Conference League
· 2nd Qualifying Round
July 28, 2026 19:00
✓Model correct — prediction Riga
A. Taiwo
(ast. Reginaldo Ramires)
87'
R. Aouani
92'
Iago Siqueira
(ast. R. Aouani)
105'
Reginaldo Ramires
109'
Caio Ferreira
(ast. M. Tonisevs)
117'
17'
(ast. I. Puleio)
D. Babunski
66'
A. Omeragic
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Riga a 57% win probability (draw 22%, Vardar Skopje 20%). The final result was Riga 5–2 Vardar Skopje. In 1 previous meetings, Riga have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Vardar Skopje.
Match statistics
Match Events
17'
ast. I. Puleio ·
D. Babunski⚽
19'
F. Najdovski
22'
D. Velkovski
/
Miguel Pires
M. Diop
/ Caio Ferreira
46'
B. Musah
56'
O. Galo
/ Reginaldo Ramires
65'
66'
A. Omeragic⚽
69'
G. Zakaric
/
A. Omeragic
70'
C. Fabbiani
A. Salazar
/ A. Taiwo
75'
84'
F. Duranski
/
D. Castaneda
⚽A. Taiwo
· ast. Reginaldo Ramires
87'
91'
F. Cvetkovski
/
M. Manevski
R. Jurkovskis
/ M. Tonisevs
91'
R. Aouani
92'
⚽R. Aouani
92'
M. Badamosi
/ A. Cernomordijs
99'
99'
D. Todorovski
/
D. Babunski
99'
D. Danev
/
I. Puleio
105'+6
F. Duranski
⚽Iago Siqueira
· ast. R. Aouani
105'
⚽Reginaldo Ramires
109'
R. Aouani
/ K. Wassom
112'
⚽Caio Ferreira
· ast. M. Tonisevs
117'
Pre-match prediction
57.54%
Riga ←
22.09%
X
20.37%
Vardar
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Riga)
57.54%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.47
—
—
1.16
—
—
Lineups
91
F. Orols
G
F. Orols
G
22
M. Diop
M
M. Diop
M
17
A. Salazar
D
A. Salazar
D
21
B. Musah
D
B. Musah
D
33
Paulo
D
Paulo
D
13
R. Jurkovskis
D
R. Jurkovskis
D
7
R. Aouani
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
R. Aouani
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
4
O. Galo
M
O. Galo
M
40
A. Ankrah
M
A. Ankrah
M
8
Iago Siqueira Augusto
1 ⚽
M
Iago Siqueira Augusto
1 ⚽
M
19
M. Badamosi
F
M. Badamosi
F
Bench
3
Abner
D
Abner
D
34
A. Černomordijs
D
A. Černomordijs
D
25
A. Taiwo
1 ⚽
F
A. Taiwo
1 ⚽
F
31
Athanasios Papadoudis
G
11
Brian Peña
M
99
Caio Ferreira
1 ⚽
F
Caio Ferreira
1 ⚽
F
5
K. Wassom
D
K. Wassom
D
44
M. Kazainis
G
M. Kazainis
G
23
M. Toņiševs
1 👟
D
10
Reginaldo Ramires
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
95
D. Taleski
G
D. Taleski
G
3
Mihail Manevski
D
4
Mislav Matić
D
5
Filip Najdovski
D
21
Georgije Jankulov
D
32
Diego Castañeda
M
6
David Babunski
1 ⚽
M
7
G. Rodrigues
F
G. Rodrigues
F
71
Miguel Pires
M
34
Ian Puleio
1 👟
M
9
A. Omeragikj
1 ⚽
F
A. Omeragikj
1 ⚽
F
Bench
1
Daniel Dikovski
G
49
Dimitar Danev
F
22
Dimitar Todorovski
M
14
D. Velkovski
D
D. Velkovski
D
17
Ediz Spahiu
F
27
Filip Cvetkovski
D
23
Filip Duranski
M
10
Goran Zakarić
F
31
Ivo Markovski
F
18
Nenad Miskovski
D
Riga — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Orols | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Diop | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Salazar | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Musah | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paulo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Jurkovskis | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Aouani | M | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Galo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Ankrah | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iago Siqueira Augusto | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Badamosi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Vardar Skopje — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taleski | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mihail Manevski | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mislav Matić | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Filip Najdovski | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Georgije Jankulov | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Castañeda | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Babunski | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Rodrigues | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Pires | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ian Puleio | M | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Omeragikj | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Riga vs Vardar Skopje?
The final score was Riga 5–2 Vardar Skopje.
What did the model predict before Riga vs Vardar Skopje?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Riga win, 22% to a draw, and 20% to an Vardar Skopje win.