✓Model correct — prediction Riga
Iago Siqueira
(ast. C. Saco)
68'
M. Badamosi
(ast. R. Aouani)
75'
22'
R. Kirss
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Riga a 77% win probability (draw 15%, Super Nova 6%). The final result was Riga 2–1 Super Nova. In 3 previous meetings, Riga have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Super Nova.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
7
8
Shots on target
4
2.03
Actual xG
0.51
2
Saves
6
72%
Possession
28%
8
Corners
1
13
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
22'
R. Kirss⚽
Abner
/ A. Taiwo
46'
S. L. Robalo Pedro
/ M. Diop
46'
R. Aouani
48'
Reginaldo Ramires
49'
53'
R. Kirss
55'
V. Lizunovs
59'
A. Glaudans
/
R. Kirss
59'
I. Ndiaye
/
Bamba
Reginaldo Ramires
/ M. Badamosi
59'
M. Tonisevs
/ R. Jurkovskis
60'
63'
I. Patrikejevs
⚽Iago Siqueira
· ast. C. Saco
68'
71'
I. Ndiaye
⚽M. Badamosi
· ast. R. Aouani
75'
81'
M. Tihonovics
/
K. Romanovs
82'
N. Pathe
/
E. Emsis
87'
M. Oss
87'
J. Cirulis
88'
K. Skadmanis
/
I. Patrikejevs
C. Saco
/ B. Musah
89'
Pre-match prediction
77.28%
Riga ←
15.98%
X
6.74%
Super
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Riga)
77.28%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.00
2.03
+0.03
0.38
0.51
+0.13
Riga dominated by xG (2.03 vs 0.51).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
91
F. Orols
79'
G
F. Orols
79'
G
17
A. Salazar
79'
D
A. Salazar
79'
D
34
A. Černomordijs
79'
D
A. Černomordijs
79'
D
3
Abner
45'
D
Abner
45'
D
23
M. Toņiševs
59'
D
5
K. Wassom
79'
M
K. Wassom
79'
M
6
C. Saco
1 👟
79'
M
C. Saco
1 👟
79'
M
15
Samuel Pedro
45'
M
Samuel Pedro
45'
M
8
Iago Siqueira Augusto
1 ⚽
79'
M
Iago Siqueira Augusto
1 ⚽
79'
M
7
R. Aouani
1 👟
79'
M
R. Aouani
1 👟
79'
M
10
Reginaldo Ramires
59'
F
Bench
28
Abdu Mandeke
M
Abdu Mandeke
M
25
A. Taiwo
34'
F
A. Taiwo
34'
F
21
B. Musah
D
B. Musah
D
60
E. Maviram
D
E. Maviram
D
29
Eriks Maurs-Boks
D
Eriks Maurs-Boks
D
12
Kenan Pirić
G
Kenan Pirić
G
19
M. Badamosi
1 ⚽
20'
F
M. Badamosi
1 ⚽
20'
F
22
M. Diop
34'
M
M. Diop
34'
M
13
R. Jurkovskis
20'
D
R. Jurkovskis
20'
D
90
D. Veisbuks
79'
G
3
R. Iida
79'
D
R. Iida
79'
D
16
Kristaps Romanovs
79'
D
Kristaps Romanovs
79'
D
25
M. Ošs
79'
D
M. Ošs
79'
D
5
J. Cīrulis
79'
D
J. Cīrulis
79'
D
9
Bamba
59'
M
24
R. Šitjakovs
79'
M
R. Šitjakovs
79'
M
8
I. Patrikejevs
79'
M
I. Patrikejevs
79'
M
15
R. Ķiršs
1 ⚽
59'
M
R. Ķiršs
1 ⚽
59'
M
6
E. Emsis
79'
F
E. Emsis
79'
F
10
V. Lizunovs
79'
F
V. Lizunovs
79'
F
Bench
29
A. Baghdasaryan
F
7
A. Glaudāns
20'
M
A. Glaudāns
20'
M
20
Ibrahima Diop
20'
D
Ibrahima Diop
20'
D
2
K. Augusts
D
22
Kristers Skadmanis
M
Kristers Skadmanis
M
18
Mikus Vasilevskis
D
Mikus Vasilevskis
D
21
M. Tihonovičs
D
M. Tihonovičs
D
27
N. Pathe
D
N. Pathe
D
31
T. Petrovics
G
Best on the pitch
Iago Siqueira Augusto
M · Riga
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 45 pass
M. Toņiševs
D · Riga
7.90
2 shots
· 46 pass
R. Ķiršs
M · Super
7.90
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 13 pass
R. Aouani
M · Riga
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 40 pass
A. Salazar
D · Riga
7.30
· 48 pass
M. Badamosi
F · Riga
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 3 pass
Riga — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Orols | G | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| A. Salazar | D | 79 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Černomordijs | D | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 72 | 66% | 1 | — | — |
| Abner | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | — | — | — |
| M. Toņiševs | D | 59 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 46 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Wassom | M | 79 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 57% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Saco | M | 79 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 40 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Samuel Pedro | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 3 | — | — |
| Iago Siqueira Augusto | M | 79 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 45 | 41% | — | — | — |
| R. Aouani | M | 79 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 40 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Reginaldo Ramires | F | 59 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Taiwo | F | 34 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Badamosi | F | 20 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| M. Diop | M | 34 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| R. Jurkovskis | D | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
Super Nova — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Veisbuks | G | 79 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 8% | — | — | — |
| R. Iida | D | 79 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| Kristaps Romanovs | D | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Ošs | D | 79 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Cīrulis | D | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | 4 | — | — |
| Bamba | M | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Šitjakovs | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Patrikejevs | M | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Ķiršs | M | 59 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 4 | 13 | 9% | 3 | 1 | — |
| E. Emsis | F | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| V. Lizunovs | F | 79 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Glaudāns | M | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Ibrahima Diop | D | 20 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 3 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Riga vs Super Nova?
The final score was Riga 2–1 Super Nova.
What did the model predict before Riga vs Super Nova?
The model assigned 77% probability to a Riga win, 15% to a draw, and 6% to an Super Nova win.