Bundesliga · Relegation Group - 31 May 09, 2026 17:00

Ried

#1 · 28 pts

0 – 1

Final score

Wolfsberger AC

#2 · 25 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Ried, result Wolfsberger AC vince

(pen.) 31' A. Schopf

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ried a 64% win probability (draw 19%, Wolfsberger AC 16%). The final result was Ried 0–1 Wolfsberger AC. In 3 previous meetings, Ried have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Wolfsberger AC.

Match statistics

2

Total shots

8

1

Shots on target

6

0.69

Actual xG

2.90

3

Saves

1

66%

Possession

34%

6

Corners

5

13

Tackles

14

2

🟨 Yellow cards

2

Match Events

31'

(pen.) A. Schopf⚽

46'

D. Zukic / D. Avdijaj ↕

54'

F. Wohlmuth

↕ J. Mayer / M. Rasner

55'

56'

N. Polster

↕ N. Bajlicz / A. van Wyk

69'

73'

E. Kojzek / M. Pink ↕

82'

B. Matic / R. Renner ↕

↕ J. Nasrawe / S. Sane

82'

N. Havenaar

87'

A. Leitner

88'

90'+3

E. Chukwu / A. Gattermayer ↕

90'+3

E. Kujovic / E. Agyeman ↕

Pre-match prediction

64.03%

Ried

19.03%

X

16.95%

Wolfsberger ←

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Wolfsberger AC) 16.95% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Ried

2.56

0.69

-1.87

Wolfsberger

1.01

2.90

+1.89

Wolfsberger AC dominated by xG (2.90 vs 0.69). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Lask Linz	31	36
1	Ried	31	28
2	Wolfsberger AC	31	25
2	Sturm Graz	31	34
3	Red Bull Salzburg	31	29
3	SCR Altach	31	24
4	WSG Wattens	31	24
4	Austria Vienna	31	29
5	Grazer AK	31	24
5	Rapid Vienna	31	27
6	TSV Hartberg	31	22
6	FC BW Linz	31	21

Lineups

Ried 3-4-2-1

1

A. Leitner G 6.90

30

Oliver Steurer D 6.70

23

D 7.00

5

N. Havenaar D 6.90

19

J. Nasrawe 82' M 6.90

28

N. Bajlicz 69' M 6.70

6

Y. Maart M 6.90

17

P. Pomer M 7.90

26

J. Mayer 55' F 6.50

12 A. Bajić F 7.00

7 K. Mutandwa F 6.60

Bench

29

A. van Wyk 23' F 6.90

15

J. Boguo F

8

M. Rasner 37' M 6.50

13

P. Kiedl F

Wolfsberger AC 3-4-2-1

12

N. Polster G 7.30

37

N. Wimmer D 6.90

8

S. Piesinger D 7.30

15

D 6.30

77 R. Renner 82' M 6.70

34

E. Agyeman M 6.60

18 A. Schöpf 1 ⚽ M 7.30

31

F. Wohlmuth M 7.20

10 D. Avdijaj 45' F 6.30

7

A. Gattermayer F 6.60

32 M. Pink 73' F 6.90

Bench

2 Boris Matić 10' M 6.70

20 D. Zukić 47' M 7.20

9

E. Kojzek 19' F 6.20

Best on the pitch

P. Pomer

M · Ried

7.90

· 45 pass

A. Schöpf

M · Wolfsberger

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 29 pass

S. Piesinger

D · Wolfsberger

7.30

1 shots · 27 pass

N. Polster

G · Wolfsberger

7.30

· 31 pass

D. Zukić

M · Wolfsberger

7.20

1 shots · 13 pass

F. Wohlmuth

M · Wolfsberger

7.20

1 shots · 16 pass

Ried — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
A. Leitner	G	92	6.90	—	—	—	42	34%	—	1	—
Oliver Steurer	D	92	6.70	—	—	—	59	52%	1	—	—
	D	92	7.00	—	—	—	49	44%	1	—	—
N. Havenaar	D	92	6.90	—	—	—	60	47%	2	1	—
J. Nasrawe	M	82	6.90	—	—	—	47	37%	2	—	—
N. Bajlicz	M	69	6.70	—	—	—	32	26%	1	—	—
Y. Maart	M	92	6.90	—	—	1	51	43%	—	—	—
P. Pomer	M	92	7.90	—	—	—	45	41%	1	—	—
J. Mayer	F	55	6.50	—	—	—	13	9%	3	—	—
A. Bajić	F	92	7.00	—	—	1	21	14%	2	—	—
K. Mutandwa	F	92	6.60	—	—	—	12	8%	—	—	—
A. van Wyk	F	23	6.90	—	—	—	9	6%	—	—	—
M. Rasner	M	37	6.50	—	—	—	8	6%	—	—	—

Wolfsberger AC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
N. Polster	G	92	7.30	—	—	—	31	13%	—	1	—
N. Wimmer	D	92	6.90	—	—	—	28	18%	3	—	—
S. Piesinger	D	92	7.30	—	—	1	27	18%	—	—	—
	D	92	6.30	—	—	—	20	14%	—	—	—
R. Renner	M	82	6.70	—	—	—	10	6%	1	—	—
E. Agyeman	M	92	6.60	—	—	1	19	15%	1	—	—
A. Schöpf	M	92	7.30	1	—	1	29	22%	1	—	—
F. Wohlmuth	M	92	7.20	—	—	1	16	10%	1	1	—
D. Avdijaj	F	45	6.30	—	—	—	6	5%	—	—	—
A. Gattermayer	F	92	6.60	—	—	2	15	4%	3	—	—
M. Pink	F	73	6.90	—	—	1	5	5%	1	—	—
Boris Matić	M	10	6.70	—	—	—	1	1%	1	—	—
D. Zukić	M	47	7.20	—	—	1	13	11%	1	—	—
E. Kojzek	F	19	6.20	—	—	—	2	1%	1	—	—