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Liga Profesional · Clausura - 3 August 03, 2026 00:15 Estadio Alberto J. Armando, Buenos Aires
River Plate
#2 · 29 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Rosario Central
#4 · 28 pts
(og) 27' N. Otamendi
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave River Plate a 44% win probability (draw 32%, Rosario Central 22%). The final result was River Plate 0–1 Rosario Central. In 2 previous meetings, River Plate have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Rosario Central.

Match statistics
23
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
3
2.07
Actual xG
0.57
3
Saves
5
65%
Possession
35%
10
Corners
4
13
Tackles
27
4
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
J. Freitas
5'
L. Rivero
10'
Fausto Vera
17'
27'
(og) N. Otamendi⚽
34'
E. Coronel
L. Martinez Quarta
41'
↕ L. Pereyra / T. Galvan
46'
↕ Fausto Vera / L. Beltran
63'
65'
A. Di Maria
↕ J. Freitas / J. Meza
67'
70'
F. Navarro / V. Pizarro ↕
80'
F. Ibarra
82'
P. Fernandez / J. Campaz ↕
83'
T. Badaloni / E. Copetti ↕
83'
E. Coronel
83'
E. Coronel
↕ L. Rivero / V. Lucero
84'
85'
F. Mallo Blanco / A. Di Maria ↕
Pre-match prediction
44.55%
River
32.91%
X
22.54%
Rosario ←
we assigned to the actual result (Rosario Central) 22.54% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
River
0.98
2.07
+1.09
Rosario
0.58
0.57
-0.01
River Plate dominated by xG (2.07 vs 0.57). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 16 34
2 River Plate River Plate 16 29
3 Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS 16 29
4 Rosario Central Rosario Central 16 28
5 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 16 26
6 Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. 16 26
7 Huracan Huracan 16 22
8 Racing Club Racing Club 16 21
9 Barracas Central Barracas Central 16 21
10 Tigre Tigre 16 20
11 Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin 16 19
12 Banfield Banfield 16 18
13 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 16 14
14 Aldosivi Aldosivi 16 8
15 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 16 5
Lineups
River Plate River Plate 4-2-3-1
41 S. Beltrán S. Beltrán G 7.30
13 L. Rivero L. Rivero 84' D 6.70
30 N. Otamendi N. Otamendi 1 ⚽ D 6.20
28 L. Martínez L. Martínez D 6.90
29 G. Montiel G. Montiel D 7.00
6 Aníbal Moreno Aníbal Moreno M 7.30
15 F. Vera F. Vera 63' M 6.30
11 F. Colidio F. Colidio M 7.00
25 L. Pereyra L. Pereyra 45' M 6.20
35 J. Freitas J. Freitas 67' M 6.70
19 R. Borré R. Borré F 6.90
Bench
33 E. Centurión E. Centurión G
31 Facundo González Facundo González D
20 G. González G. González D
24 J. Meza J. Meza 23' M 6.60
18 L. Beltrán L. Beltrán 27' F 6.20
44 L. Silva L. Silva M
26 T. Galván T. Galván 45' M 6.90
43 V. Lucero V. Lucero 12' M 6.60
Rosario Central Rosario Central 4-2-3-1
23 J. Ledesma J. Ledesma G 7.70
3 A. Sandez A. Sandez D 7.20
13 G. Ávila G. Ávila D 7.20
46 Ignacio Ovando Ignacio Ovando D 7.90
32 E. Coronel E. Coronel 83' D 6.70
20 V. Pizarro V. Pizarro 70' M 6.90
5 F. Ibarra F. Ibarra M 8.00
8 J. Campaz J. Campaz 82' M 6.30
11 Á. Di María Á. Di María 85' M 6.20
26 G. Cantizano G. Cantizano M 6.90
22 E. Copetti E. Copetti 83' F 6.50
Bench
33 A. Soto A. Soto D
1 A. Werner A. Werner G
42 E. Veron E. Veron D
39 Fabricio Oviedo Fabricio Oviedo F
15 F. Mallo F. Mallo 11' D 6.90
31 F. Navarro F. Navarro 20' M 6.60
28 G. Fernández G. Fernández 8' M 6.70
47 Luca Raffin Luca Raffin D
7 Marcelo Cabrera Marcelo Cabrera F
19 Santiago Segovia Santiago Segovia M
2 S. Zaracho S. Zaracho D
16 T. Badaloni T. Badaloni 13' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
F. Ibarra
F. Ibarra
M · Rosario
8.00
· 13 pass
Ignacio Ovando
Ignacio Ovando
D · Rosario
7.90
· 13 pass
J. Ledesma
J. Ledesma
G · Rosario
7.70
· 39 pass
S. Beltrán
S. Beltrán
G · River
7.30
· 21 pass
Aníbal Moreno
Aníbal Moreno
M · River
7.30
1 shots · 52 pass
A. Sandez
A. Sandez
D · Rosario
7.20
· 17 pass
River Plate River Plate — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Beltrán G 90 7.30 — — — 21 17% — — —
L. Rivero D 84 6.70 — — 1 30 21% 3 1 —
N. Otamendi D 90 6.20 1 — 3 52 45% 1 — —
L. Martínez D 90 6.90 — — 4 59 47% 1 1 —
G. Montiel D 90 7.00 — — — 38 29% 1 — —
Aníbal Moreno M 90 7.30 — — 1 52 45% 6 — —
F. Vera M 63 6.30 — — 3 37 33% — 1 —
F. Colidio M 90 7.00 — — — 23 15% 1 — —
L. Pereyra M 45 6.20 — — 3 17 9% — — —
J. Freitas M 67 6.70 — — 1 21 18% — 1 —
R. Borré F 90 6.90 — — 3 19 12% — — —
J. Meza M 23 6.60 — — 1 10 9% — — —
L. Beltrán F 27 6.20 — — 1 13 10% — — —
T. Galván M 45 6.90 — — 2 19 17% — — —
V. Lucero M 12 6.60 — — — 2 2% — — —
Rosario Central Rosario Central — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Ledesma G 90 7.70 — — — 39 11% — — —
A. Sandez D 90 7.20 — — — 17 11% 2 — —
G. Ávila D 90 7.20 — — — 23 13% 1 — —
Ignacio Ovando D 90 7.90 — — — 13 6% 3 — —
E. Coronel D 83 6.70 — — — 20 15% 2 2 1
V. Pizarro M 70 6.90 — — 1 15 9% 3 — —
F. Ibarra M 90 8.00 — — — 13 10% 7 1 —
J. Campaz M 82 6.30 — — 3 21 10% 1 — —
Á. Di María M 85 6.20 — — 3 21 14% — 1 —
G. Cantizano M 90 6.90 — — 2 17 11% 4 — —
E. Copetti F 83 6.50 — — — 17 10% 1 — —
F. Mallo D 11 6.90 — — — 1 — — — —
F. Navarro M 20 6.60 — — 1 5 4% 2 — —
G. Fernández M 8 6.70 — — — 5 4% 1 — —
T. Badaloni F 13 6.30 — — — 3 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of River Plate vs Rosario Central?
The final score was River Plate 0–1 Rosario Central.
What did the model predict before River Plate vs Rosario Central?
The model assigned 44% probability to a River Plate win, 32% to a draw, and 22% to an Rosario Central win.