✗Model wrong — prediction Rio Ave, result Draw
O. Pohlmann
(ast. Diogo Bezerra)
18'
A. Ntoi
79'
32'
Tomane
68'
(ast. G. Neiva)
Pedro Lima
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rio Ave a 61% win probability (draw 24%, AVS 13%). The final result was Rio Ave 2–2 AVS. In 1 previous meetings, Rio Ave have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for AVS.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
10
8
Shots on target
7
2.36
Actual xG
1.57
5
Saves
7
66%
Possession
34%
4
Corners
9
15
Tackles
21
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽O. Pohlmann
· ast. Diogo Bezerra
18'
32'
Tomane⚽
Ryan Guilherme
/ T. Monteiro
64'
64'
Kiki
/
O. Perea
64'
G. Neiva
/
D. Rivas
Andreas Ndoj
66'
68'
ast. G. Neiva ·
Pedro Lima⚽
D. Spikic
/ A. Papakanellos
74'
⚽A. Ntoi
79'
Diogo Bezerra
/ Rafael Lobato
85'
O. Pohlmann
/ T. Nikitscher
85'
86'
A. Algobia
/
G. Mendonca
90'+1
Nene
/
Tomane
90'+1
D. Duarte
/
T. Akinsola
90'+3
Paulo Vitor
90'
Tomane
Pre-match prediction
61.25%
Rio
24.8%
X ←
13.94%
AVS
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
24.8%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.54
2.36
+0.82
0.44
1.57
+1.13
Rio Ave dominated by xG (2.36 vs 1.57).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
6
N. Abbey
D
N. Abbey
D
39
Gustavo Mancha
D
Gustavo Mancha
D
32
Jakub Brabec
D
Jakub Brabec
D
17
M. Vrousai
D
M. Vrousai
D
8
Ryan Guilherme
64'
M
Ryan Guilherme
64'
M
5
A. Ntoi
1 ⚽
M
A. Ntoi
1 ⚽
M
18
D. Špikić
74'
M
D. Špikić
74'
M
80
Ole Pohlmann
1 ⚽
85'
M
Ole Pohlmann
1 ⚽
85'
M
7
Diogo Bezerra
1 👟
85'
M
Diogo Bezerra
1 👟
85'
M
11
J. Blesa
F
J. Blesa
F
Bench
9
Tamble Monteiro
32'
F
Tamble Monteiro
32'
F
44
T. Nikitscher
11'
M
T. Nikitscher
11'
M
1
Adriel
G
Adriel
G
12
L. Rivas
64'
D
3
Paulo Vitor
D
Paulo Vitor
D
42
C. Devenish
D
C. Devenish
D
97
D
8
Pedro Lima
1 ⚽
M
Pedro Lima
1 ⚽
M
70
M
23
Gustavo Mendonca
86'
M
Gustavo Mendonca
86'
M
14
Ó. Perea
64'
F
Ó. Perea
64'
F
7
Tómané
1 ⚽
F
11
Tunde Akinsola
F
Tunde Akinsola
F
Bench
26
Carlos Ponck
D
20
Diego Duarte
5'
F
Diego Duarte
5'
F
21
Guilherme Neiva
1 👟
32'
F
19
T. Galletto
M
T. Galletto
M
Best on the pitch
G · Rio
7.70
· 33 pass
Tómané
F · AVS
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 25 pass
Pedro Lima
M · AVS
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 22 pass
Ó. Perea
F · AVS
7.50
1 shots
· 14 pass
Diogo Bezerra
M · Rio
7.50
1 👟
3 shots
· 22 pass
Tunde Akinsola
F · AVS
7.30
4 shots
· 11 pass
Rio Ave — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 30% | — | — | — | |
| N. Abbey | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 43 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo Mancha | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 77 | 72% | 1 | — | — |
| Jakub Brabec | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 66 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Vrousai | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 47% | 4 | — | — |
| Ryan Guilherme | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Ntoi | M | 96 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 62 | 56% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Špikić | M | 74 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Ole Pohlmann | M | 85 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Diogo Bezerra | M | 85 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 3 | 22 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Blesa | F | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Tamble Monteiro | F | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| T. Nikitscher | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
AVS — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adriel | G | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 17% | — | — | — |
| L. Rivas | D | 64 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 3 | — | — |
| Paulo Vitor | D | 96 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Devenish | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 4% | 4 | — | — | |
| Pedro Lima | M | 96 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 22 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | 2 | — | — | |
| Gustavo Mendonca | M | 86 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Ó. Perea | F | 64 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Tómané | F | 91 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 25 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| Tunde Akinsola | F | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | 4 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Diego Duarte | F | 5 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Neiva | F | 32 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rio Ave vs AVS?
The final score was Rio Ave 2–2 AVS.
What did the model predict before Rio Ave vs AVS?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Rio Ave win, 24% to a draw, and 13% to an AVS win.