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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 33 May 11, 2026 21:15 Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube, Vila do Conde
Rio Ave
#5 · 0 pts
1 – 4
Final score
Sporting CP
#9 · 0 pts
Diogo Bezerra (ast. T. Monteiro) 12'
(pen.) 35' L. Suarez
(og) 42' Gustavo Mancha
66' (ast. O. Diomande) Trincao
90' (ast. M. Araujo) G. Quenda
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sporting CP a 53% win probability (draw 21%, Rio Ave 24%). The final result was Rio Ave 1–4 Sporting CP. In 1 previous meetings, Rio Ave have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sporting CP.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
5
0.70
Actual xG
1.58
2
Saves
2
36%
Possession
64%
5
Corners
6
15
Tackles
11
5
🟨 Yellow cards
2
2
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽Diogo Bezerra · ast. T. Monteiro
12'
Diogo Bezerra
13'
32'
O. Diomande
32'
L. Suarez
F. Petrasso
34'
35'
(pen.) L. Suarez⚽
42'
(og) Gustavo Mancha⚽
F. Petrasso
52'
F. Petrasso
52'
↕ T. Monteiro / J. Brabec
55'
64'
G. Catamo / Luis Guilherme ↕
↕ M. Vrousai / J. Tome
64'
65'
G. Quenda / H. Morita ↕
66'
ast. O. Diomande · Trincao⚽
↕ N. Abbey / O. Richards
72'
↕ D. Spikic / A. Papakanellos
73'
↕ Diogo Bezerra / A. Ntoi
73'
82'
G. Kochorashvili / D. Braganca ↕
82'
E. Felicissimo / Pote ↕
Ryan Guilherme
83'
Ryan Guilherme
85'
Ryan Guilherme
85'
90'+1
R. Nel / L. Suarez ↕
90'
ast. M. Araujo · G. Quenda⚽
Pre-match prediction
24.66%
Rio
21.8%
X
53.54%
Sporting ←
we assigned to the actual result (Sporting CP) 53.54% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Rio
1.26
0.70
-0.56
Sporting
1.64
1.58
-0.06
Sporting CP dominated by xG (1.58 vs 0.70). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Estrela Estrela 0 0
2 Guimaraes Guimaraes 0 0
3 Estoril Estoril 0 0
4 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 0 0
5 Rio Ave Rio Ave 0 0
6 Santa Clara Santa Clara 0 0
7 Moreirense Moreirense 0 0
8 FC Porto FC Porto 0 0
9 Sporting CP Sporting CP 0 0
10 Benfica Benfica 0 0
11 Maritimo Maritimo 0 0
12 SC Braga SC Braga 0 0
13 Nacional Nacional 0 0
14 Arouca Arouca 0 0
15 Casa Pia Casa Pia 0 0
16 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 0 0
17 Alverca Alverca 0 0
18 Famalicao Famalicao 0 0
Lineups
Rio Ave Rio Ave 4-2-3-1
1 Cezary Miszta Cezary Miszta G 5.90
6 Nelson Abbey Nelson Abbey 72' D 6.20
39 Gustavo Mancha Gustavo Mancha 1 ⚽ D 5.30
23 Francisco Petrasso Francisco Petrasso 52' D 4.90
17 Marios Vrousai Marios Vrousai 64' D 6.60
8 Ryan Guilherme Ryan Guilherme 85' M 6.20
44 Tamás Nikitscher Tamás Nikitscher M 6.30
18 Dario Špikić Dario Špikić 73' M 6.20
11 Jalen Blesa Jalen Blesa M 7.30
7 Diogo Bezerra Diogo Bezerra 1 ⚽ 73' M 7.90
9 Tamblé Monteiro Tamblé Monteiro 1 👟 55' F 7.00
Bench
5 A. Ntoi A. Ntoi 17' D 6.20
19 Antonis Papakanellos Antonis Papakanellos 17' M 6.30
99 Ennio Van Der Gouw Ennio Van Der Gouw G
54 Georgios Liavas Georgios Liavas M
32 Jakub Brabec Jakub Brabec 35' D 5.90
20 João Tomé João Tomé 26' D 6.50
63 Julien Lomboto Julien Lomboto D
80 Olinho Olinho M
77 Omar Richards Omar Richards 18' D 6.20
Sporting CP Sporting CP 4-2-3-1
1 Rui Silva Rui Silva G 6.60
20 M. Araújo M. Araújo 1 👟 D 6.30
25 Gonçalo Inácio Gonçalo Inácio D 6.90
26 Ousmane Diomande Ousmane Diomande 1 👟 D 6.90
72 Eduardo Quaresma Eduardo Quaresma D 6.60
5 Hidemasa Morita Hidemasa Morita 65' M 6.90
23 Daniel Bragança Daniel Bragança 82' M 7.20
8 Pote Pote 82' M 6.60
17 Francisco Trincão Francisco Trincão 1 ⚽ M 7.70
31 Luis Guilherme Luis Guilherme 64' M 6.30
97 L. Suárez L. Suárez 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.70
Bench
73 Eduardo Felicíssimo Eduardo Felicíssimo 8' M 6.60
10 Geny Catamo Geny Catamo 26' M 6.90
7 Geovany Quenda Geovany Quenda 1 ⚽ 25' M 7.30
14
Giorgi Kochorashvili 8' M 6.60
12 João Virgínia João Virgínia G
90 Rafael Nel Rafael Nel 1' F
91 Ricardo Mangas Ricardo Mangas D
70 Salvador Blopa Salvador Blopa D
15 S. Faye S. Faye F
Best on the pitch
Diogo Bezerra
Diogo Bezerra
M · Rio
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 16 pass
L. Suárez
L. Suárez
F · Sporting
7.70
1 ⚽
5 shots · 16 pass
Francisco Trincão
Francisco Trincão
M · Sporting
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 53 pass
Geovany Quenda
Geovany Quenda
M · Sporting
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 11 pass
Jalen Blesa
Jalen Blesa
M · Rio
7.30
1 shots · 30 pass
Daniel Bragança
Daniel Bragança
M · Sporting
7.20
· 53 pass
Rio Ave Rio Ave — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Cezary Miszta G 90 5.90 — — — 37 29% — — —
Nelson Abbey D 72 6.20 — — — 18 13% 2 — —
Gustavo Mancha D 90 5.30 1 — — 35 31% 1 — —
Francisco Petrasso D 52 4.90 — — — 18 17% — 2 1
Marios Vrousai D 64 6.60 — — — 22 18% 3 — —
Ryan Guilherme M 85 6.20 — — — 26 23% 2 2 1
Tamás Nikitscher M 90 6.30 — — — 23 20% 2 — —
Dario Špikić M 73 6.20 — — 2 16 12% 1 — —
Jalen Blesa M 90 7.30 — — 1 30 23% 1 — —
Diogo Bezerra M 73 7.90 1 — 1 16 10% — 1 —
Tamblé Monteiro F 55 7.00 — 1 4 19 16% 1 — —
A. Ntoi D 17 6.20 — — — 9 8% — — —
Antonis Papakanellos M 17 6.30 — — — 9 7% — — —
Jakub Brabec D 35 5.90 — — — 8 6% — — —
João Tomé D 26 6.50 — — 1 8 7% 2 — —
Omar Richards D 18 6.20 — — — 3 3% — — —
Sporting CP Sporting CP — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Rui Silva G 90 6.60 — — — 15 11% — — —
M. Araújo D 90 6.30 — 1 — 44 38% — — —
Gonçalo Inácio D 90 6.90 — — — 80 77% — — —
Ousmane Diomande D 90 6.90 — 1 — 64 58% — 1 —
Eduardo Quaresma D 90 6.60 — — — 54 52% 2 — —
Hidemasa Morita M 65 6.90 — — — 41 35% 1 — —
Daniel Bragança M 82 7.20 — — — 53 52% 3 — —
Pote M 82 6.60 — — 3 45 40% 2 — —
Francisco Trincão M 90 7.70 1 — 1 53 46% 1 — —
Luis Guilherme M 64 6.30 — — — 30 25% 1 — —
L. Suárez F 89 7.70 1 — 5 16 14% — 1 —
Eduardo Felicíssimo M 8 6.60 — — — 9 9% — — —
Geny Catamo M 26 6.90 — — — 15 14% — — —
Geovany Quenda M 25 7.30 1 — 2 11 9% — — —
Giorgi Kochorashvili M 8 6.60 — — — 5 5% 1 — —
Rafael Nel F 1 — — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rio Ave vs Sporting CP?
The final score was Rio Ave 1–4 Sporting CP.
What did the model predict before Rio Ave vs Sporting CP?
The model assigned 24% probability to a Rio Ave win, 21% to a draw, and 53% to an Sporting CP win.