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River Plate - Santa Fe

Copa Sudamericana August 20, 2026 02:30
River Plate
#1 · 14 pts
vs
Santa Fe
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.93%
Win
River Plate
30.45%
Draw
28.62%
Win
Santa Fe
1.17
Expected xG
0.82

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (15.94%)
1X2 Result ✓ 80.0% hit rate (20 picks)
1 41%
X 30%
2 29%
Double Chance
1X 71%
X2 59%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 39%
✓ 64.7% hit rate (17 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives River Plate a 40% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Santa Fe. Expected goals are 1.2 for River Plate and 0.8 for Santa Fe (total 2.0), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.94% probability.

Season Stats

River Plate
4W 2D 0L
Santa Fe
2W 0D 0L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
2.5
0.5
Conceded
0.0
4.8
Shots OT
2.5
4.3
Corners
2.5
61%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
100%
33%
O 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
0%
50%
Clean Sht
100%
ℹ Based on the last 6 matches in Copa Sudamericana. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
17%
BTTS
River Plate
2W 1D 0L · at home
Santa Fe
1W 0D 0L · away
1.7
gls/g
3.0
0.3
Conceded
0.0
67%
Win %
100%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
67%
O 1.5
100%
33%
O 2.5
100%
0%
O 3.5
0%
33%
BTTS
0%
67%
Clean Sht
100%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ River Plate Santa Fe →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.7% 11.2% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3% —
1 16.0% 13.1% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% —
2 9.4% 7.7% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% —
3 3.6% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% —
4 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% — —
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

River Plate River Plate
W Blooming 3–0
D RB Bragantino 1–1
W Carabobo FC 1–2
W RB Bragantino 0–1
W Carabobo FC 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 27%
Santa Fe Santa Fe
W Caracas FC 0–3
W Caracas FC 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 36%

Playing profile

River Plate River Plate
Attack
33
Defence
64
Form
39
Santa Fe Santa Fe
Attack
31
Defence
67
Form
65
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win River Plate vs Santa Fe?
The model gives River Plate a 40% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 28% for an Santa Fe win.
How many goals are expected in River Plate vs Santa Fe?
Expected goals: River Plate 1.2, Santa Fe 0.8 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in River Plate vs Santa Fe?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.94%.