Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 5
May 21, 2026 02:30
L. Pereyra
90'+3
35'
(ast. I. Pitta)
Alix Vinicius
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave River Plate a 50% win probability (draw 23%, RB Bragantino 25%). The final result was River Plate 1–1 RB Bragantino. In 1 previous meetings, River Plate have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for RB Bragantino.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
11
1
Shots on target
3
1.09
Actual xG
0.78
3
Saves
1
58%
Possession
42%
2
Corners
5
24
Tackles
22
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
35'
ast. I. Pitta ·
Alix Vinicius⚽
M. Meza
/ L. Pereyra
46'
46'
Rodriguinho
/
Lucas Barbosa
I. Subiabre
/ S. Lencina
46'
U. Gimenez
47'
51'
Juninho Capixaba
K. Castano
56'
65'
Eduardo Sasha
/
I. Pitta
65'
Fernando Santos
/
H. Mosquera
Giuliano Galoppo
/ L. Silva
73'
83'
I. Sosa
/
Eric Ramires
K. Castano
/ K. Paez
83'
87'
A. Hurtado
/
J. Herrera
⚽L. Pereyra
90'+3
U. Gimenez
/ J. Asuzu
90'
Pre-match prediction
50.99%
River
23.75%
X ←
25.26%
RB
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.75%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.60
1.09
-0.51
1.05
0.78
-0.27
River Plate dominated by xG (1.09 vs 0.78).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Franco Armani
G
Franco Armani
G
31
Facundo González
D
Facundo González
D
17
Paulo Díaz
D
Paulo Díaz
D
20
Germán Pezzella
D
Germán Pezzella
D
36
Ulises Giménez
D
Ulises Giménez
D
34
Giuliano Galoppo
73'
M
Giuliano Galoppo
73'
M
22
Kevin Castaño
83'
M
Kevin Castaño
83'
M
8
Maxi Meza
45'
M
Maxi Meza
45'
M
10
J. Quintero
M
J. Quintero
M
38
Ian Subiabre
45'
M
Ian Subiabre
45'
M
7
Maximiliano Salas
F
Maximiliano Salas
F
Bench
40
Agustín Obregón
D
Agustín Obregón
D
33
Ezequiel Centurión
G
Ezequiel Centurión
G
19
Kendry Páez
9'
M
Kendry Páez
9'
M
25
Lautaro Pereyra
1 ⚽
47'
M
Lautaro Pereyra
1 ⚽
47'
M
13
Lautaro Rivero
D
Lautaro Rivero
D
44
Lucas Silva
19'
M
Lucas Silva
19'
M
39
Santiago Lencina
47'
M
Santiago Lencina
47'
M
1
Cleiton
G
Cleiton
G
29
Juninho Capixaba
D
Juninho Capixaba
D
14
Pedro Henrique
D
Pedro Henrique
D
4
Alix
1 ⚽
D
Alix
1 ⚽
D
23
Agustin Sant Anna
D
Agustin Sant Anna
D
7
Eric Ramires
83'
M
Eric Ramires
83'
M
6
Gabriel Girotto
M
Gabriel Girotto
M
30
Henry Mosquera
65'
M
Henry Mosquera
65'
M
21
Lucas Barbosa
45'
M
Lucas Barbosa
45'
M
32
José Herrera
87'
M
José Herrera
87'
M
9
I. Pitta
1 👟
65'
F
I. Pitta
1 👟
65'
F
Bench
46
Breno de Moraes
D
Breno de Moraes
D
8
Eduardo Sasha
27'
F
Eduardo Sasha
27'
F
11
Fernando
27'
F
Fernando
27'
F
16
Gustavo Marques
D
Gustavo Marques
D
22
Gustavo Neves
M
Gustavo Neves
M
15
Ignacio Sosa
9'
M
Ignacio Sosa
9'
M
34
José Andrés Hurtado
5'
D
José Andrés Hurtado
5'
D
57
Marcelinho Braz
M
Marcelinho Braz
M
20
Rodriguinho
47'
M
Rodriguinho
47'
M
18
Tiago Volpi
G
Tiago Volpi
G
12
Vanderlan
D
Vanderlan
D
17
Vinicinho
F
Vinicinho
F
Best on the pitch
Germán Pezzella
D · River
7.70
· 46 pass
Juninho Capixaba
D · RB
7.50
2 shots
· 47 pass
Franco Armani
G · River
7.30
· 31 pass
Alix
D · RB
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
Henry Mosquera
M · RB
7.20
· 16 pass
Agustin Sant Anna
D · RB
7.20
2 shots
· 30 pass
River Plate — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franco Armani | G | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Facundo González | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Paulo Díaz | D | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 57 | 45% | 3 | — | — |
| Germán Pezzella | D | 92 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 46 | 35% | 7 | — | — |
| Ulises Giménez | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Giuliano Galoppo | M | 73 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Castaño | M | 83 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 50 | 42% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Maxi Meza | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Quintero | M | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 60 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| Ian Subiabre | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Maximiliano Salas | F | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Kendry Páez | M | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Lautaro Pereyra | M | 47 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Silva | M | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Santiago Lencina | M | 47 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
RB Bragantino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleiton | G | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Juninho Capixaba | D | 92 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 47 | 36% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Pedro Henrique | D | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Alix | D | 92 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Agustin Sant Anna | D | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Eric Ramires | M | 83 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Girotto | M | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 31% | 6 | — | — |
| Henry Mosquera | M | 65 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Barbosa | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| José Herrera | M | 87 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Pitta | F | 65 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Sasha | F | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Fernando | F | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Ignacio Sosa | M | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| José Andrés Hurtado | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| Rodriguinho | M | 47 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of River Plate vs RB Bragantino?
The final score was River Plate 1–1 RB Bragantino.
What did the model predict before River Plate vs RB Bragantino?
The model assigned 50% probability to a River Plate win, 23% to a draw, and 25% to an RB Bragantino win.