Virsliga
· Regular Season - 33
October 19, 2026 18:00
✓Model correct — prediction Rīgas FS
martins kigurs
(ast. lasha odisharia)
76'
martins kigurs
(ast. modou saidy)
88'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rīgas FS a 91% win probability (draw 5%, Tukums 2%). The final result was Rīgas FS 2–0 Tukums. In 3 previous meetings, Rīgas FS have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Tukums.
Match statistics
21
Total shots
3
7
Shots on target
1
2.66
Actual xG
0.22
73%
Possession
27%
11
Corners
0
4
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
Alfa balde
/ Darko Lemajić
46'
Rostand Ndjiki
/ martins kigurs
61'
Darko Lemajić
65'
70'
rudolfs melkis
/
Daniels radzenieks
⚽martins kigurs
· ast. lasha odisharia
76'
80'
Shun Shibata
/
Koyo Shigema
⚽martins kigurs
· ast. modou saidy
88'
lasha odisharia
/ Cedric kouadio
90'+2
Roberts Savalnieks
/ niks dusaliejvs
90'+2
modou saidy
/ Harona Njie
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
91.73%
Rīgas ←
5.45%
X
2.83%
Tukums
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Rīgas FS)
91.73%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.90
2.66
-1.24
0.44
0.22
-0.22
Rīgas FS dominated by xG (2.66 vs 0.22).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
16
J. Ņerugals
G
J. Ņerugals
G
6
A. Filipović
D
A. Filipović
D
43
Ž. Lipušček
D
Ž. Lipušček
D
23
H. Prenga
D
H. Prenga
D
11
R. Savaļnieks
89'
D
R. Savaļnieks
89'
D
66
M. Saidy
1 👟
89'
M
M. Saidy
1 👟
89'
M
26
S. Panić
M
S. Panić
M
8
L. Odisharia
1 👟
89'
M
L. Odisharia
1 👟
89'
M
10
J. Ikaunieks
M
J. Ikaunieks
M
19
Alfa Baldé
45'
F
Alfa Baldé
45'
F
15
R. Ndjiki
61'
M
R. Ndjiki
61'
M
Bench
17
C. Kouadio
F
22
D. Lemajić
45'
F
D. Lemajić
45'
F
9
Duje Korač
F
30
H. Njie
M
49
M. Ķigurs
2 ⚽
M
21
N. Dusalijevs
D
5
N. Sliede
D
N. Sliede
D
1
R. Matrevics
G
R. Matrevics
G
99
S. Kumater
M
S. Kumater
M
12
A. Kuprins
G
8
R. Reingolcs
D
R. Reingolcs
D
88
M. Štāls
D
M. Štāls
D
25
H. Joksts
M
6
K. Volkovs
M
K. Volkovs
M
16
Kristaps Klavins
M
Kristaps Klavins
M
4
K. Anmanis
M
K. Anmanis
M
5
J. Toba
M
J. Toba
M
29
K. Shigema
80'
M
K. Shigema
80'
M
19
D. Radzenieks
70'
F
D. Radzenieks
70'
F
10
B. Samoilovs
M
B. Samoilovs
M
Bench
18
D. Calbergs
D
22
E. Sprukts
F
30
M. Šusts
D
27
R. Deružinskis
F
28
R. Meļķis
D
R. Meļķis
D
7
S. Shibata
10'
M
S. Shibata
10'
M
Best on the pitch
Ž. Lipušček
D · Rīgas
8.60
1 shots
· 90 pass
A. Filipović
D · Rīgas
8.50
· 70 pass
S. Panić
M · Rīgas
8.40
2 shots
· 103 pass
M. Saidy
M · Rīgas
8.19
1 👟
· 83 pass
R. Savaļnieks
D · Rīgas
8.10
2 shots
· 55 pass
H. Prenga
D · Rīgas
7.70
· 84 pass
Rīgas FS — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Ņerugals | G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Filipović | D | 90 | 8.50 | — | — | 0 | 70 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| Ž. Lipušček | D | 90 | 8.60 | — | — | 1 | 90 | 84% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Prenga | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 0 | 84 | 78% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Savaļnieks | D | 89 | 8.10 | — | — | 2 | 55 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Saidy | M | 89 | 8.19 | — | 1 | 0 | 83 | 75% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Panić | M | 90 | 8.40 | — | — | 2 | 103 | 96% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Odisharia | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 44 | 35% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Ikaunieks | M | 90 | 7.10 | — | — | 6 | 37 | 31% | 0 | — | — |
| Alfa Baldé | F | 45 | 6.40 | — | — | 4 | 18 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Ndjiki | M | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Lemajić | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 8 | 5% | 0 | 1 | — |
Tukums — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Kuprins | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Reingolcs | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Štāls | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Joksts | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Volkovs | M | 90 | 7.40 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 20% | 5 | — | — |
| Kristaps Klavins | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Anmanis | M | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Toba | M | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Shigema | M | 80 | 6.80 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 20% | 5 | — | — |
| D. Radzenieks | F | 70 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Samoilovs | M | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Shibata | M | 10 | 5.93 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rīgas FS vs Tukums?
The final score was Rīgas FS 2–0 Tukums.
What did the model predict before Rīgas FS vs Tukums?
The model assigned 91% probability to a Rīgas FS win, 5% to a draw, and 2% to an Tukums win.