Skip to main content
← Virsliga

Rīgas FS - BFC Daugavpils

Virsliga June 30, 2026 17:00
Rīgas FS
#1 · 52 pts
vs
BFC Daugavpils
#5 · 24 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
73.97%
Win
Rīgas FS
17.75%
Draw
8.28%
Win
BFC Daugavpils
1.94
Expected xG
0.37
Most likely result 1–0 (19.4%)
2+ goals
72%
3+ goals
40%
Model prediction
Rīgas FS
73.97%
Probability
75.0%
1X2 accuracy · 28 predictions (3 months)
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Rīgas FS a 73% win probability, against 17% for a draw and 8% for BFC Daugavpils. Expected goals are 1.9 for Rīgas FS and 0.4 for BFC Daugavpils (total 2.3), with a 72% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 19.4% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Rīgas FS have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for BFC Daugavpils.

Season Stats

Rīgas FS
13W 1D 1L
BFC Daugavpils
4W 6D 5L
Averages per game
2.8
Goals
0.9
0.8
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
53%
73%
O 2.5
27%
47%
BTTS
53%
53%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Virsliga. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
95%
O 1.5
59%
O 2.5
53%
O 3.5
67%
BTTS
Rīgas FS
7W 1D 1L · at home
BFC Daugavpils
1W 4D 3L · away
3.2
gls/g
1.4
0.7
Conceded
2.0
78%
Win %
13%
89%
Win or Draw
63%
89%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
50%
67%
O 3.5
38%
33%
BTTS
100%
56%
Clean Sht
0%
11%
Failed to Score
0%
last 9
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Rīgas FS BFC Daugavpils →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.0% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% — —
1 19.4% 7.1% 1.3% 0.2% — —
2 18.8% 6.9% 1.3% 0.2% — —
3 12.1% 4.4% 0.8% 0.1% — —
4 5.9% 2.1% 0.4% — — —
5 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% — — —

Recent form

Rīgas FS Rīgas FS
W FK Liepaja 0–2
W Ogre United 6–0
L Riga 2–1
W Grobiņa 1–3
W Super Nova 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 44%
BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils
D Riga 0–0
W Grobiņa 1–0
D Super Nova 0–0
D Tukums 1–1
D FS Jelgava 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 12%

Playing profile

Rīgas FS Rīgas FS
Attack
68
Defence
84
Form
81
BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils
Attack
21
Defence
83
Form
45
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

3
Rīgas FS
0
Draw
0
BFC Daugavpils
13 May 2026 Virsliga 1–0
21 Mar 2026 Virsliga 4–1
28 Feb 2026 Friendlies Clubs 1–0

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Rīgas FS Rīgas FS 20 52
2 Riga Riga 20 49
3 Auda Auda 20 39
4 FK Liepaja FK Liepaja 20 25
5 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 20 24
6 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 20 22
7 Super Nova Super Nova 20 21
8 Tukums Tukums 20 17
9 Grobiņa Grobiņa 20 17
10 Ogre United Ogre United 20 10
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Rīgas FS vs BFC Daugavpils?
The model gives Rīgas FS a 73% win probability, 17% for a draw, and 8% for an BFC Daugavpils win.
How many goals are expected in Rīgas FS vs BFC Daugavpils?
Expected goals: Rīgas FS 1.9, BFC Daugavpils 0.4 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 72%.
What is the most likely score in Rīgas FS vs BFC Daugavpils?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 19.4%.