(pen.)
45'+6
L. Paredes
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave River Plate a 54% win probability (draw 24%, Boca Juniors 20%). The final result was River Plate 0–1 Boca Juniors.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
5
4
Saves
3
68%
Possession
32%
6
Corners
1
13
Tackles
30
6
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
13'
A. Bareiro
S. Driussi
/ M. Salas
18'
F. Colidio
34'
L. Rivero
42'
45'+6
(pen.)
L. Paredes⚽
J. Meza
/ Giuliano Galoppo
46'
K. Paez
/ J. Freitas
57'
M. Acuna
60'
60'
L. Paredes
69'
E. Zeballos
/
Miguel Merentiel
72'
A. Herrera
/
L. Paredes
72'
T. Belmonte
/
T. Aranda
82'
M. Gimenez
/
A. Bareiro
L. Martinez Quarta
83'
86'
M. Gimenez
L. Rivero
/ I. Subiabre
88'
M. Salas
90'+3
90'+3
A. Herrera
G. Montiel
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
54.9%
River
24.5%
X
20.61%
Boca ←
we assigned to the actual result (Boca Juniors)
20.61%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.14
—
—
0.99
—
—
Lineups
41
S. Beltrán
G
S. Beltrán
G
21
Marcos Acuña
D
Marcos Acuña
D
13
Lautaro Rivero
88'
D
Lautaro Rivero
88'
D
28
L. Martínez
D
L. Martínez
D
29
Gonzalo Montiel
D
Gonzalo Montiel
D
26
Tomás Galván
M
Tomás Galván
M
6
Aníbal Moreno
M
Aníbal Moreno
M
24
Juan Cruz Meza
45'
M
Juan Cruz Meza
45'
M
11
Facundo Colidio
F
Facundo Colidio
F
9
S. Driussi
18'
F
S. Driussi
18'
F
19
Kendry Páez
57'
F
Kendry Páez
57'
F
Bench
33
Ezequiel Centurión
G
Ezequiel Centurión
G
16
Fabricio Bustos
D
Fabricio Bustos
D
20
Germán Pezzella
D
Germán Pezzella
D
34
Giuliano Galoppo
45'
M
Giuliano Galoppo
45'
M
38
Ian Subiabre
8'
F
Ian Subiabre
8'
F
35
Joaquín Freitas
33'
F
Joaquín Freitas
33'
F
7
Maximiliano Salas
72'
F
Maximiliano Salas
72'
F
18
M. Viña
D
M. Viña
D
39
Santiago Lencina
M
Santiago Lencina
M
12
Leandro Brey
G
Leandro Brey
G
3
Lautaro Blanco
D
Lautaro Blanco
D
32
Ayrton Costa
D
Ayrton Costa
D
2
Lautaro Di Lollo
D
Lautaro Di Lollo
D
23
Marcelo Weigandt
D
Marcelo Weigandt
D
36
Tomás Aranda
72'
M
Tomás Aranda
72'
M
18
Milton Delgado
M
Milton Delgado
M
5
L. Paredes
1 ⚽
72'
M
L. Paredes
1 ⚽
72'
M
25
Santiago Ascacíbar
M
Santiago Ascacíbar
M
16
Miguel Merentiel
69'
F
Miguel Merentiel
69'
F
28
A. Bareiro
82'
F
A. Bareiro
82'
F
Bench
20
Alan Velasco
M
Alan Velasco
M
21
Ander Herrera
18'
M
Ander Herrera
18'
M
29
Ángel Romero
F
Ángel Romero
F
7
Exequiel Zeballos
21'
F
Exequiel Zeballos
21'
F
24
Juan Barinaga
D
Juan Barinaga
D
27
Malcom Braida
M
Malcom Braida
M
9
Milton Giménez
8'
F
Milton Giménez
8'
F
30
Tomás Belmonte
18'
M
Tomás Belmonte
18'
M
15
Williams Alarcón
M
Williams Alarcón
M
Best on the pitch
Marcos Acuña
D · River
8.00
· 67 pass
L. Paredes
M · Boca
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 30 pass
L. Martínez
D · River
7.50
1 shots
· 72 pass
Ayrton Costa
D · Boca
7.50
· 15 pass
Lautaro Blanco
D · Boca
7.50
· 22 pass
Lautaro Di Lollo
D · Boca
7.20
· 19 pass
River Plate — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Beltrán | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Marcos Acuña | D | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 67 | 51% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Lautaro Rivero | D | 88 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 58 | 51% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Martínez | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 68% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Gonzalo Montiel | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 54 | 46% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Tomás Galván | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Aníbal Moreno | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 50% | 3 | — | — |
| Juan Cruz Meza | M | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Facundo Colidio | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Driussi | F | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Kendry Páez | F | 57 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Giuliano Galoppo | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Ian Subiabre | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Joaquín Freitas | F | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Maximiliano Salas | F | 72 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
Boca Juniors — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leandro Brey | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Lautaro Blanco | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 9% | 4 | — | — |
| Ayrton Costa | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| Lautaro Di Lollo | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| Marcelo Weigandt | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Tomás Aranda | M | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Milton Delgado | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Paredes | M | 72 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Santiago Ascacíbar | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 9% | 6 | — | — |
| Miguel Merentiel | F | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 8% | — | — | — |
| A. Bareiro | F | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 9% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Ander Herrera | M | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Exequiel Zeballos | F | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Milton Giménez | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| Tomás Belmonte | M | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of River Plate vs Boca Juniors?
The final score was River Plate 0–1 Boca Juniors.
What did the model predict before River Plate vs Boca Juniors?
The model assigned 54% probability to a River Plate win, 24% to a draw, and 20% to an Boca Juniors win.