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Copa Sudamericana · Group Stage - 2 April 16, 2026 02:30
River Plate
#1 · 10 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Carabobo FC
#3 · 6 pts
S. Driussi (ast. K. Paez) 66'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave River Plate a 49% win probability (draw 27%, Carabobo FC 22%). The final result was River Plate 1–0 Carabobo FC. In 1 previous meetings, River Plate have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Carabobo FC.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
2
4
Shots on target
1
1.81
Actual xG
0.16
1
Saves
3
64%
Possession
36%
3
Corners
3
33
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
G. Pezzella
5'
↕ Fausto Vera / A. Moreno
18'
34'
M. Nunez
M. Vina
40'
↕ K. Castano / S. Driussi
46'
↕ I. Subiabre / T. Galvan
46'
↕ J. Quintero / K. Paez
51'
⚽S. Driussi · ast. K. Paez
66'
72'
L. Martinez / E. Ramirez ↕
72'
E. Tortolero / J. Berios ↕
72'
Y. Orozco / M. Cova ↕
↕ M. Vina / M. Acuna
76'
88'
D. Meza / E. Castillo ↕
90'+5
J. Bilbao
Pre-match prediction
49.96%
River ←
27.91%
X
22.12%
Carabobo
we assigned to the actual result (River Plate) 49.96% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
River
1.49
1.81
+0.32
Carabobo
0.89
0.16
-0.73
River Plate dominated by xG (1.81 vs 0.16). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atletico Torque Atletico Torque 4 9
1 Cienciano Cienciano 4 7
1 Botafogo Botafogo 4 10
1 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 4 7
1 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 4 8
1 River Plate River Plate 4 10
1 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 4 6
1 Macara Macara 4 8
2 Gremio Gremio 4 7
2 Olimpia Olimpia 4 7
2 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 4 6
2 America de Cali America de Cali 4 7
2 Puerto Cabello Puerto Cabello 4 6
2 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 4 5
2 O'Higgins O'Higgins 4 7
2 Caracas FC Caracas FC 4 8
3 Racing Club Racing Club 4 4
3 Juventud Juventud 4 5
3 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 4 4
3 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 4 4
3 Carabobo FC Carabobo FC 4 6
3 Tigre Tigre 4 5
3 A. Italiano A. Italiano 4 4
3 Millonarios Millonarios 4 7
4 Barracas Central Barracas Central 4 3
4 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 4 1
4 Santos Santos 4 3
4 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 4 4
4 Boston River Boston River 4 0
4 Blooming Blooming 4 1
4 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 4 0
4 Palestino Palestino 4 2
Lineups
River Plate River Plate 4-2-3-1
41 Santiago Beltrán Santiago Beltrán G 6.70
18 Matías Viña Matías Viña 76' D 6.90
13 Lautaro Rivero Lautaro Rivero D 7.50
20 Germán Pezzella Germán Pezzella D 7.20
16 Fabricio Bustos Fabricio Bustos D 6.90
15 Fausto Vera Fausto Vera 18' M 7.00
22
K. Castano 45' M 7.30
38 Ian Subiabre Ian Subiabre 45' M 6.30
10 Juan Fernando Quintero Juan Fernando Quintero 51' M 7.70
24 Juan Cruz Meza Juan Cruz Meza M 7.00
35 Joaquin Freitas Joaquin Freitas F 6.60
Bench
6 Aníbal Moreno Aníbal Moreno 72' M 7.50
33 Ezequiel Centurión Ezequiel Centurión G
11 Facundo Colidio Facundo Colidio F
31 Facundo González Facundo González D
29 Gonzalo Montiel Gonzalo Montiel D
19 Kendry Páez Kendry Páez 1 👟 39' M 7.60
21 Marcos Acuña Marcos Acuña 14' D 6.90
9 Sebastián Driussi Sebastián Driussi 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.30
26 Tomás Galván Tomás Galván 45' M 7.20
2
T. Ramirez D
Carabobo FC Carabobo FC 5-3-2
22
L. Bruera G 6.90
8
J. Perez D 6.30
3 J. Fuentes J. Fuentes D 6.90
32
E. Neira D 6.60
28
J. Bilbao D 6.60
21
A. Gonzalez D 6.60
15
M. Cova 72' M 6.50
26
M. Nunez M 7.00
5 E. Castillo E. Castillo 88' M 5.60
24
E. Ramirez 72' F 5.90
14
72' F 6.70
Bench
7 E. Tortolero E. Tortolero 18' M 6.50
16
F. Lopez M
17
F. Oliveros D
19
L. Martinez 18' F 6.50
2
M. Guaramato D
30
S. Mendoza M
10
Y. Orozco 18' M 6.70
Best on the pitch
Juan Fernando Quintero
Juan Fernando Quintero
M · River
7.70
1 shots · 35 pass
Kendry Páez
Kendry Páez
M · River
7.60
1 👟
2 shots · 26 pass
Aníbal Moreno
Aníbal Moreno
M · River
7.50
· 61 pass
Lautaro Rivero
Lautaro Rivero
D · River
7.50
· 64 pass
Sebastián Driussi
Sebastián Driussi
F · River
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 14 pass
K. Castano
M · River
7.30
· 44 pass
River Plate River Plate — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Santiago Beltrán G 90 6.70 — — — 21 14% — — —
Matías Viña D 76 6.90 — — — 49 40% 1 1 —
Lautaro Rivero D 90 7.50 — — — 64 53% 2 — —
Germán Pezzella D 90 7.20 — — — 50 40% 3 1 —
Fabricio Bustos D 90 6.90 — — — 58 47% 4 — —
Fausto Vera M 18 7.00 — — — 18 17% 2 — —
K. Castano M 45 7.30 — — — 44 38% 3 — —
Ian Subiabre M 45 6.30 — — — 19 12% 1 — —
Juan Fernando Quintero M 51 7.70 — — 1 35 33% 1 — —
Juan Cruz Meza M 90 7.00 — — 1 42 39% 3 — —
Joaquin Freitas F 90 6.60 — — 1 25 18% 2 — —
Aníbal Moreno M 72 7.50 — — — 61 52% 3 — —
Kendry Páez M 39 7.60 — 1 2 26 21% 2 — —
Marcos Acuña D 14 6.90 — — — 15 12% 1 — —
Sebastián Driussi F 45 7.30 1 — 1 14 11% 2 — —
Tomás Galván M 45 7.20 — — 3 16 16% 3 — —
Carabobo FC Carabobo FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Bruera G 90 6.90 — — — 19 11% — — —
J. Perez D 90 6.30 — — — 17 9% 3 — —
J. Fuentes D 90 6.90 — — — 28 20% 2 — —
E. Neira D 90 6.60 — — — 19 15% — — —
J. Bilbao D 90 6.60 — — 1 36 20% 2 1 —
A. Gonzalez D 90 6.60 — — — 36 22% 3 — —
M. Cova M 72 6.50 — — — 31 20% 1 — —
M. Nunez M 90 7.00 — — — 37 29% 4 1 —
E. Castillo M 88 5.60 — — — 21 15% — — —
E. Ramirez F 72 5.90 — — — 15 11% — — —
F 72 6.70 — — — 12 10% — — —
E. Tortolero M 18 6.50 — — 1 14 9% — — —
L. Martinez F 18 6.50 — — — 3 3% — — —
Y. Orozco M 18 6.70 — — — 14 10% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of River Plate vs Carabobo FC?
The final score was River Plate 1–0 Carabobo FC.
What did the model predict before River Plate vs Carabobo FC?
The model assigned 49% probability to a River Plate win, 27% to a draw, and 22% to an Carabobo FC win.