River Plate 1–1 Santa Fe — pre-match prediction — Copa Sudamericana — August 27, 2026

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Copa Sudamericana · Round of 16 August 27, 2026 02:30

River Plate

#1 · 14 pts

1 – 1

Final score

pens 7–8

Santa Fe

S. Driussi (ast. G. Montiel) 52'

T. Almada 120'+1 (pen.)

A. Correa 120'+2 (pen.)

N. Otamendi 120'+3 (pen.)

J. Freitas 120'+4 (pen.)

Fausto Vera 120'+7 (pen.)

M. Acuna 120'+9 (pen.)

J. Meza 120'+10 (pen.)

(pen.) 80' F. Fagundez

(pen.) 120'+1 M. Lovera

(pen.) 120'+2 D. Torres

(pen.) 120'+4 L. Palacios

(pen.) 120'+5 F. Fagundez

(pen.) 120'+7 I. R. Scarpeta Silgado

(pen.) 120'+9 H. Palacios

(pen.) 120'+10 C. Mafla

(pen.) 120'+11 W. Asprilla

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave River Plate a 38% win probability (draw 32%, Santa Fe 28%). The final result was River Plate 1–1 Santa Fe. In 1 previous meetings, River Plate have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Santa Fe.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.58

Actual xG

1.29

Saves

72%

Possession

28%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

36'

J. Torres / K. D. Toscano Bassa ↕

⚽S. Driussi · ast. G. Montiel

52'

58'

F. Fagundez / A. Zapata ↕

58'

L. Palacios / J. Obrian ↕

58'

M. Lovera / N. Bustos ↕

↕ T. Galvan / Fausto Vera

62'

↕ S. Driussi / R. Borre

62'

G. Montiel

71'

↕ T. Andrada / F. Gonzalez

76'

↕ G. Montiel / J. Meza

76'

80'

(pen.) F. Fagundez⚽

↕ A. Moreno / J. Freitas

82'

M. Acuna

82'

83'

C. Mafla

87'

J. Angulo / H. Rodallega ↕

⚽T. Almada (pen.)

120'+1

(pen.) M. Lovera⚽

⚽A. Correa (pen.)

120'+2

(pen.) D. Torres⚽

⚽N. Otamendi (pen.)

120'+3

(missed pen.) E. Olivera⚽

⚽J. Freitas (pen.)

120'+4

(pen.) L. Palacios⚽

⚽R. Borre (missed pen.)

120'+5

(pen.) F. Fagundez⚽

⚽L. Martinez Quarta (missed pen.)

120'+6

(missed pen.) J. Torres⚽

⚽Fausto Vera (pen.)

120'+7

(pen.) I. R. Scarpeta Silgado⚽

⚽F. Gonzalez (missed pen.)

120'+8

(missed pen.) J. Angulo⚽

⚽M. Acuna (pen.)

120'+9

(pen.) H. Palacios⚽

⚽J. Meza (pen.)

120'+10

(pen.) C. Mafla⚽

⚽S. Beltran (missed pen.)

120'+11

(pen.) W. Asprilla⚽

Pre-match prediction

38.69%

River

32.92%

X ←

28.39%

Santa

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 32.92% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

River

0.88

2.58

+1.7

Santa

0.66

1.29

+0.63

River Plate dominated by xG (2.58 vs 1.29). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

Lineups

River Plate 4-2-3-1

S. Beltrán G 6.90

M. Acuña 1 ⚽ D 7.50

N. Otamendi 1 ⚽ D 7.50

L. Martínez D 6.70

G. Montiel 1 👟 76' D 7.30

T. Andrada 76' M 7.60

Aníbal Moreno 82' M 6.90

T. Almada 1 ⚽ M 7.90

Á. Correa 1 ⚽ M 6.50

T. Galván 62' M 6.30

S. Driussi 1 ⚽ 62' F 6.70

Bench

E. Centurión G

Facundo González 21' D 6.30

F. Vera 1 ⚽ 35' M 6.70

J. Freitas 1 ⚽ 15' F 6.90

J. Meza 1 ⚽ 21' M 6.50

L. Pereyra F

L. Silva M

R. Borré 35' F 6.70

V. Lucero M

Santa Fe 4-2-3-1

Weibmar Asprilla 1 ⚽ G 8.30

C. Mafla 1 ⚽ D 6.50

I. Scarpeta 1 ⚽ D 7.20

E. Olivera D 6.60

H. Palacios 1 ⚽ D 6.90

K. Toscano 36' M 6.70

D. Torres 1 ⚽ M 6.90

A. Zapata 58' M 7.70

N. Bustos 58' M 6.30

J. Obrian 58' M 6.50

H. Rodallega 87' F 6.70

Bench

C. Portocarrero M

Emiliano Contreras G

F. Fagúndez 2 ⚽ 39' F 6.90

Jean Caicedo D

Jeison Angulo 10' D 6.30

Jhojan Torres 61' F 6.60

Jhojan Zúñiga M

L. Palacios 1 ⚽ 39' F 6.50

Martin Palacios F

M. Lovera 1 ⚽ 39' F 6.70

M. Puerta D

V. Moreno D

Best on the pitch

Weibmar Asprilla

G · Santa

8.30

1 ⚽

· 35 pass

T. Almada

M · River

7.90

1 ⚽

6 shots · 52 pass

A. Zapata

M · Santa

7.70

1 shots · 12 pass

T. Andrada

M · River

7.60

· 71 pass

M. Acuña

D · River

7.50

1 ⚽

3 shots · 60 pass

N. Otamendi

D · River

7.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 69 pass

River Plate — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
S. Beltrán	G	97	6.90	—	—	—	17	15%	—	—	—
M. Acuña	D	97	7.50	1	—	3	60	56%	3	1	—
N. Otamendi	D	97	7.50	1	—	1	69	56%	2	—	—
L. Martínez	D	97	6.70	—	—	2	60	50%	—	—	—
G. Montiel	D	76	7.30	—	1	2	58	43%	1	1	—
T. Andrada	M	76	7.60	—	—	—	71	68%	1	—	—
Aníbal Moreno	M	82	6.90	—	—	—	44	39%	2	—	—
T. Almada	M	97	7.90	1	—	6	52	47%	—	—	—
Á. Correa	M	97	6.50	1	—	6	35	30%	1	—	—
T. Galván	M	62	6.30	—	—	—	34	28%	1	—	—
S. Driussi	F	62	6.70	1	—	5	23	17%	—	—	—
Facundo González	D	21	6.30	—	—	—	17	13%	—	—	—
F. Vera	M	35	6.70	1	—	—	21	19%	1	—	—
J. Freitas	F	15	6.90	1	—	—	7	6%	2	—	—
J. Meza	M	21	6.50	1	—	—	8	7%	—	—	—
R. Borré	F	35	6.70	—	—	2	8	5%	—	—	—

Santa Fe — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Weibmar Asprilla	G	97	8.30	1	—	—	35	14%	—	—	—
C. Mafla	D	97	6.50	1	—	1	16	7%	1	1	—
I. Scarpeta	D	97	7.20	1	—	1	20	11%	3	—	—
E. Olivera	D	97	6.60	—	—	1	23	12%	2	—	—
H. Palacios	D	97	6.90	1	—	—	21	19%	1	—	—
K. Toscano	M	36	6.70	—	—	—	6	5%	1	—	—
D. Torres	M	97	6.90	1	—	—	22	15%	3	—	—
A. Zapata	M	58	7.70	—	—	1	12	6%	1	—	—
N. Bustos	M	58	6.30	—	—	1	6	4%	—	—	—
J. Obrian	M	58	6.50	—	—	—	12	9%	3	—	—
H. Rodallega	F	87	6.70	—	—	4	16	12%	—	—	—
F. Fagúndez	F	39	6.90	2	—	2	12	9%	—	—	—
Jeison Angulo	D	10	6.30	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Jhojan Torres	F	61	6.60	—	—	—	18	12%	1	—	—
L. Palacios	F	39	6.50	1	—	—	5	2%	1	—	—
M. Lovera	F	39	6.70	1	—	—	2	—	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of River Plate vs Santa Fe?

The final score was River Plate 1–1 Santa Fe.

What did the model predict before River Plate vs Santa Fe?

The model assigned 38% probability to a River Plate win, 32% to a draw, and 28% to an Santa Fe win.