Sebastian Clemensen
39'
Diogo Bezerra
(ast. Sebastian Clemensen)
57'
Jalen Blesa
72'
(pen.)
32'
(ast. Chico Gonçalves)
N. Kader
59'
N. Kader
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rio Ave a 34% win probability (draw 31%, Nacional 33%). The final result was Rio Ave 3–2 Nacional. In 2 previous meetings, Rio Ave have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Nacional.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
12
7
Shots on target
5
1.74
Actual xG
1.28
3
Saves
3
56%
Possession
44%
8
Corners
8
11
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
32'
ast. Chico Gonçalves ·
N. Kader⚽
⚽Sebastian Clemensen
39'
João Tomé Baptista
50'
João Tomé Baptista
54'
⚽Diogo Bezerra
· ast. Sebastian Clemensen
57'
59'
N. Kader⚽
Sebastian Clemensen
/ Roland Galcik
63'
Miguel Patricío
/ Francisco Petrasso
63'
68'
Fernando Nava Ortega
/
Daniel de Melo Araujo Junior
68'
Miguel Baeza
/
Chiheb Labidi
69'
⚽Jalen Blesa
(pen.)
72'
Jalen Blesa
73'
Diogo Bezerra
/ Diogo Nascimento
76'
Malik Sellouki
/ Simón García
76'
Jalen Blesa
/ Tamble Ulisses Folgado Monteiro
78'
78'
Allen Obando
/
Matchoi Djaló
81'
Joel da Silva
/
N. Kader
81'
Stavros Gavriel
/
Song Min-kyu
Roland Galcik
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
34.77%
Rio ←
31.31%
X
33.93%
Nacional
we assigned to the actual result (Rio Ave)
34.77%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.96
1.74
+0.79
1.05
1.28
+0.23
Rio Ave dominated by xG (1.74 vs 1.28).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
32
Vitor Hugo
G
Vitor Hugo
G
17
M. Vrousai
D
M. Vrousai
D
39
Gustavo Mancha
D
Gustavo Mancha
D
5
A. Ntoi
D
A. Ntoi
D
20
João Tomé
54'
D
João Tomé
54'
D
54
G. Liavas
M
G. Liavas
M
79
M. Patricio
63'
M
M. Patricio
63'
M
7
Diogo Bezerra
1 ⚽
76'
M
Diogo Bezerra
1 ⚽
76'
M
19
M. Sellouki
76'
M
M. Sellouki
76'
M
80
S. Clemmensen
1 ⚽
1 👟
63'
M
S. Clemmensen
1 ⚽
1 👟
63'
M
11
J. Blesa
1 ⚽
78'
F
J. Blesa
1 ⚽
78'
F
Bench
70
A. Wenck
M
A. Wenck
M
60
Caike
D
Caike
D
90
Diogo Nascimento
14'
M
Diogo Nascimento
14'
M
77
D. Špikić
F
D. Špikić
F
99
E. van der Gouw
G
E. van der Gouw
G
23
F. Petrasso
27'
D
F. Petrasso
27'
D
30
R. Galčík
27'
F
R. Galčík
27'
F
8
Ryan Guilherme
M
Ryan Guilherme
M
3
S. Garcia
14'
D
S. Garcia
14'
D
9
Tamble Monteiro
12'
F
Tamble Monteiro
12'
F
27
T. Medina
M
T. Medina
M
44
T. Nikitscher
M
T. Nikitscher
M
1
Renato Bellucci
G
Renato Bellucci
G
21
W. Kokolo
D
W. Kokolo
D
38
Zé Vitor
D
Zé Vitor
D
33
Francisco Gonçalves
1 👟
D
Francisco Gonçalves
1 👟
D
88
Deivison
D
Deivison
D
31
D. Dongmo
M
D. Dongmo
M
15
C. Labidi
68'
M
C. Labidi
68'
M
12
Song Min-Kyu
81'
M
Song Min-Kyu
81'
M
20
Matchoi Djaló
78'
M
Matchoi Djaló
78'
M
10
Daniel Júnior
68'
M
Daniel Júnior
68'
M
29
N. Kader
2 ⚽
81'
F
N. Kader
2 ⚽
81'
F
Bench
9
A. Obando
12'
F
A. Obando
12'
F
2
Daniel Isai de la Cruz de la Cruz
D
Daniel Isai de la Cruz de la Cruz
D
17
F. Nava
22'
F
F. Nava
22'
F
14
Ivanildo Fernandes
D
Ivanildo Fernandes
D
13
João Gonçalves
G
João Gonçalves
G
26
Joel da Silva
9'
M
Joel da Silva
9'
M
8
Miguel Baeza
22'
M
Miguel Baeza
22'
M
7
M. Jensen
M
M. Jensen
M
11
S. Gavriel
9'
M
S. Gavriel
9'
M
Best on the pitch
N. Kader
F · Nacional
8.52
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 10 pass
S. Clemmensen
M · Rio
8.45
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 27 pass
J. Blesa
F · Rio
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 21 pass
Diogo Bezerra
M · Rio
6.96
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 27 pass
Francisco Gonçalves
D · Nacional
6.75
1 👟
· 49 pass
Gustavo Mancha
D · Rio
6.66
· 65 pass
Rio Ave — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitor Hugo | G | 90 | 6.17 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Vrousai | D | 90 | 6.62 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| Gustavo Mancha | D | 90 | 6.66 | — | — | 0 | 65 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Ntoi | D | 90 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 66 | 58% | 0 | — | — |
| João Tomé | D | 54 | 5.35 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 24% | 0 | — | 1 |
| G. Liavas | M | 90 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 45 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Patricio | M | 63 | 6.65 | — | — | 3 | 31 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| Diogo Bezerra | M | 76 | 6.96 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Sellouki | M | 76 | 6.38 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Clemmensen | M | 63 | 8.45 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Blesa | F | 78 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Diogo Nascimento | M | 14 | 6.02 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Petrasso | D | 27 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Galčík | F | 27 | 6.49 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Garcia | D | 14 | 6.00 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| Tamble Monteiro | F | 12 | 6.61 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Nacional — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renato Bellucci | G | 90 | 5.66 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Kokolo | D | 90 | 6.32 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Zé Vitor | D | 90 | 6.09 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Francisco Gonçalves | D | 90 | 6.75 | — | 1 | 0 | 49 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Deivison | D | 90 | 6.27 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 31% | 5 | — | — |
| D. Dongmo | M | 90 | 5.64 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Labidi | M | 68 | 6.06 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| Song Min-Kyu | M | 81 | 6.16 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 14% | 5 | — | — |
| Matchoi Djaló | M | 78 | 6.02 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| Daniel Júnior | M | 68 | 5.42 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Kader | F | 81 | 8.52 | 2 | — | 3 | 10 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Obando | F | 12 | 6.63 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Nava | F | 22 | 6.15 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| Joel da Silva | M | 9 | 5.93 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Miguel Baeza | M | 22 | 6.46 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Gavriel | M | 9 | 5.84 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rio Ave vs Nacional?
The final score was Rio Ave 3–2 Nacional.
What did the model predict before Rio Ave vs Nacional?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Rio Ave win, 31% to a draw, and 33% to an Nacional win.