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Virsliga · Regular Season - 26 August 09, 2026 17:00
#2 · 67 pts
4 – 1
Final score
#10 · 15 pts
Model correct — prediction Riga
Caio Ferreira 2'
M. Badamosi (ast. M. Tonisevs) 16'
S. Oulad M'Hand (ast. M. Badamosi) 45'+4
Abner (ast. M. Badamosi) 45'
26' M. Marusii
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Riga a 88% win probability (draw 7%, Ogre United 3%). The final result was Riga 4–1 Ogre United. In 2 previous meetings, Riga have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Ogre United.

Match statistics
Match Events
Caio Ferreira
2'
9'
T. Mickevics
A. Taiwo
14'
M. Badamosi · ast. M. Tonisevs
16'
26'
M. Marusii
S. Oulad M'Hand · ast. M. Badamosi
45'+4
Abner · ast. M. Badamosi
45'
46'
J. Fokam / M. Ivulans
46'
T. Marusiy / K. Gulbis
52'
M. Marusii
R. Jurkovskis / R. Aouani
59'
C. Saco / A. Ankrah
59'
Caio Ferreira
62'
68'
K. Cudars
R. Aouani
72'
72'
V. Mashchenko
73'
73'
E. Evelons / V. Mashchenko
73'
L. Estevez Fernandez / A. Marchuk
81'
J. Grinbergs / K. Cudars
A. Ankrah
82'
M. Badamosi / Reginaldo Ramires
83'
A. Taiwo / Paulo Eduardo
83'
Caio Ferreira / E. Maurs-Boks
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
88.51%
Riga ←
7.7%
X
3.8%
Ogre
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Riga) 88.51% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Riga
3.29
Ogre
0.50
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Rīgas FS Rīgas FS 28 70
2 Riga Riga 29 67
3 Auda Auda 29 57
4 FK Liepaja FK Liepaja 30 42
5 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 29 38
6 Super Nova Super Nova 28 35
7 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 30 32
8 Grobiņa Grobiņa 30 25
9 Tukums Tukums 30 23
10 Ogre United Ogre United 29 15
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Riga vs Ogre United?
The final score was Riga 4–1 Ogre United.
What did the model predict before Riga vs Ogre United?
The model assigned 88% probability to a Riga win, 7% to a draw, and 3% to an Ogre United win.