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Rīgas FS - FK Jablonec

Conference League August 13, 2026 18:30
Rīgas FS
vs
FK Jablonec
⚡ Pre-match analysis
48.98%
Win
Rīgas FS
23.12%
Draw
27.9%
Win
FK Jablonec
1.65
Expected xG
1.23

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.81%)
1X2 Result ✓ 82.4% hit rate (17 picks)
1 49%
X 23%
2 28%
Double Chance
1X 72%
X2 51%
12 77%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 88%
Over 2.5 71%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Rīgas FS a 48% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 27% for FK Jablonec. Expected goals are 1.7 for Rīgas FS and 1.2 for FK Jablonec (total 2.9), with a 87% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.81% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Rīgas FS have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FK Jablonec.

Season Stats

Rīgas FS
3W 2D 2L
FK Jablonec
2W 0D 1L
Averages per game
1.6
Goals
2.0
1.1
Conceded
1.0
1.0
Shots OT
5.0
6.0
Corners
2.0
53%
Poss.
47%
Percentages
86%
O 1.5
100%
43%
O 2.5
33%
57%
BTTS
33%
14%
Clean Sht
67%
ℹ Based on the last 7 matches in Conference League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
84%
O 3.5
84%
BTTS
Rīgas FS
2W 1D 0L · at home
FK Jablonec
0W 0D 1L · away
2.7
gls/g
2.0
1.0
Conceded
3.0
67%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
0%
100%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
100%
67%
O 3.5
100%
67%
BTTS
100%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Rīgas FS FK Jablonec →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6% 6.9% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.3% 11.4% 7.0% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.6% 9.4% 5.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.2% 5.2% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.7% 2.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% —
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% —

Recent form

Rīgas FS Rīgas FS
L FK Jablonec 2–0
D Vestri 1–1
W Vestri 4–1
W Glentoran 2–0
W Glentoran 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 41%
FK Jablonec FK Jablonec
W Rīgas FS 2–0
W NK Varazdin 2–0
L NK Varazdin 3–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Rīgas FS Rīgas FS
Attack
38
Defence
81
Form
65
FK Jablonec FK Jablonec
Attack
38
Defence
74
Form
66
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Rīgas FS
0
Draw
1
FK Jablonec
6 Aug 2026 Conference League 0–2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec?
The model gives Rīgas FS a 48% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 27% for an FK Jablonec win.
How many goals are expected in Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec?
Expected goals: Rīgas FS 1.7, FK Jablonec 1.2 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 87%.
What is the most likely score in Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.81%.