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Liga Profesional · Clausura - 12 October 11, 2026 02:30 Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires
River Plate
#2 · 29 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
#15 · 9 pts
✓Model correct — prediction River Plate
Marcos Acuña 6'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave River Plate a 85% win probability (draw 9%, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 5%). The final result was River Plate 1–0 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto. In 1 previous meetings, River Plate have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto.

Match statistics
28
Total shots
1
8
Shots on target
0
1.83
Actual xG
0.06
73%
Possession
27%
12
Corners
2
18
Tackles
22
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
2'
Fernando Rodríguez
⚽Marcos Acuña
6'
16'
Alejandro Martín Cabrera
45'
Yeison Daniel Moreno Murillo / Ibrahim Hesar ↕
45'
Matias Valenti / Fernando Rodríguez ↕
45'
Martín Garnerone / Mauro Valiente ↕
↕ Lautaro Pereyra / Thiago Almada
68'
↕ Sebastián Driussi / Rafael Borré
71'
80'
Siro Rosané / Tomás González ↕
80'
Mateo Bajamich / Juan Antonini ↕
↕ Tomás Ezequiel Galván / Facundo González
89'
↕ Marcos Acuña / Juan Cruz Meza
89'
Pre-match prediction
85.64%
River ←
9.23%
X
5.12%
Estudiantes
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (River Plate) 85.64% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
River
3.42
1.83
-1.59
Estudiantes
0.61
0.06
-0.55
River Plate dominated by xG (1.83 vs 0.06). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 16 34
2 River Plate River Plate 16 29
3 Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS 16 29
4 Rosario Central Rosario Central 16 28
5 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 16 26
6 Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. 16 26
7 Huracan Huracan 16 22
8 Racing Club Racing Club 16 21
9 Barracas Central Barracas Central 16 21
10 Tigre Tigre 16 20
11 Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin 16 19
12 Banfield Banfield 16 18
13 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 16 14
14 Aldosivi Aldosivi 16 8
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 5
Lineups
River Plate River Plate 4-3-2-1
41 S. Beltrán S. Beltrán G 6.78
21 M. Acuña M. Acuña 1 ⚽ 89' D 8.39
30 N. Otamendi N. Otamendi D 8.00
28 L. Martínez L. Martínez D 8.00
29 G. Montiel G. Montiel D 7.33
26 T. Galván T. Galván 89' M 7.19
15 F. Vera F. Vera M 7.02
50 T. Andrada T. Andrada M 6.75
25 L. Pereyra L. Pereyra 68' M 6.66
10 Á. Correa Á. Correa M 7.20
9 S. Driussi S. Driussi 71' F 6.63
Bench
6 A. Moreno A. Moreno M 0.00
33 E. Centurión E. Centurión G 0.00
31 F. González F. González 1' D 6.99
20 G. González G. González D 0.00
24 J. Meza J. Meza 1' M 6.50
18 L. Beltrán L. Beltrán M 0.00
13 L. Rivero L. Rivero D 0.00
44 L. Silva L. Silva M 0.00
8 M. Arambarri M. Arambarri M 0.00
19 R. Borré R. Borré 19' F 6.40
23 T. Almada T. Almada 22' M 7.60
2 T. Palacio T. Palacio D 0.00
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 5-3-2
38
G 0.00
23 F. Rodríguez F. Rodríguez 45' D 6.01
29 A. Quiroga A. Quiroga D 6.40
30 S. Ojeda S. Ojeda D 6.61
2 G. Maffini G. Maffini D 5.88
6 J. Antonini J. Antonini 80' D 6.44
17 G. Alanís G. Alanís M 6.01
5 A. Cabrera A. Cabrera M 6.09
10 T. González T. González 80' M 6.68
22 M. Valiente M. Valiente 45' F 6.48
77 I. Hesar I. Hesar 45' F 6.75
Bench
28 F. Cobos F. Cobos D 0.00
14 G. Gonzalez G. Gonzalez D 0.00
99 J. Chala J. Chala F 0.00
9 J. Ferreira J. Ferreira F 0.00
18 J. Rivero J. Rivero F 0.00
32 M. Bajamich M. Bajamich 10' F 6.24
11 M. Garnerone M. Garnerone 45' F 6.27
31 M. Valenti M. Valenti 45' D 6.54
8 S. Rosané S. Rosané 10' M 6.27
16 Y. Moreno Y. Moreno 45' F 6.67
Best on the pitch
M. Acuña
M. Acuña
D · River
8.39
1 ⚽
2 shots · 67 pass
N. Otamendi
N. Otamendi
D · River
8.00
2 shots · 94 pass
L. Martínez
L. Martínez
D · River
8.00
2 shots · 91 pass
T. Almada
T. Almada
M · River
7.60
1 shots · 30 pass
G. Montiel
G. Montiel
D · River
7.33
· 58 pass
Á. Correa
Á. Correa
M · River
7.20
4 shots · 51 pass
River Plate River Plate — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Beltrán G 90 6.78 — — 0 13 10% 0 — —
M. Acuña D 89 8.39 1 — 2 67 52% 2 — —
N. Otamendi D 90 8.00 — — 2 94 84% 2 — —
L. Martínez D 90 8.00 — — 2 91 81% 4 — —
G. Montiel D 90 7.33 — — 0 58 50% 2 — —
T. Galván M 89 7.19 — — 6 44 42% 1 — —
F. Vera M 90 7.02 — — 0 70 60% 1 — —
T. Andrada M 90 6.75 — — 1 72 61% 2 — —
L. Pereyra M 68 6.66 — — 6 32 24% 1 — —
Á. Correa M 90 7.20 — — 4 51 43% 2 — —
S. Driussi F 71 6.63 — — 4 21 17% 0 — —
F. González D 1 6.99 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
J. Meza M 1 6.50 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
R. Borré F 19 6.40 — — 0 7 3% 1 — —
T. Almada M 22 7.60 — — 1 30 29% 0 — —
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 0 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
F. Rodríguez D 45 6.01 — — 0 8 6% 0 1 —
A. Quiroga D 90 6.40 — — 0 20 12% 2 — —
S. Ojeda D 90 6.61 — — 0 15 4% 0 — —
G. Maffini D 90 5.88 — — 0 26 15% 5 — —
J. Antonini D 80 6.44 — — 0 13 5% 1 — —
G. Alanís M 90 6.01 — — 0 17 10% 1 — —
A. Cabrera M 90 6.09 — — 0 36 27% 4 1 —
T. González M 80 6.68 — — 0 18 13% 5 — —
M. Valiente F 45 6.48 — — 0 9 3% 0 — —
I. Hesar F 45 6.75 — — 1 10 8% 1 — —
M. Bajamich F 10 6.24 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
M. Garnerone F 45 6.27 — — 0 11 5% 0 — —
M. Valenti D 45 6.54 — — 0 11 9% 3 — —
S. Rosané M 10 6.27 — — 0 7 5% 0 — —
Y. Moreno F 45 6.67 — — 0 8 6% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto?
The final score was River Plate 1–0 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto.
What did the model predict before River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto?
The model assigned 85% probability to a River Plate win, 9% to a draw, and 5% to an Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto win.