Copa Sudamericana
· Round of 16
August 27, 2026 02:30
S. Driussi
(ast. G. Montiel)
52'
T. Almada
120'+1
(pen.)
A. Correa
120'+2
(pen.)
N. Otamendi
120'+3
(pen.)
J. Freitas
120'+4
(pen.)
Fausto Vera
120'+7
(pen.)
M. Acuna
120'+9
(pen.)
J. Meza
120'+10
(pen.)
(pen.)
80'
F. Fagundez
(pen.)
120'+1
M. Lovera
(pen.)
120'+2
D. Torres
(pen.)
120'+4
L. Palacios
(pen.)
120'+5
F. Fagundez
(pen.)
120'+7
I. R. Scarpeta Silgado
(pen.)
120'+9
H. Palacios
(pen.)
120'+10
C. Mafla
(pen.)
120'+11
W. Asprilla
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave River Plate a 38% win probability (draw 32%, Santa Fe 28%). The final result was River Plate 1–1 Santa Fe. In 1 previous meetings, River Plate have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Santa Fe.
Match statistics
27
Total shots
11
11
Shots on target
4
2.58
Actual xG
1.29
3
Saves
8
72%
Possession
28%
6
Corners
2
14
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
36'
J. Torres
/
K. D. Toscano Bassa
⚽S. Driussi
· ast. G. Montiel
52'
58'
F. Fagundez
/
A. Zapata
58'
L. Palacios
/
J. Obrian
58'
M. Lovera
/
N. Bustos
T. Galvan
/ Fausto Vera
62'
S. Driussi
/ R. Borre
62'
G. Montiel
71'
T. Andrada
/ F. Gonzalez
76'
G. Montiel
/ J. Meza
76'
80'
(pen.)
F. Fagundez⚽
A. Moreno
/ J. Freitas
82'
M. Acuna
82'
83'
C. Mafla
87'
J. Angulo
/
H. Rodallega
⚽T. Almada
(pen.)
120'+1
120'+1
(pen.)
M. Lovera⚽
⚽A. Correa
(pen.)
120'+2
120'+2
(pen.)
D. Torres⚽
⚽N. Otamendi
(pen.)
120'+3
120'+3
(missed pen.)
E. Olivera⚽
⚽J. Freitas
(pen.)
120'+4
120'+4
(pen.)
L. Palacios⚽
⚽R. Borre
(missed pen.)
120'+5
120'+5
(pen.)
F. Fagundez⚽
⚽L. Martinez Quarta
(missed pen.)
120'+6
120'+6
(missed pen.)
J. Torres⚽
⚽Fausto Vera
(pen.)
120'+7
120'+7
(pen.)
I. R. Scarpeta Silgado⚽
⚽F. Gonzalez
(missed pen.)
120'+8
120'+8
(missed pen.)
J. Angulo⚽
⚽M. Acuna
(pen.)
120'+9
120'+9
(pen.)
H. Palacios⚽
⚽J. Meza
(pen.)
120'+10
120'+10
(pen.)
C. Mafla⚽
⚽S. Beltran
(missed pen.)
120'+11
120'+11
(pen.)
W. Asprilla⚽
Pre-match prediction
38.69%
River
32.92%
X ←
28.39%
Santa
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.92%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.88
2.58
+1.7
0.66
1.29
+0.63
River Plate dominated by xG (2.58 vs 1.29).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
41
S. Beltrán
G
S. Beltrán
G
21
M. Acuña
1 ⚽
D
M. Acuña
1 ⚽
D
30
N. Otamendi
1 ⚽
D
N. Otamendi
1 ⚽
D
28
L. Martínez
D
L. Martínez
D
29
G. Montiel
1 👟
76'
D
G. Montiel
1 👟
76'
D
50
T. Andrada
76'
M
T. Andrada
76'
M
6
A. Moreno
82'
M
A. Moreno
82'
M
23
T. Almada
1 ⚽
M
T. Almada
1 ⚽
M
10
Á. Correa
1 ⚽
M
Á. Correa
1 ⚽
M
26
T. Galván
62'
M
T. Galván
62'
M
9
S. Driussi
1 ⚽
62'
F
S. Driussi
1 ⚽
62'
F
Bench
33
E. Centurión
G
E. Centurión
G
31
Facundo González
21'
D
Facundo González
21'
D
15
F. Vera
1 ⚽
35'
M
F. Vera
1 ⚽
35'
M
24
J. Meza
1 ⚽
21'
M
J. Meza
1 ⚽
21'
M
35
Joaquín Freitas
1 ⚽
15'
F
Joaquín Freitas
1 ⚽
15'
F
25
L. Pereyra
F
L. Pereyra
F
44
L. Silva
M
L. Silva
M
19
R. Borré
35'
F
R. Borré
35'
F
43
V. Lucero
M
V. Lucero
M
12
Weibmar Asprilla
1 ⚽
G
Weibmar Asprilla
1 ⚽
G
32
Christian Mafla
1 ⚽
D
Christian Mafla
1 ⚽
D
15
Ivan Scarpeta
1 ⚽
D
Ivan Scarpeta
1 ⚽
D
18
Emanuel Olivera
D
Emanuel Olivera
D
13
Helibelton Palacios
1 ⚽
D
Helibelton Palacios
1 ⚽
D
6
Kilian Toscano
36'
M
Kilian Toscano
36'
M
16
Daniel Torres
1 ⚽
M
Daniel Torres
1 ⚽
M
10
Alexis Zapata
58'
M
Alexis Zapata
58'
M
19
N. Bustos
58'
M
N. Bustos
58'
M
77
Jader Obrian
58'
M
Jader Obrian
58'
M
11
Hugo Rodallega
87'
F
Hugo Rodallega
87'
F
Bench
39
Cristhian Portocarrero
M
Cristhian Portocarrero
M
30
Emiliano Contreras
G
Emiliano Contreras
G
9
Franco Fagúndez
2 ⚽
39'
F
Franco Fagúndez
2 ⚽
39'
F
43
Jean Caicedo
D
Jean Caicedo
D
24
Jeison Angulo
10'
D
Jeison Angulo
10'
D
7
Jhojan Torres
61'
F
Jhojan Torres
61'
F
42
Jhojan Zúñiga
M
Jhojan Zúñiga
M
14
Luis Angel Palacios
1 ⚽
39'
F
Luis Angel Palacios
1 ⚽
39'
F
40
Martin Palacios
F
Martin Palacios
F
4
Mateo Puerta
D
Mateo Puerta
D
17
Maximiliano Lovera
1 ⚽
39'
F
Maximiliano Lovera
1 ⚽
39'
F
3
Victor Moreno
D
Victor Moreno
D
Best on the pitch
Weibmar Asprilla
G · Santa
8.30
1 ⚽
· 35 pass
T. Almada
M · River
7.90
1 ⚽
6 shots
· 52 pass
Alexis Zapata
M · Santa
7.70
1 shots
· 12 pass
T. Andrada
M · River
7.60
· 71 pass
M. Acuña
D · River
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 60 pass
N. Otamendi
D · River
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 69 pass
River Plate — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Beltrán | G | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| M. Acuña | D | 97 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 60 | 56% | 3 | 1 | — |
| N. Otamendi | D | 97 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 69 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Martínez | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 60 | 50% | — | — | — |
| G. Montiel | D | 76 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 58 | 43% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Andrada | M | 76 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 71 | 68% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Moreno | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Almada | M | 97 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 6 | 52 | 47% | — | — | — |
| Á. Correa | M | 97 | 6.50 | 1 | — | 6 | 35 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Galván | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Driussi | F | 62 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 5 | 23 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Facundo González | D | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| F. Vera | M | 35 | 6.70 | 1 | — | — | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Meza | M | 21 | 6.50 | 1 | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Joaquín Freitas | F | 15 | 6.90 | 1 | — | — | 7 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Borré | F | 35 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
Santa Fe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weibmar Asprilla | G | 97 | 8.30 | 1 | — | — | 35 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Christian Mafla | D | 97 | 6.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ivan Scarpeta | D | 97 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 20 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| Emanuel Olivera | D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Helibelton Palacios | D | 97 | 6.90 | 1 | — | — | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Kilian Toscano | M | 36 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Torres | M | 97 | 6.90 | 1 | — | — | 22 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Alexis Zapata | M | 58 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Bustos | M | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Jader Obrian | M | 58 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| Hugo Rodallega | F | 87 | 6.70 | — | — | 4 | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Franco Fagúndez | F | 39 | 6.90 | 2 | — | 2 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Jeison Angulo | D | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jhojan Torres | F | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Luis Angel Palacios | F | 39 | 6.50 | 1 | — | — | 5 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Maximiliano Lovera | F | 39 | 6.70 | 1 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of River Plate vs Santa Fe?
The final score was River Plate 1–1 Santa Fe.
What did the model predict before River Plate vs Santa Fe?
The model assigned 38% probability to a River Plate win, 32% to a draw, and 28% to an Santa Fe win.