Rio Ave - Tondela
Friendlies Clubs
August 01, 2026 14:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.23%
Win
Rio Ave
30.33%
Draw
29.44%
Win
Tondela
2.04
0.63
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(9.39%)
1X2 Result
1
40%
X
30%
2
29%
Double Chance
1X
71%
X2
60%
12
70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
54%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Rio Ave a 40% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Tondela. Expected goals are 2.0 for Rio Ave and 0.6 for Tondela (total 2.7), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.39% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Rio Ave have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Tondela.
Season Stats
2W
1D
0L
2W
2D
2L
Averages per game
2.3
Goals
1.0
1.0
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
67%
100%
O 2.5
33%
67%
BTTS
67%
33%
Clean Sht
17%
ℹ
Based on the last 6 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
1W
1D
0L
· at home
0W
0D
1L
· away
2.0
gls/g
0.0
1.5
Conceded
1.0
50%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
0%
100%
O 1.5
0%
100%
O 2.5
0%
50%
O 3.5
0%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
100%
last 2
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Rio Ave
Tondela →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.9% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | — | — |
| 1 | 14.1% | 8.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 14.4% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 9.8% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 5 | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Rio Ave
Attack
58
Defence
75
Form
69
Tondela
Attack
25
Defence
75
Form
48
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Rio Ave vs Tondela?
The model gives Rio Ave a 40% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 29% for an Tondela win.
How many goals are expected in Rio Ave vs Tondela?
Expected goals: Rio Ave 2.0, Tondela 0.6 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Rio Ave vs Tondela?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.39%.