A. Correa
(ast. L. Martinez Quarta)
11'
T. Silvero
43'
(og)
61'
(ast. M. Pellegrini)
D. Valdes
79'
(ast. E. Gomez)
M. Lanzini
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave River Plate a 42% win probability (draw 33%, Velez Sarsfield 24%). The final result was River Plate 2–2 Velez Sarsfield. In 1 previous meetings, River Plate have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Velez Sarsfield.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
4
0.55
Actual xG
0.96
2
Saves
2
57%
Possession
43%
3
Corners
5
24
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽A. Correa
· ast. L. Martinez Quarta
11'
A. Moreno
41'
⚽T. Silvero
(og)
43'
58'
D. Valdes
/
S. Escobar
58'
D. Godoy
/
T. Aguirre
61'
ast. M. Pellegrini ·
D. Valdes⚽
A. Correa
/ R. Borre
70'
74'
E. Gomez
79'
ast. E. Gomez ·
M. Lanzini⚽
L. Martinez Quarta
80'
J. Freitas
/ L. Pereyra
84'
L. Beltran
/ S. Driussi
84'
87'
A. Veron
/
M. Lanzini
90'+4
L. Feler
/
R. Aliendro
Pre-match prediction
42.75%
River
33.18%
X ←
24.06%
Velez
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
33.18%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.90
0.55
-0.35
0.67
0.96
+0.29
Velez Sarsfield dominated by xG (0.96 vs 0.55).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
41
S. Beltrán
G
S. Beltrán
G
3
F. Ortega
D
F. Ortega
D
30
N. Otamendi
D
N. Otamendi
D
28
L. Martínez
1 👟
D
L. Martínez
1 👟
D
20
G. González
D
G. González
D
50
T. Andrada
M
T. Andrada
M
6
Aníbal Moreno
M
Aníbal Moreno
M
23
T. Almada
M
T. Almada
M
10
Á. Correa
1 ⚽
70'
M
Á. Correa
1 ⚽
70'
M
35
J. Freitas
84'
M
J. Freitas
84'
M
18
L. Beltrán
84'
F
L. Beltrán
84'
F
Bench
33
E. Centurión
G
E. Centurión
G
15
F. Vera
M
F. Vera
M
29
G. Montiel
D
G. Montiel
D
24
J. Meza
M
J. Meza
M
25
L. Pereyra
12'
F
L. Pereyra
12'
F
13
L. Rivero
D
L. Rivero
D
44
L. Silva
M
L. Silva
M
21
M. Acuña
D
M. Acuña
D
8
M. Arambarri
M
M. Arambarri
M
19
R. Borré
20'
F
R. Borré
20'
F
9
S. Driussi
12'
F
S. Driussi
12'
F
26
T. Galván
M
T. Galván
M
1
T. Marchiori
G
T. Marchiori
G
3
Elías Gómez
1 👟
D
Elías Gómez
1 👟
D
16
L. Magallán
D
L. Magallán
D
32
Thiago Silveor
1 ⚽
D
Thiago Silveor
1 ⚽
D
4
J. García
D
J. García
D
29
R. Aliendro
89'
M
R. Aliendro
89'
M
8
L. Robertone
M
L. Robertone
M
18
S. Escobar
58'
M
S. Escobar
58'
M
22
M. Lanzini
1 ⚽
87'
M
M. Lanzini
1 ⚽
87'
M
11
M. Pellegrini
1 👟
M
M. Pellegrini
1 👟
M
39
T. Aguirre
58'
F
T. Aguirre
58'
F
Bench
47
A. Pereyra
D
A. Pereyra
D
17
A. Verón
9'
F
A. Verón
9'
F
5
C. Baeza
M
C. Baeza
M
15
D. Godoy
32'
F
D. Godoy
32'
F
10
D. Valdés
1 ⚽
32'
M
D. Valdés
1 ⚽
32'
M
2
E. Mammana
D
E. Mammana
D
23
F. Sanguinetti
G
F. Sanguinetti
G
37
Juan Cruz Policella
F
Juan Cruz Policella
F
19
L. Cristaldo
D
L. Cristaldo
D
30
L. Piola
F
L. Piola
F
48
Luca Feler
1'
M
Luca Feler
1'
M
35
M. Arias
F
M. Arias
F
Best on the pitch
M. Lanzini
M · Velez
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 31 pass
D. Valdés
M · Velez
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 25 pass
R. Aliendro
M · Velez
7.30
2 shots
· 49 pass
Á. Correa
M · River
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 37 pass
L. Martínez
D · River
7.00
1 👟
1 shots
· 76 pass
G. González
D · River
7.00
· 64 pass
River Plate — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Beltrán | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| F. Ortega | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 47 | 39% | 4 | — | — |
| N. Otamendi | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Martínez | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 76 | 62% | 3 | 1 | — |
| G. González | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 64 | 51% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Andrada | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 72 | 62% | 4 | — | — |
| Aníbal Moreno | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 5 | 1 | — |
| T. Almada | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 75 | 64% | — | — | — |
| Á. Correa | M | 70 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 37 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Freitas | M | 84 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 24% | — | — | — |
| L. Beltrán | F | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Pereyra | F | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| R. Borré | F | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| S. Driussi | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Velez Sarsfield — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Marchiori | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Elías Gómez | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 41 | 35% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Magallán | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 52 | 41% | 4 | — | — |
| Thiago Silveor | D | 90 | 5.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 54 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| J. García | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Aliendro | M | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 49 | 38% | 4 | — | — |
| L. Robertone | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 53 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Escobar | M | 58 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Lanzini | M | 87 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 31 | 27% | — | — | — |
| M. Pellegrini | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 22 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Aguirre | F | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| A. Verón | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| D. Godoy | F | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Valdés | M | 32 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Luca Feler | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of River Plate vs Velez Sarsfield?
The final score was River Plate 2–2 Velez Sarsfield.
What did the model predict before River Plate vs Velez Sarsfield?
The model assigned 42% probability to a River Plate win, 33% to a draw, and 24% to an Velez Sarsfield win.