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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 4 August 28, 2026 21:15
Rio Ave
#16 · 3 pts
0 – 4
Final score
Sporting CP
#3 · 13 pts
5' (ast. I. Doumbia) F. Goncalves
19' (ast. F. Goncalves) G. Catamo
26' L. Suarez
37' (ast. M. Araujo) L. Suarez
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sporting CP a 45% win probability (draw 27%, Rio Ave 27%). The final result was Rio Ave 0–4 Sporting CP. In 2 previous meetings, Rio Ave have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Sporting CP.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
12
0
Shots on target
7
0.47
Actual xG
1.88
3
Saves
0
39%
Possession
61%
2
Corners
3
19
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
5'
ast. I. Doumbia · F. Goncalves⚽
19'
ast. F. Goncalves · G. Catamo⚽
26'
L. Suarez⚽
37'
ast. M. Araujo · L. Suarez⚽
51'
L. Suarez
T. Nikitscher
60'
65'
Luis Guilherme / G. Catamo ↕
65'
F. Ioannidis / F. Goncalves ↕
65'
S. Andersen / I. Doumbia ↕
↕ Diogo Bezerra / M. Sellouki
66'
↕ D. Spikic / R. Galcik
74'
↕ T. Nikitscher / A. Wenck
74'
81'
N. Irankunda / R. Zalazar ↕
↕ J. Blesa / Caike
86'
86'
J. Derry / L. Suarez ↕
↕ M. Vrousai / M. Patricio
86'
Pre-match prediction
27.07%
Rio
27.42%
X
45.52%
Sporting ←
we assigned to the actual result (Sporting CP) 45.52% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Rio
1.32
0.47
-0.85
Sporting
2.61
1.88
-0.73
Sporting CP dominated by xG (1.88 vs 0.47). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 5 15
2 Benfica Benfica 5 13
3 Sporting CP Sporting CP 5 13
4 Santa Clara Santa Clara 5 11
5 Arouca Arouca 5 10
6 Estrela Estrela 5 9
7 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 4 7
8 SC Braga SC Braga 4 7
9 Maritimo Maritimo 5 7
10 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 5 5
11 Alverca Alverca 6 5
12 Vitória SC Vitória SC 5 4
13 Nacional Nacional 6 4
14 Moreirense Moreirense 5 4
15 Famalicao Famalicao 5 3
16 Rio Ave Rio Ave 5 3
17 Estoril Estoril 5 2
18 Casa Pia Casa Pia 5 1
Lineups
Rio Ave Rio Ave 4-2-3-1
99 E. van der Gouw E. van der Gouw G 6.20
17 M. Vrousai M. Vrousai 86' D 6.20
39 Gustavo Mancha Gustavo Mancha D 6.00
23 F. Petrasso F. Petrasso D 6.20
54 G. Liavas G. Liavas D 6.30
5 A. Ntoi A. Ntoi M 6.20
44 T. Nikitscher T. Nikitscher 74' M 6.70
77 D. Špikić D. Špikić 74' M 6.20
11 J. Blesa J. Blesa 86' M 6.60
7 Diogo Bezerra Diogo Bezerra 66' M 6.20
9 Tamble Monteiro Tamble Monteiro F 6.30
Bench
70 A. Wenck A. Wenck 16' M 6.30
60 Caike Caike 4' D
14 Jakub Brabec Jakub Brabec D
20 João Tomé João Tomé D
22 K. Chamorro K. Chamorro G
79 M. Patricio M. Patricio 4' F
19 M. Sellouki M. Sellouki 24' M 7.00
24 Pedro Amaral Pedro Amaral D
25 Rafael Lobato Rafael Lobato F
30 R. Galčík R. Galčík 16' F 6.30
67 Samuel Samuel F
27 T. Medina T. Medina M
Sporting CP Sporting CP 4-2-3-1
1 Rui Silva Rui Silva G 6.70
20 M. Araújo M. Araújo 1 👟 D 6.30
25 Gonçalo Inácio Gonçalo Inácio D 7.50
6 Z. Debast Z. Debast D 7.60
22 Iván Fresneda Iván Fresneda D 6.90
77 I. Doumbia I. Doumbia 1 👟 65' M 7.00
5 Sergi Altimira Sergi Altimira M 7.60
58 Flávio Gonçalves Flávio Gonçalves 1 ⚽ 1 👟 65' M 8.30
17 R. Zalazar R. Zalazar 81' M 6.70
10 Geny Catamo Geny Catamo 1 ⚽ 65' M 7.30
97 L. Suárez L. Suárez 2 ⚽ 86' F 8.20
Bench
41 Diego Callai Diego Callai G
72 Eduardo Quaresma Eduardo Quaresma D
7 F. Ioannidis F. Ioannidis 25' F 6.30
13 G. Vagiannidis G. Vagiannidis D
55 Ibrahima Ba Ibrahima Ba D
28 J. Derry J. Derry 4' F
31 Luis Guilherme Luis Guilherme 25' F 6.60
19 N. Irankunda N. Irankunda 9' F 6.90
21 Pedro Lima Pedro Lima M
9 Rafael Ferreira Nel Rafael Ferreira Nel F
50 Rodrigo Dias Rodrigo Dias D
4 S. Andersen S. Andersen 25' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
Flávio Gonçalves
Flávio Gonçalves
M · Sporting
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 26 pass
L. Suárez
L. Suárez
F · Sporting
8.20
2 ⚽
2 shots · 27 pass
Sergi Altimira
Sergi Altimira
M · Sporting
7.60
· 85 pass
Z. Debast
Z. Debast
D · Sporting
7.60
· 85 pass
Gonçalo Inácio
Gonçalo Inácio
D · Sporting
7.50
· 105 pass
Geny Catamo
Geny Catamo
M · Sporting
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 22 pass
Rio Ave Rio Ave — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. van der Gouw G 90 6.20 — — — 40 33% — — —
M. Vrousai D 86 6.20 — — — 25 18% 9 — —
Gustavo Mancha D 90 6.00 — — — 55 50% — — —
F. Petrasso D 90 6.20 — — — 57 49% 2 — —
G. Liavas D 90 6.30 — — — 42 36% 2 — —
A. Ntoi M 90 6.20 — — 1 31 24% 1 — —
T. Nikitscher M 74 6.70 — — — 34 30% 2 1 —
D. Špikić M 74 6.20 — — 2 20 18% 1 — —
J. Blesa M 86 6.60 — — — 30 24% — — —
Diogo Bezerra M 66 6.20 — — — 12 8% — — —
Tamble Monteiro F 90 6.30 — — 1 16 16% 1 — —
A. Wenck M 16 6.30 — — — 7 5% — — —
Caike D 4 — — — — 1 — — — —
M. Patricio F 4 — — — — 1 1% — — —
M. Sellouki M 24 7.00 — — 1 10 10% 1 — —
R. Galčík F 16 6.30 — — — 7 6% — — —
Sporting CP Sporting CP — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Rui Silva G 90 6.70 — — — 27 24% — — —
M. Araújo D 90 6.30 — 1 1 53 43% — — —
Gonçalo Inácio D 90 7.50 — — — 105 94% 1 — —
Z. Debast D 90 7.60 — — — 85 79% — — —
Iván Fresneda D 90 6.90 — — — 54 50% 1 — —
I. Doumbia M 65 7.00 — 1 1 37 32% 1 — —
Sergi Altimira M 90 7.60 — — — 85 84% 7 — —
Flávio Gonçalves M 65 8.30 1 1 1 26 22% 4 — —
R. Zalazar M 81 6.70 — — 2 48 44% — — —
Geny Catamo M 65 7.30 1 — 1 22 16% — — —
L. Suárez F 86 8.20 2 — 2 27 25% — 1 —
F. Ioannidis F 25 6.30 — — 1 6 5% — — —
J. Derry F 4 — — — 1 2 2% — — —
Luis Guilherme F 25 6.60 — — 1 10 9% — — —
N. Irankunda F 9 6.90 — — 1 3 3% — — —
S. Andersen M 25 6.30 — — — 21 19% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rio Ave vs Sporting CP?
The final score was Rio Ave 0–4 Sporting CP.
What did the model predict before Rio Ave vs Sporting CP?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Rio Ave win, 27% to a draw, and 45% to an Sporting CP win.