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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 33 May 11, 2026 21:15 Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube, Vila do Conde
Rio Ave
#16 · 3 pts
1 – 4
Final score
Sporting CP
#3 · 13 pts
Diogo Bezerra (ast. T. Monteiro) 12'
(pen.) 35' L. Suarez
(og) 42' Gustavo Mancha
66' (ast. O. Diomande) Trincao
90' (ast. M. Araujo) G. Quenda
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sporting CP a 53% win probability (draw 21%, Rio Ave 24%). The final result was Rio Ave 1–4 Sporting CP. In 2 previous meetings, Rio Ave have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Sporting CP.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
5
0.70
Actual xG
1.58
2
Saves
2
36%
Possession
64%
5
Corners
6
15
Tackles
11
5
🟨 Yellow cards
2
2
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽Diogo Bezerra · ast. T. Monteiro
12'
Diogo Bezerra
13'
32'
O. Diomande
32'
L. Suarez
F. Petrasso
34'
35'
(pen.) L. Suarez⚽
42'
(og) Gustavo Mancha⚽
F. Petrasso
52'
F. Petrasso
52'
↕ T. Monteiro / J. Brabec
55'
64'
G. Catamo / Luis Guilherme ↕
↕ M. Vrousai / J. Tome
64'
65'
G. Quenda / H. Morita ↕
66'
ast. O. Diomande · Trincao⚽
↕ N. Abbey / O. Richards
72'
↕ D. Spikic / A. Papakanellos
73'
↕ Diogo Bezerra / A. Ntoi
73'
82'
G. Kochorashvili / D. Braganca ↕
82'
E. Felicissimo / Pote ↕
Ryan Guilherme
83'
Ryan Guilherme
85'
Ryan Guilherme
85'
90'+1
R. Nel / L. Suarez ↕
90'
ast. M. Araujo · G. Quenda⚽
Pre-match prediction
24.66%
Rio
21.8%
X
53.54%
Sporting ←
we assigned to the actual result (Sporting CP) 53.54% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Rio
1.26
0.70
-0.56
Sporting
1.64
1.58
-0.06
Sporting CP dominated by xG (1.58 vs 0.70). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 5 15
2 Benfica Benfica 5 13
3 Sporting CP Sporting CP 5 13
4 Santa Clara Santa Clara 5 11
5 Arouca Arouca 5 10
6 Estrela Estrela 5 9
7 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 4 7
8 SC Braga SC Braga 4 7
9 Maritimo Maritimo 5 7
10 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 5 5
11 Alverca Alverca 6 5
12 Vitória SC Vitória SC 5 4
13 Nacional Nacional 6 4
14 Moreirense Moreirense 5 4
15 Famalicao Famalicao 5 3
16 Rio Ave Rio Ave 5 3
17 Estoril Estoril 5 2
18 Casa Pia Casa Pia 5 1
Lineups
Rio Ave Rio Ave 4-2-3-1
1 Cezary Miszta Cezary Miszta G 5.90
6 Nelson Abbey Nelson Abbey 72' D 6.20
39 Gustavo Mancha Gustavo Mancha 1 ⚽ D 5.30
23 F. Petrasso F. Petrasso 52' D 4.90
17 M. Vrousai M. Vrousai 64' D 6.60
8 Ryan Guilherme Ryan Guilherme 85' M 6.20
44 T. Nikitscher T. Nikitscher M 6.30
18 D. Špikić D. Špikić 73' M 6.20
11 J. Blesa J. Blesa M 7.30
7 Diogo Bezerra Diogo Bezerra 1 ⚽ 73' M 7.90
9 Tamble Monteiro Tamble Monteiro 1 👟 55' F 7.00
Bench
5 A. Ntoi A. Ntoi 17' D 6.20
19 A. Papakanellos A. Papakanellos 17' M 6.30
99 E. van der Gouw E. van der Gouw G
54 G. Liavas G. Liavas M
32 Jakub Brabec Jakub Brabec 35' D 5.90
20 João Tomé João Tomé 26' D 6.50
63 Julien Lomboto Julien Lomboto D
80 Ole Pohlmann Ole Pohlmann M
77 O. Richards O. Richards 18' D 6.20
Sporting CP Sporting CP 4-2-3-1
1 Rui Silva Rui Silva G 6.60
20 M. Araújo M. Araújo 1 👟 D 6.30
25 Gonçalo Inácio Gonçalo Inácio D 6.90
26 O. Diomande O. Diomande 1 👟 D 6.90
72 Eduardo Quaresma Eduardo Quaresma D 6.60
5 H. Morita H. Morita 65' M 6.90
23 Daniel Bragança Daniel Bragança 82' M 7.20
8 Pedro Gonçalves Pedro Gonçalves 82' M 6.60
17 Trincão Trincão 1 ⚽ M 7.70
31 Luis Guilherme Luis Guilherme 64' M 6.30
97 L. Suárez L. Suárez 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.70
Bench
73 Eduardo Felicíssimo Eduardo Felicíssimo 8' M 6.60
10 Geny Catamo Geny Catamo 26' M 6.90
7 Geovany Tcherno Quenda Geovany Tcherno Quenda 1 ⚽ 25' M 7.30
14 G. Kochorashvili G. Kochorashvili 8' M 6.60
12 João Virgínia João Virgínia G
90 Rafael Ferreira Nel Rafael Ferreira Nel 1' F
91 Ricardo Mangas Ricardo Mangas D
70 Salvador Blopa Salvador Blopa D
15 S. Faye S. Faye F
Best on the pitch
Diogo Bezerra
Diogo Bezerra
M · Rio
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 16 pass
L. Suárez
L. Suárez
F · Sporting
7.70
1 ⚽
5 shots · 16 pass
Trincão
Trincão
M · Sporting
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 53 pass
Geovany Tcherno Quenda
Geovany Tcherno Quenda
M · Sporting
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 11 pass
J. Blesa
J. Blesa
M · Rio
7.30
1 shots · 30 pass
Daniel Bragança
Daniel Bragança
M · Sporting
7.20
· 53 pass
Rio Ave Rio Ave — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Cezary Miszta G 90 5.90 — — — 37 29% — — —
Nelson Abbey D 72 6.20 — — — 18 13% 2 — —
Gustavo Mancha D 90 5.30 1 — — 35 31% 1 — —
F. Petrasso D 52 4.90 — — — 18 17% — 2 1
M. Vrousai D 64 6.60 — — — 22 18% 3 — —
Ryan Guilherme M 85 6.20 — — — 26 23% 2 2 1
T. Nikitscher M 90 6.30 — — — 23 20% 2 — —
D. Špikić M 73 6.20 — — 2 16 12% 1 — —
J. Blesa M 90 7.30 — — 1 30 23% 1 — —
Diogo Bezerra M 73 7.90 1 — 1 16 10% — 1 —
Tamble Monteiro F 55 7.00 — 1 4 19 16% 1 — —
A. Ntoi D 17 6.20 — — — 9 8% — — —
A. Papakanellos M 17 6.30 — — — 9 7% — — —
Jakub Brabec D 35 5.90 — — — 8 6% — — —
João Tomé D 26 6.50 — — 1 8 7% 2 — —
O. Richards D 18 6.20 — — — 3 3% — — —
Sporting CP Sporting CP — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Rui Silva G 90 6.60 — — — 15 11% — — —
M. Araújo D 90 6.30 — 1 — 44 38% — — —
Gonçalo Inácio D 90 6.90 — — — 80 77% — — —
O. Diomande D 90 6.90 — 1 — 64 58% — 1 —
Eduardo Quaresma D 90 6.60 — — — 54 52% 2 — —
H. Morita M 65 6.90 — — — 41 35% 1 — —
Daniel Bragança M 82 7.20 — — — 53 52% 3 — —
Pedro Gonçalves M 82 6.60 — — 3 45 40% 2 — —
Trincão M 90 7.70 1 — 1 53 46% 1 — —
Luis Guilherme M 64 6.30 — — — 30 25% 1 — —
L. Suárez F 89 7.70 1 — 5 16 14% — 1 —
Eduardo Felicíssimo M 8 6.60 — — — 9 9% — — —
Geny Catamo M 26 6.90 — — — 15 14% — — —
Geovany Tcherno Quenda M 25 7.30 1 — 2 11 9% — — —
G. Kochorashvili M 8 6.60 — — — 5 5% 1 — —
Rafael Ferreira Nel F 1 — — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rio Ave vs Sporting CP?
The final score was Rio Ave 1–4 Sporting CP.
What did the model predict before Rio Ave vs Sporting CP?
The model assigned 24% probability to a Rio Ave win, 21% to a draw, and 53% to an Sporting CP win.