✗Model wrong — prediction River Plate, result Huracan wins
T. Galvan
(ast. A. Correa)
65'
9'
O. Cortes
80'
(ast. O. Cortes)
L. Blondel
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave River Plate a 70% win probability (draw 16%, Huracan 12%). The final result was River Plate 1–2 Huracan. In 1 previous meetings, River Plate have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Huracan.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
2
1.62
Actual xG
0.23
0
Saves
2
75%
Possession
25%
4
Corners
0
17
Tackles
32
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
T. Almada
/ L. Beltran
6'
9'
O. Cortes⚽
36'
M. Palazzo
T. Andrada
/ M. Arambarri
36'
62'
J. Bisanz
/
F. Kalinger
⚽T. Galvan
· ast. A. Correa
65'
67'
C. Ibanez
75'
L. Mora
/
L. Gil
80'
ast. O. Cortes ·
L. Blondel⚽
M. Acuna
/ F. Ortega
81'
86'
J. Bisanz
88'
L. Lescano
/
J. Caicedo
88'
H. Nervo
/
F. F. Waller Martiarena
88'
E. Ojeda
/
O. Cortes
G. Montiel
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
70.3%
River
16.73%
X
12.97%
Huracan ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Huracan)
12.97%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.68
1.62
-1.07
0.95
0.23
-0.72
River Plate dominated by xG (1.62 vs 0.23).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
41
S. Beltrán
G
S. Beltrán
G
21
M. Acuña
81'
D
M. Acuña
81'
D
30
N. Otamendi
D
N. Otamendi
D
28
L. Martínez
D
L. Martínez
D
29
G. Montiel
D
G. Montiel
D
23
T. Almada
6'
M
T. Almada
6'
M
15
F. Vera
M
F. Vera
M
26
T. Galván
1 ⚽
M
T. Galván
1 ⚽
M
10
Á. Correa
1 👟
M
Á. Correa
1 👟
M
50
T. Andrada
36'
M
T. Andrada
36'
M
9
S. Driussi
F
S. Driussi
F
Bench
33
E. Centurión
G
E. Centurión
G
3
F. Ortega
15'
D
F. Ortega
15'
D
20
G. González
D
G. González
D
24
J. Meza
M
J. Meza
M
18
L. Beltrán
90'
M
L. Beltrán
90'
M
25
L. Pereyra
F
L. Pereyra
F
13
L. Rivero
D
L. Rivero
D
44
L. Silva
M
L. Silva
M
8
M. Arambarri
60'
M
M. Arambarri
60'
M
19
R. Borré
F
R. Borré
F
2
T. Palacio
D
T. Palacio
D
43
V. Lucero
M
V. Lucero
M
1
H. Galíndez
G
H. Galíndez
G
25
C. Ibáñez
D
C. Ibáñez
D
35
Máximo Palazzo
D
Máximo Palazzo
D
6
F. Pereyra
D
F. Pereyra
D
2
L. Blondel
1 ⚽
D
L. Blondel
1 ⚽
D
15
F. Waller
88'
M
F. Waller
88'
M
5
R. Fernández
M
R. Fernández
M
24
F. Kalinger
62'
M
F. Kalinger
62'
M
8
L. Gil
75'
M
L. Gil
75'
M
7
Ó. Cortés
1 ⚽
1 👟
88'
M
Ó. Cortés
1 ⚽
1 👟
88'
M
9
J. Caicedo
88'
F
J. Caicedo
88'
F
Bench
20
E. Ojeda
8'
M
E. Ojeda
8'
M
4
F. Vera
D
F. Vera
D
34
Ignacio Campo
D
Ignacio Campo
D
17
Juan Bisanz
34'
F
Juan Bisanz
34'
F
19
L. Lescano
8'
D
L. Lescano
8'
D
41
L. Mora
21'
F
L. Mora
21'
F
21
M. Nervo
8'
D
M. Nervo
8'
D
51
M. Soto
D
M. Soto
D
10
Ó. Romero
M
Ó. Romero
M
32
S. Meza
G
S. Meza
G
11
T. Peralta
M
T. Peralta
M
49
T. Uribe
M
T. Uribe
M
Best on the pitch
F. Vera
M · River
8.50
· 127 pass
L. Blondel
D · Huracan
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 19 pass
N. Otamendi
D · River
7.70
1 shots
· 95 pass
T. Galván
M · River
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 46 pass
Ó. Cortés
M · Huracan
7.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 19 pass
Á. Correa
M · River
7.30
1 👟
3 shots
· 39 pass
River Plate — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Beltrán | G | 96 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | — | — | — |
| M. Acuña | D | 81 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Otamendi | D | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 95 | 88% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Martínez | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 82 | 69% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Montiel | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 43% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Almada | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Vera | M | 96 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 127 | 115% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Galván | M | 96 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 46 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| Á. Correa | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 3 | 39 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Andrada | M | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | — | — | — |
| S. Driussi | F | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Ortega | D | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Beltrán | M | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Arambarri | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 28 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
Huracan — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Galíndez | G | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 10% | — | — | — |
| C. Ibáñez | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 10% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Máximo Palazzo | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Pereyra | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Blondel | D | 96 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 11% | 8 | — | — |
| F. Waller | M | 88 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | 6 | — | — |
| R. Fernández | M | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Kalinger | M | 62 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Gil | M | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Ó. Cortés | M | 88 | 7.60 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Caicedo | F | 88 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Ojeda | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Juan Bisanz | F | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Lescano | D | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Mora | F | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Nervo | D | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of River Plate vs Huracan?
The final score was River Plate 1–2 Huracan.
What did the model predict before River Plate vs Huracan?
The model assigned 70% probability to a River Plate win, 16% to a draw, and 12% to an Huracan win.