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Liga Profesional · Clausura - 1 July 26, 2026 00:15 Estadio Alberto J. Armando, Buenos Aires
River Plate
#2 · 29 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Barracas Central
#9 · 21 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction River Plate, result Barracas Central wins
22' G. Morales
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave River Plate a 53% win probability (draw 30%, Barracas Central 16%). The final result was River Plate 0–1 Barracas Central. In 1 previous meetings, River Plate have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Barracas Central.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
4
4
Shots on target
2
0.57
Actual xG
0.44
1
Saves
4
76%
Possession
24%
3
Corners
1
13
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
22'
G. Morales⚽
41'
44'
K. Jappert
E. Centurion
45'+3
↕ Fausto Vera / J. Freitas
46'
↕ L. Pereyra / L. Beltran
46'
52'
N. Briasco
58'
G. Maroni / G. Morales ↕
58'
J. Candia / N. Briasco ↕
↕ F. Colidio / A. Correa
67'
67'
F. Tobio / T. Porra ↕
67'
I. A. Guaraz / Y. Rak ↕
↕ T. Galvan / M. Arambarri
68'
M. Arambarri
72'
78'
J. Candia
81'
D. Miloc
88'
I. A. Guaraz
90'
E. Pereyra / I. Tapia ↕
Pre-match prediction
53.33%
River
30.09%
X
16.57%
Barracas ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Barracas Central) 16.57% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
River
1.07
0.57
-0.5
Barracas
0.54
0.44
-0.1
xG dominance was balanced (0.57 – 0.44). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 16 34
2 River Plate River Plate 16 29
3 Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS 16 29
4 Rosario Central Rosario Central 16 28
5 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 16 26
6 Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. 16 26
7 Huracan Huracan 16 22
8 Racing Club Racing Club 16 21
9 Barracas Central Barracas Central 16 21
10 Tigre Tigre 16 20
11 Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin 16 19
12 Banfield Banfield 16 18
13 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 16 14
14 Aldosivi Aldosivi 16 8
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 5
Lineups
River Plate River Plate 4-2-3-1
41 S. Beltrán S. Beltrán G 6.90
21 M. Acuña M. Acuña D 7.20
30 N. Otamendi N. Otamendi D 7.30
28 L. Martínez L. Martínez D 7.00
29 G. Montiel G. Montiel D 6.90
44 L. Silva L. Silva M 7.70
15 F. Vera F. Vera 45' M 7.30
11 F. Colidio F. Colidio 67' M 6.90
25 L. Pereyra L. Pereyra 45' M 6.30
26 T. Galván T. Galván 67' M 6.90
19 R. Borré R. Borré F 6.20
Bench
10 Á. Correa Á. Correa 23' F 6.30
33 E. Centurión E. Centurión G
31 Facundo González Facundo González D
20 G. González G. González D
35 J. Freitas J. Freitas 45' F 6.30
24 J. Meza J. Meza M
18 L. Beltrán L. Beltrán 45' F 7.00
13 L. Rivero L. Rivero D
8 M. Arambarri M. Arambarri 23' M 6.90
36 U. Giménez U. Giménez D
Barracas Central Barracas Central 5-3-2
30 M. Miño M. Miño G 7.30
6 R. Insúa R. Insúa D 6.70
31 N. Demartini N. Demartini D 6.90
15 Y. Rak Y. Rak 67' D 7.00
14 K. Jappert K. Jappert D 6.60
13 Rafael Barrios Rafael Barrios D 6.50
10 I. Tapia I. Tapia 89' M 6.70
5 D. Miloc D. Miloc M 6.20
8 T. Porra T. Porra 67' M 6.50
11 N. Briasco N. Briasco 58' F 5.90
9 J. Morales J. Morales 1 ⚽ 58' F 7.20
Bench
24 Enzo Taborda Enzo Taborda F
17 E. Pereyra E. Pereyra 8' D 6.70
32 Fernando Tobio Fernando Tobio 23' D 6.60
37 G. Campi G. Campi D
33 G. Maroni G. Maroni 32' M 6.90
16 Ivan Guaraz Ivan Guaraz 23' F 6.20
20 J. Candia J. Candia 32' F 6.70
1 J. Espínola J. Espínola G
7 Juan Ignacio Barbieri Juan Ignacio Barbieri F
2 N. Capraro N. Capraro D
28 R. Bogarín R. Bogarín M
25 Yeison Gordillo Yeison Gordillo M
Best on the pitch
L. Silva
L. Silva
M · River
7.70
1 shots · 88 pass
N. Otamendi
N. Otamendi
D · River
7.30
1 shots · 101 pass
F. Vera
F. Vera
M · River
7.30
· 39 pass
M. Miño
M. Miño
G · Barracas
7.30
· 36 pass
J. Morales
J. Morales
F · Barracas
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 3 pass
M. Acuña
M. Acuña
D · River
7.20
· 85 pass
River Plate River Plate — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Beltrán G 90 6.90 — — — 12 12% — — —
M. Acuña D 90 7.20 — — — 85 67% 2 — —
N. Otamendi D 90 7.30 — — 1 101 93% 1 — —
L. Martínez D 90 7.00 — — — 72 65% 2 — —
G. Montiel D 90 6.90 — — 1 69 58% 1 — —
L. Silva M 90 7.70 — — 1 88 82% 1 — —
F. Vera M 45 7.30 — — — 39 35% 1 — —
F. Colidio M 67 6.90 — — 3 29 19% — — —
L. Pereyra M 45 6.30 — — — 18 14% — — —
T. Galván M 67 6.90 — — 2 39 36% — — —
R. Borré F 90 6.20 — — 1 18 13% 3 — —
Á. Correa F 23 6.30 — — 1 9 7% — — —
J. Freitas F 45 6.30 — — — 12 9% — — —
L. Beltrán F 45 7.00 — — 3 12 9% — — —
M. Arambarri M 23 6.90 — — — 7 5% 2 1 —
Barracas Central Barracas Central — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Miño G 90 7.30 — — — 36 12% — — —
R. Insúa D 90 6.70 — — — 11 3% — — —
N. Demartini D 90 6.90 — — — 19 9% 2 — —
Y. Rak D 67 7.00 — — — 18 10% 1 — —
K. Jappert D 90 6.60 — — — 12 6% 1 1 —
Rafael Barrios D 90 6.50 — — — 19 10% 2 — —
I. Tapia M 89 6.70 — — — 15 10% 1 — —
D. Miloc M 90 6.20 — — — 19 15% 1 1 —
T. Porra M 67 6.50 — — — 22 11% 2 — —
N. Briasco F 58 5.90 — — — 5 3% 1 1 —
J. Morales F 58 7.20 1 — 3 3 2% — — —
E. Pereyra D 8 6.70 — — — 1 — — — —
Fernando Tobio D 23 6.60 — — — 4 1% — — —
G. Maroni M 32 6.90 — — 1 7 5% 1 — —
Ivan Guaraz F 23 6.20 — — — 3 2% 1 1 —
J. Candia F 32 6.70 — — — 5 3% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of River Plate vs Barracas Central?
The final score was River Plate 0–1 Barracas Central.
What did the model predict before River Plate vs Barracas Central?
The model assigned 53% probability to a River Plate win, 30% to a draw, and 16% to an Barracas Central win.