River Plate 2–3 Belgrano Cordoba — pre-match prediction — Liga Profesional — May 24, 2026

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Liga Profesional · Apertura - Final May 24, 2026 20:30

River Plate

#2 · 29 pts

2 – 3

Final score

Belgrano Cordoba

#5 · 26 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction River Plate, result Belgrano Cordoba wins

F. Colidio (ast. T. Galvan) 18'

T. Galvan (ast. F. Colidio) 60'

26' (ast. L. Zelarayan) L. Morales

(pen.) 83' N. Fernandez

88' (ast. F. Vazquez) N. Fernandez

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave River Plate a 54% win probability (draw 26%, Belgrano Cordoba 18%). The final result was River Plate 2–3 Belgrano Cordoba. In 1 previous meetings, River Plate have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Belgrano Cordoba.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.40

Actual xG

1.70

Saves

62%

Possession

38%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

A. Moreno

⚽F. Colidio · ast. T. Galvan

18'

26'

ast. L. Zelarayan · L. Morales⚽

46'

A. Ocampo / A. Maldonado ↕

48'

L. Passerini

⚽T. Galvan · ast. F. Colidio

60'

63'

F. Vazquez / S. Longo ↕

63'

R. Hernandes / J. Velazquez ↕

↕ M. Acuna / G. Pezzella

70'

74'

A. Sanchez

76'

N. Fernandez / L. Passerini ↕

83'

(pen.) N. Fernandez⚽

88'

ast. F. Vazquez · N. Fernandez⚽

↕ J. Meza / J. Quintero

89'

90'+1

F. Ricca / E. Rigoni ↕

E. Coudet

90'+1

↕ T. Galvan / K. Paez

90'+2

↕ A. Moreno / M. Salas

90'+2

90'+4

F. Vazquez

Pre-match prediction

54.62%

River

26.65%

18.73%

Belgrano ←

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Belgrano Cordoba) 18.73% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

River

1.41

1.40

-0.01

Belgrano

0.66

1.70

+1.04

xG dominance was balanced (1.40 – 1.70). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Independ. Rivadavia	16	34
2	River Plate	16	29
3	Argentinos JRS	16	29
4	Rosario Central	16	28
5	Belgrano Cordoba	16	26
6	Gimnasia L.P.	16	26
7	Huracan	16	22
8	Racing Club	16	21
9	Barracas Central	16	21
10	Tigre	16	20
11	Sarmiento Junin	16	19
12	Banfield	16	18
13	Atletico Tucuman	16	14
14	Aldosivi	16	8
15	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	16	5

Lineups

River Plate 4-2-3-1

Santiago Beltrán G 6.30

M. Acuña 70' D 6.90

L. Rivero D 6.60

L. Martínez D 7.00

Fabricio Bustos D 5.90

Fausto Vera M 6.90

Aníbal Moreno 89' M 6.30

Tomás Galván 1 ⚽ 1 👟 89' M 8.70

F. Colidio 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 7.30

Juan Cruz Meza 89' M 6.50

Joaquín Freitas F 6.20

Bench

Facundo González D

Franco Armani G

Germán Pezzella 20' D 6.20

Giuliano Galoppo M

Gonzalo Montiel D

J. Quintero 10' M 7.20

Kendry Páez 1' M

Kevin Castaño M

Lautaro Pereyra M

Lucas Silva M

Maxi Meza M

Maximiliano Salas 1' F

Belgrano Cordoba 4-4-2

Thiago Cardozo G 7.20

Adrián Spörle D 6.50

Alexis Maldonado 45' D 6.20

Leonardo Morales 1 ⚽ D 7.30

Agustín Falcón D 6.30

Juan Velázquez 63' M 6.70

Santiago Longo 63' M 6.20

Adrián Sánchez M 7.20

Emiliano Rigoni 89' M 6.30

L. Zelarayán 1 👟 F 6.90

L. Passerini 76' F 6.00

Bench

Alcides Benítez D

Álvaro Ocampo 45' D 6.20

Federico Ricca 8' D 6.50

Francisco González Metilli M

Franco Vázquez 1 👟 27' M 6.90

Gonzalo Zelarayán F

Jeremías Lucco F

Julián Mavilla M

Lautaro Gutierrez F

Manuel Vicentini G

N. Fernández 2 ⚽ 14' F 7.90

Ramiro Hernandes 27' M 6.50

Best on the pitch

Tomás Galván

M · River

8.70

1 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 31 pass

N. Fernández

F · Belgrano

7.90

2 ⚽

3 shots · 5 pass

F. Colidio

M · River

7.30

1 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 7 pass

Leonardo Morales

D · Belgrano

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 27 pass

J. Quintero

M · River

7.20

· 6 pass

Thiago Cardozo

G · Belgrano

7.20

· 20 pass

River Plate — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Santiago Beltrán	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	23	15%	—	—	—
M. Acuña	D	70	6.90	—	—	—	41	30%	4	—	—
L. Rivero	D	90	6.60	—	—	1	55	41%	5	—	—
L. Martínez	D	90	7.00	—	—	2	62	51%	3	—	—
Fabricio Bustos	D	90	5.90	—	—	—	45	28%	2	—	—
Fausto Vera	M	90	6.90	—	—	1	66	59%	—	—	—
Aníbal Moreno	M	89	6.30	—	—	—	47	39%	3	1	—
Tomás Galván	M	89	8.70	1	1	1	31	24%	3	—	—
F. Colidio	M	90	7.30	1	1	1	7	5%	—	—	—
Juan Cruz Meza	M	89	6.50	—	—	—	17	13%	2	—	—
Joaquín Freitas	F	90	6.20	—	—	—	11	9%	1	—	—
Germán Pezzella	D	20	6.20	—	—	—	6	1%	—	—	—
J. Quintero	M	10	7.20	—	—	—	6	5%	1	—	—
Kendry Páez	M	1	—	—	—	—	2	1%	—	—	—
Maximiliano Salas	F	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Belgrano Cordoba — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Thiago Cardozo	G	90	7.20	—	—	—	20	10%	—	—	—
Adrián Spörle	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	20	14%	2	—	—
Alexis Maldonado	D	45	6.20	—	—	—	7	5%	1	—	—
Leonardo Morales	D	90	7.30	1	—	1	27	17%	—	—	—
Agustín Falcón	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	24	15%	1	—	—
Juan Velázquez	M	63	6.70	—	—	1	14	10%	4	—	—
Santiago Longo	M	63	6.20	—	—	—	21	12%	2	—	—
Adrián Sánchez	M	90	7.20	—	—	—	39	32%	5	1	—
Emiliano Rigoni	M	89	6.30	—	—	1	11	9%	—	—	—
L. Zelarayán	F	90	6.90	—	1	2	23	21%	—	—	—
L. Passerini	F	76	6.00	—	—	1	7	6%	1	1	—
Álvaro Ocampo	D	45	6.20	—	—	—	11	7%	1	—	—
Federico Ricca	D	8	6.50	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Franco Vázquez	M	27	6.90	—	1	—	4	4%	1	1	—
N. Fernández	F	14	7.90	2	—	3	5	2%	—	—	—
Ramiro Hernandes	M	27	6.50	—	—	1	14	12%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of River Plate vs Belgrano Cordoba?

The final score was River Plate 2–3 Belgrano Cordoba.

What did the model predict before River Plate vs Belgrano Cordoba?

The model assigned 54% probability to a River Plate win, 26% to a draw, and 18% to an Belgrano Cordoba win.