Champions League
· 1st Qualifying Round
July 14, 2026 19:00
Iago Siqueira
(ast. M. Badamosi)
14'
A. Ankrah
23'
Reginaldo Ramires
90'+4
(pen.)
46'
Z. Shaghoyan
63'
(ast. Z. Banjaqui)
Sandro Lima
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Riga a 53% win probability (draw 24%, Ararat-Armenia 22%). The final result was Riga 3–2 Ararat-Armenia. In 1 previous meetings, Riga have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Ararat-Armenia.
Match statistics
7
Shots on target
3
53%
Possession
47%
2
Corners
2
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Iago Siqueira
· ast. M. Badamosi
14'
⚽A. Ankrah
23'
34'
E. Grigoryan
S. Oulad M'Hand
41'
O. Galo
44'
46'
A. Ambartsumyan
/
E. Grigoryan
46'
Z. Shaghoyan⚽
61'
Z. Banjaqui
/
A. Tera
61'
Franca Carlos
/
A. Serobyan
63'
ast. Z. Banjaqui ·
Sandro Lima⚽
A. Salazar
66'
A. Ankrah
66'
66'
Z. Banjaqui
S. Oulad M'Hand
/ Reginaldo Ramires
69'
O. Galo
/ Caio Ferreira
69'
70'
H. Oliveira
71'
Luis Felipe
/
Z. Shaghoyan
Reginaldo Ramires
72'
R. Aouani
/ K. Wassom
80'
Iago Siqueira
/ A. Taiwo
80'
85'
Franca Carlos
Paulo Eduardo
/ A. Cernomordijs
86'
87'
A. Ndour
/
Sandro Lima
⚽Reginaldo Ramires
(pen.)
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
53.23%
Riga ←
24.2%
X
22.57%
Ararat-Armenia
we assigned to the actual result (Riga)
53.23%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.07
—
—
0.88
—
—
Lineups
1
Krišjānis Zviedris
79'
G
33
Paulo
79'
D
Paulo
79'
D
21
Baba Musah
79'
D
13
Raivis Jurkovskis
79'
D
17
A. Salazar
79'
D
A. Salazar
79'
D
4
O. Galo
69'
M
O. Galo
69'
M
40
A. Ankrah
1 ⚽
79'
M
A. Ankrah
1 ⚽
79'
M
8
Iago Siqueira Augusto
1 ⚽
M
7
R. Aouani
M
R. Aouani
M
18
Salah Oulad M'Hand
M
19
Muhammed Badamosi
1 👟
79'
F
Bench
25
Abdulrahman Taiwo
F
3
Abner
D
34
A. Černomordijs
D
A. Černomordijs
D
99
Caio Ferreira
10'
F
5
Karl Gameni Wassom
D
23
Maksims Tonisevs
D
44
Marcis Kazainis
G
22
Meïssa Diop
M
10
Reginaldo Ramires
1 ⚽
10'
F
98
João Bravim
79'
G
16
Edgar Grigoryan
46'
D
3
Junior Julio
D
43
Bruno Wilson
79'
D
13
Kamo Hovhannisyan
79'
D
19
Karen Muradyan
79'
M
20
Alwyn Tera
M
2
Hugo Oliveira
79'
D
Hugo Oliveira
79'
D
7
Zhirayr Shaghoyan
1 ⚽
71'
M
91
Sandro Lima
1 ⚽
79'
F
77
Artur Serobyan
61'
M
Bench
25
Alioune Ndour
F
9
Arayik Eloyan
F
1
Arman Nersesyan
G
10
Armen Ambartsumyan
33'
M
Armen Ambartsumyan
33'
M
14
Bruno Pereira
D
95
França
18'
M
França
18'
M
5
Luís Felipe
D
17
Maxence Carlier
M
6
Michel Ayvazyan
M
90
Paul Ayongo
F
11
Zidane Banjaqui
1 👟
18'
M
Zidane Banjaqui
1 👟
18'
M
Riga — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krišjānis Zviedris | G | 79 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Paulo | D | 79 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Baba Musah | D | 79 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Raivis Jurkovskis | D | 79 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Salazar | D | 79 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Galo | M | 69 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 1 | — |
| A. Ankrah | M | 79 | 0.00 | 1 | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Iago Siqueira Augusto | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Aouani | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Salah Oulad M'Hand | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Muhammed Badamosi | F | 79 | 0.00 | — | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Caio Ferreira | F | 10 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Reginaldo Ramires | F | 10 | 0.00 | 1 | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 1 | — |
Ararat-Armenia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| João Bravim | G | 79 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Edgar Grigoryan | D | 46 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Junior Julio | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Wilson | D | 79 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Kamo Hovhannisyan | D | 79 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Karen Muradyan | M | 79 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Alwyn Tera | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo Oliveira | D | 79 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Zhirayr Shaghoyan | M | 71 | 0.00 | 1 | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Sandro Lima | F | 79 | 0.00 | 1 | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Artur Serobyan | M | 61 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Armen Ambartsumyan | M | 33 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| França | M | 18 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Zidane Banjaqui | M | 18 | 0.00 | — | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Riga vs Ararat-Armenia?
The final score was Riga 3–2 Ararat-Armenia.
What did the model predict before Riga vs Ararat-Armenia?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Riga win, 24% to a draw, and 22% to an Ararat-Armenia win.