Virsliga · Regular Season - 23 July 18, 2026 18:00

Riga

#2 · 82 pts

3 – 1

Final score

Tukums

#9 · 25 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Riga

S. Oulad M'Hand (ast. Caio Ferreira) 64'

M. Badamosi (ast. S. Oulad M'Hand) 86'

O. Galo (ast. Iago Siqueira) 88'

45'+1 (ast. Anmanis Kaspars) Leoni

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Riga a 87% win probability (draw 8%, Tukums 4%). The final result was Riga 3–1 Tukums. In 3 previous meetings, Riga have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Tukums.

Match statistics

Match Events

28'

B. Samoilovs

43'

45'+1

ast. Anmanis Kaspars · Leoni⚽

↕ R. Aouani / M. Badamosi

46'

↕ A. Ankrah / S. Oulad M'Hand

46'

M. Badamosi

53'

⚽S. Oulad M'Hand · ast. Caio Ferreira

64'

65'

J. Toba / B. Samoilovs ↕

↕ A. Salazar / R. Jurkovskis

67'

72'

D. Radzenieks / R. Deruzinskis ↕

76'

M. Derkach

↕ Caio Ferreira / B. Pena

79'

80'

D. Valmiers / Leoni ↕

↕ M. Tonisevs / A. Taiwo

83'

⚽M. Badamosi · ast. S. Oulad M'Hand

86'

⚽O. Galo · ast. Iago Siqueira

88'

Pre-match prediction

87.07%

Riga ←

8.3%

X

4.63%

Tukums

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Riga) 87.07% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Riga

3.12

—

—

Tukums

0.39

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Rīgas FS	34	86
2	Riga	34	82
3	Auda	34	67
4	BFC Daugavpils	34	48
5	FK Liepaja	34	47
6	Super Nova	34	38
7	FS Jelgava	34	32
8	Grobiņa	34	29
9	Tukums	34	25
10	Ogre United	34	18