsberger AC?
The model assigned 64% probability to a Ried win, 19% to a draw, and 16% to an Wolfsberger AC win.