Liga Profesional
· Apertura - Final
May 24, 2026 20:30
✗Model wrong — prediction River Plate, result Belgrano Cordoba wins
F. Colidio
(ast. T. Galvan)
18'
T. Galvan
(ast. F. Colidio)
60'
26'
(ast. L. Zelarayan)
L. Morales
(pen.)
83'
N. Fernandez
88'
(ast. F. Vazquez)
N. Fernandez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave River Plate a 54% win probability (draw 26%, Belgrano Cordoba 18%). The final result was River Plate 2–3 Belgrano Cordoba. In 1 previous meetings, River Plate have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Belgrano Cordoba.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
6
1.40
Actual xG
1.70
3
Saves
2
62%
Possession
38%
6
Corners
4
24
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
A. Moreno
3'
⚽F. Colidio
· ast. T. Galvan
18'
26'
ast. L. Zelarayan ·
L. Morales⚽
46'
A. Ocampo
/
A. Maldonado
48'
L. Passerini
⚽T. Galvan
· ast. F. Colidio
60'
63'
F. Vazquez
/
S. Longo
63'
R. Hernandes
/
J. Velazquez
M. Acuna
/ G. Pezzella
70'
74'
A. Sanchez
76'
N. Fernandez
/
L. Passerini
83'
(pen.)
N. Fernandez⚽
88'
ast. F. Vazquez ·
N. Fernandez⚽
J. Meza
/ J. Quintero
89'
90'+1
F. Ricca
/
E. Rigoni
E. Coudet
90'+1
T. Galvan
/ K. Paez
90'+2
A. Moreno
/ M. Salas
90'+2
90'+4
F. Vazquez
Pre-match prediction
54.62%
River
26.65%
X
18.73%
Belgrano ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Belgrano Cordoba)
18.73%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.41
1.40
-0.01
0.66
1.70
+1.04
xG dominance was balanced (1.40 – 1.70).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
41
S. Beltrán
G
S. Beltrán
G
21
M. Acuña
70'
D
M. Acuña
70'
D
13
L. Rivero
D
L. Rivero
D
28
L. Martínez
D
L. Martínez
D
16
Fabricio Bustos
D
Fabricio Bustos
D
15
F. Vera
M
F. Vera
M
6
Aníbal Moreno
89'
M
Aníbal Moreno
89'
M
26
T. Galván
1 ⚽
1 👟
89'
M
T. Galván
1 ⚽
1 👟
89'
M
11
F. Colidio
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
F. Colidio
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
24
J. Meza
89'
M
J. Meza
89'
M
35
J. Freitas
F
J. Freitas
F
Bench
31
Facundo González
D
Facundo González
D
1
Franco Armani
G
Franco Armani
G
20
Germán Pezzella
20'
D
34
Giuliano Galoppo
M
Giuliano Galoppo
M
29
G. Montiel
D
G. Montiel
D
10
J. Quintero
10'
M
J. Quintero
10'
M
22
K. Castaño
M
K. Castaño
M
19
Kendry Páez
1'
M
Kendry Páez
1'
M
25
L. Pereyra
M
L. Pereyra
M
44
L. Silva
M
L. Silva
M
8
M. Meza
M
M. Meza
M
7
M. Salas
1'
F
M. Salas
1'
F
25
T. Cardozo
G
T. Cardozo
G
3
A. Spörle
D
A. Spörle
D
2
A. Maldonado
45'
D
A. Maldonado
45'
D
14
L. Morales
1 ⚽
D
L. Morales
1 ⚽
D
45
Agustín Falcón
D
Agustín Falcón
D
53
J. Velazquez
63'
M
J. Velazquez
63'
M
5
S. Longo
63'
M
S. Longo
63'
M
21
A. Sánchez
M
A. Sánchez
M
24
E. Rigoni
89'
M
E. Rigoni
89'
M
10
L. Zelarayán
1 👟
F
L. Zelarayán
1 👟
F
9
L. Passerini
76'
F
L. Passerini
76'
F
Bench
26
Alcides Benítez
D
Alcides Benítez
D
13
Álvaro Ocampo
45'
D
Álvaro Ocampo
45'
D
11
F. González
M
F. González
M
16
F. Ricca
8'
D
F. Ricca
8'
D
20
F. Vázquez
1 👟
27'
M
F. Vázquez
1 👟
27'
M
30
G. Zelarayán
F
G. Zelarayán
F
42
J. Lucco
F
J. Lucco
F
32
J. Mavilla
M
J. Mavilla
M
37
L. Gutierrez
F
L. Gutierrez
F
23
M. Vicentini
G
M. Vicentini
G
22
N. Fernández
2 ⚽
14'
F
N. Fernández
2 ⚽
14'
F
51
R. Hernandes
27'
M
R. Hernandes
27'
M
Best on the pitch
T. Galván
M · River
8.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 31 pass
N. Fernández
F · Belgrano
7.90
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 5 pass
F. Colidio
M · River
7.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 7 pass
L. Morales
D · Belgrano
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 27 pass
J. Quintero
M · River
7.20
· 6 pass
T. Cardozo
G · Belgrano
7.20
· 20 pass
River Plate — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Beltrán | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | — | — | — |
| M. Acuña | D | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 30% | 4 | — | — |
| L. Rivero | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 41% | 5 | — | — |
| L. Martínez | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 62 | 51% | 3 | — | — |
| Fabricio Bustos | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Vera | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 59% | — | — | — |
| Aníbal Moreno | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 39% | 3 | 1 | — |
| T. Galván | M | 89 | 8.70 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Colidio | M | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| J. Meza | M | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Freitas | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Germán Pezzella | D | 20 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Quintero | M | 10 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Kendry Páez | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Salas | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Belgrano Cordoba — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Cardozo | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 10% | — | — | — |
| A. Spörle | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Maldonado | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Morales | D | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Agustín Falcón | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Velazquez | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Longo | M | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Sánchez | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | 5 | 1 | — |
| E. Rigoni | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| L. Zelarayán | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 23 | 21% | — | — | — |
| L. Passerini | F | 76 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Álvaro Ocampo | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Ricca | D | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Vázquez | M | 27 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Fernández | F | 14 | 7.90 | 2 | — | 3 | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| R. Hernandes | M | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of River Plate vs Belgrano Cordoba?
The final score was River Plate 2–3 Belgrano Cordoba.
What did the model predict before River Plate vs Belgrano Cordoba?
The model assigned 54% probability to a River Plate win, 26% to a draw, and 18% to an Belgrano Cordoba win.