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Liga Profesional · Clausura - 14 October 25, 2026 23:15 Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires
River Plate
#2 · 29 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Racing Club
#8 · 21 pts
✓Model correct — prediction River Plate
Lautaro Rivero (ast. Ángel Correa) 33'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave River Plate a 73% win probability (draw 13%, Racing Club 12%). The final result was River Plate 1–0 Racing Club. In 1 previous meetings, River Plate have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Racing Club.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
3
1.61
Actual xG
0.48
3
Saves
4
45%
Possession
55%
5
Corners
5
15
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
↕ Anibal Ismael Moreno / Lucas Silva
17'
⚽Lautaro Rivero · ast. Ángel Correa
33'
40'
Matías Zaracho
42'
Ezequiel Cannavo
45'+4
↕ Lucas Beltran / Juan Cruz Meza
58'
↕ Tomás Ezequiel Galván / Lautaro Pereyra
58'
59'
Alejandro Joaquín Tello
66'
Tomás Conechny
68'
Leonel Pérez / Matías Kranevitter ↕
68'
Lautaro Diaz / Alejandro Joaquín Tello ↕
83'
Duván Vergara / Tomás Conechny ↕
83'
Adrián Fernández / Matías Zaracho ↕
87'
Francisco Fraga / Gastón Lódico ↕
Lucas Silva
88'
↕ Thiago Almada / Rafael Borré
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
73.32%
River ←
13.8%
X
12.88%
Racing
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (River Plate) 73.32% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
River
3.50
1.61
-1.89
Racing
1.42
0.48
-0.94
River Plate dominated by xG (1.61 vs 0.48). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 16 34
2 River Plate River Plate 16 29
3 Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS 16 29
4 Rosario Central Rosario Central 16 28
5 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 16 26
6 Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. 16 26
7 Huracan Huracan 16 22
8 Racing Club Racing Club 16 21
9 Barracas Central Barracas Central 16 21
10 Tigre Tigre 16 20
11 Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin 16 19
12 Banfield Banfield 16 18
13 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 16 14
14 Aldosivi Aldosivi 16 8
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 5
Lineups
River Plate River Plate 4-3-1-2
41 S. Beltrán S. Beltrán G 6.82
3 F. Ortega F. Ortega D 7.21
13 L. Rivero L. Rivero 1 ⚽ D 8.41
30 N. Otamendi N. Otamendi D 7.20
29 G. Montiel G. Montiel D 6.49
26 T. Galván T. Galván 58' M 7.06
6 A. Moreno A. Moreno 17' M 6.75
50 T. Andrada T. Andrada M 6.42
23 T. Almada T. Almada 89' M 7.60
18 L. Beltrán L. Beltrán 58' F 6.74
10 Á. Correa Á. Correa 1 👟 F 7.70
Bench
33 E. Centurión E. Centurión G 0.00
31 F. González F. González D 0.00
20 G. González G. González D 0.00
24 J. Meza J. Meza 32' M 6.87
25 L. Pereyra L. Pereyra 32' F 6.56
44 L. Silva L. Silva 73' M 6.48
8 M. Arambarri M. Arambarri M 0.00
19 R. Borré R. Borré 1' F 0.00
9 S. Driussi S. Driussi F 0.00
2 T. Palacio T. Palacio D 0.00
43 V. Lucero V. Lucero M 0.00
Racing Club Racing Club 4-3-1-2
25 F. Cambeses F. Cambeses G 6.99
19 I. Rodríguez I. Rodríguez D 6.75
43 G. Escudero G. Escudero D 6.35
38 M. Martinez M. Martinez D 6.64
4 E. Cannavo E. Cannavo D 5.59
20 G. Lodico G. Lodico 87' M 6.38
5 M. Kranevitter M. Kranevitter 68' M 6.74
46 A. Tello A. Tello 68' M 5.98
11 M. Zaracho M. Zaracho 83' M 6.47
17 T. Conechny T. Conechny 83' F 5.86
9 A. Martínez A. Martínez F 6.08
Bench
24 A. Fernández A. Fernández 7' M 6.22
16 D. Ortegoza D. Ortegoza M 0.00
7 D. Vergara D. Vergara 7' F 6.27
22 E. Torres E. Torres F 0.00
40 F. Fraga F. Fraga 3' F 6.36
14 J. Barinaga J. Barinaga D 0.00
32 L. Díaz L. Díaz 22' F 6.22
33 L. Pérez L. Pérez 22' M 6.58
2 M. Pérez M. Pérez D 0.00
30 M. Tagliamonte M. Tagliamonte G 0.00
23 N. Colombo N. Colombo D 0.00
Best on the pitch
L. Rivero
L. Rivero
D · River
8.41
1 ⚽
1 shots · 35 pass
Á. Correa
Á. Correa
F · River
7.70
1 👟
2 shots · 38 pass
T. Almada
T. Almada
M · River
7.60
2 shots · 56 pass
F. Ortega
F. Ortega
D · River
7.21
· 38 pass
N. Otamendi
N. Otamendi
D · River
7.20
2 shots · 53 pass
T. Galván
T. Galván
M · River
7.06
· 27 pass
River Plate River Plate — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Beltrán G 90 6.82 — — 0 22 11% 0 — —
F. Ortega D 90 7.21 — — 0 38 31% 2 — —
L. Rivero D 90 8.41 1 — 1 35 27% 1 — —
N. Otamendi D 90 7.20 — — 2 53 41% 0 — —
G. Montiel D 90 6.49 — — 2 29 18% 2 — —
T. Galván M 58 7.06 — — 0 27 23% 1 — —
A. Moreno M 17 6.75 — — 0 10 7% 0 — —
T. Andrada M 90 6.42 — — 0 59 48% 2 — —
T. Almada M 89 7.60 — — 2 56 48% 2 — —
L. Beltrán F 58 6.74 — — 0 18 10% 0 — —
Á. Correa F 90 7.70 — 1 2 38 29% 2 — —
J. Meza M 32 6.87 — — 1 19 12% 0 — —
L. Pereyra F 32 6.56 — — 2 12 12% 0 — —
L. Silva M 73 6.48 — — 0 41 34% 3 1 —
R. Borré F 1 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Racing Club Racing Club — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Cambeses G 90 6.99 — — 0 39 23% 0 — —
I. Rodríguez D 90 6.75 — — 0 51 36% 1 — —
G. Escudero D 90 6.35 — — 0 69 56% 3 — —
M. Martinez D 90 6.64 — — 0 49 42% 2 — —
E. Cannavo D 90 5.59 — — 0 29 20% 1 1 —
G. Lodico M 87 6.38 — — 1 63 48% 0 — —
M. Kranevitter M 68 6.74 — — 0 36 31% 0 — —
A. Tello M 68 5.98 — — 0 15 9% 0 1 —
M. Zaracho M 83 6.47 — — 2 24 22% 1 1 —
T. Conechny F 83 5.86 — — 3 38 25% 0 1 —
A. Martínez F 90 6.08 — — 2 8 7% 0 — —
A. Fernández M 7 6.22 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
D. Vergara F 7 6.27 — — 0 3 1% 0 — —
F. Fraga F 3 6.36 — — 0 0 0% 1 — —
L. Díaz F 22 6.22 — — 0 3 2% 1 — —
L. Pérez M 22 6.58 — — 1 21 18% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of River Plate vs Racing Club?
The final score was River Plate 1–0 Racing Club.
What did the model predict before River Plate vs Racing Club?
The model assigned 73% probability to a River Plate win, 13% to a draw, and 12% to an Racing Club win.