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Rivers United - Warri Wolves

#6 · 3 pts
vs
#18 · 0 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌦️ Drizzle 26.8°C 💨 11 km/h 🌧️ 99% · Port Harcourt
⚡ Pre-match analysis
37.01%
Win
Rivers United
31.51%
Draw
31.48%
Win
Warri Wolves
3.87
Expected xG
0.62

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (14.91%)
1X2 Result
1 37%
X 32%
2 31%
Double Chance
1X 69%
X2 63%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
✓ 50.0% hit rate (16 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Rivers United a 37% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Warri Wolves. Expected goals are 3.9 for Rivers United and 0.6 for Warri Wolves (total 4.5), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 14.91% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Rivers United have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Warri Wolves.

Season Stats

Rivers United
8W 0D 7L
Warri Wolves
4W 4D 7L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
0.9
1.2
Conceded
1.4
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
60%
60%
O 2.5
53%
40%
BTTS
40%
33%
Clean Sht
40%
Based on the last 15 matches in NPFL. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
Rivers United
9W 1D 0L · at home
Warri Wolves
0W 1D 9L · away
2.2
gls/g
1.0
0.4
Conceded
2.5
90%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
10%
70%
O 1.5
80%
50%
O 2.5
80%
20%
O 3.5
30%
30%
BTTS
60%
70%
Clean Sht
10%
0%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Rivers United Warri Wolves →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.1% 0.7% 0.2%
1 4.3% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.4% 5.2% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
3 10.8% 6.7% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 10.4% 6.5% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 8.1% 5.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Recent form

W Plateau United 2–0
W Katsina United 3–0
W Wikki Tourist 2–3
W Abia Warriors 3–0
L Kano Pillars 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 45%
L Bendel Insurance 2–1
W Abia Warriors 2–1
L Kano Pillars 1–0
W Plateau United 1–0
L Nasarawa United 3–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Rivers United Rivers United
Attack
25
Defence
36
Form
35
Warri Wolves Warri Wolves
Attack
12
Defence
34
Form
22
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Rivers United
0
Draw
1
Warri Wolves
5 Apr 2026 NPFL 0–2
16 Nov 2025 NPFL 2–1

League Table

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Rivers United vs Warri Wolves?
The model gives Rivers United a 37% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 31% for an Warri Wolves win.
How many goals are expected in Rivers United vs Warri Wolves?
Expected goals: Rivers United 3.9, Warri Wolves 0.6 (total 4.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Rivers United vs Warri Wolves?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.91%.