Rodez 2–1 Saint Etienne — pre-match prediction — Ligue 2 — May 02, 2026

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Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 33 May 02, 2026 20:00 Stade Paul Lignon, Rodez

Rodez

#14 · 10 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Saint Etienne

#1 · 25 pts

I. Balde (ast. A. Trouillet) 17'

I. Balde 54'

89' (ast. A. Boakye) I. Cardona

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Saint Etienne a 39% win probability (draw 27%, Rodez 33%). The final result was Rodez 2–1 Saint Etienne. In 3 previous meetings, Rodez have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Saint Etienne.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

41%

Possession

59%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽I. Balde · ast. A. Trouillet

17'

46'

I. Cardona / I. Miladinovic ↕

⚽I. Balde

54'

I. Balde

55'

58'

L. Gadegbeku / K. Pedro ↕

69'

A. Boakye

↕ M. Saka / W. Younoussa

72'

↕ J. Mendes / O. Joly

72'

73'

E. Annan / J. Duffus ↕

↕ E. Jean-Lambert / R. Ponti

73'

↕ A. Trouillet / S. Benchamma

79'

↕ I. Balde / K. Nagera

79'

89'

ast. A. Boakye · I. Cardona⚽

90'+4

L. Gadegbeku

O. Joly

90'

Pre-match prediction

33.59%

Rodez ←

27.16%

39.25%

Saint

we assigned to the actual result (Rodez) 33.59% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Rodez

1.16

—

Saint

1.42

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Saint Etienne	10	25
2	Montpellier	10	21
3	Nancy	10	19
4	Reims	10	18
5	PAU	10	17
6	RED Star FC 93	10	17
7	Annecy	10	16
8	Metz	10	14
9	Dijon	10	12
10	Dunkerque	10	12
11	Guingamp	10	11
12	Sochaux	10	11
13	Boulogne	10	10
14	Rodez	10	10
15	Nantes	10	8
16	Grenoble	10	8
17	Clermont Foot	10	7
18	Laval	10	6

Lineups

Rodez 5-3-2

G 7.20

E. Jean-Lambert 73' D 7.90

R. Lipinski D 7.30

M. Magnin D 7.00

D 6.90

D 7.20

Mathis Saka 72' M 6.60

J. Mendes 72' M 7.20

Alexis Trouillet 1 👟 79' M 7.90

T. Arconte F 6.30

I. Baldé 2 ⚽ 79' F 8.30

Bench

C. Roubiou F

K. Nagera 11' F 6.30

O. Joly 18' M 6.70

R. Ponti 17' D 6.30

Samy Benchama 11' M 6.30

W. Younoussa 18' M 6.50

Saint Etienne 5-3-2

G. Larsonneur G 7.30

D 6.70

M. Nadé D 7.20

D 6.70

K. Pedro 58' D 6.90

Dennis Appiah D 6.50

I. Miladinović 45' M 6.90

A. Boakye 1 👟 M 7.00

A. Kanté M 7.00

L. Stassin F 5.30

J. Duffus 73' F 6.50

Bench

E. Annan 17' D 6.60

I. Cardona 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.90

L. Gadegbeku 32' M 6.30

Best on the pitch

I. Baldé

F · Rodez

8.30

2 ⚽

4 shots · 12 pass

E. Jean-Lambert

D · Rodez

7.90

· 20 pass

I. Cardona

F · Saint

7.90

1 ⚽

1 shots · 16 pass

Alexis Trouillet

M · Rodez

7.90

1 👟

· 44 pass

R. Lipinski

D · Rodez

7.30

· 40 pass

G. Larsonneur

G · Saint

7.30

· 28 pass

Rodez — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.20	—	—	—	38	21%	—	—	—
E. Jean-Lambert	D	73	7.90	—	—	—	20	16%	2	—	—
R. Lipinski	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	40	31%	3	—	—
M. Magnin	D	90	7.00	—	—	—	33	25%	—	—	—
	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	46	40%	2	—	—
	D	90	7.20	—	—	2	28	25%	2	—	—
Mathis Saka	M	72	6.60	—	—	2	22	18%	1	—	—
J. Mendes	M	72	7.20	—	—	1	22	21%	4	—	—
Alexis Trouillet	M	79	7.90	—	1	—	44	43%	4	—	—
T. Arconte	F	90	6.30	—	—	2	8	6%	1	—	—
I. Baldé	F	79	8.30	2	—	4	12	10%	—	1	—
K. Nagera	F	11	6.30	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
O. Joly	M	18	6.70	—	—	—	7	5%	1	1	—
R. Ponti	D	17	6.30	—	—	—	6	3%	—	—	—
Samy Benchama	M	11	6.30	—	—	1	9	9%	—	—	—
W. Younoussa	M	18	6.50	—	—	1	5	4%	1	—	—

Saint Etienne — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
G. Larsonneur	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	28	25%	—	—	—
	D	90	6.70	—	—	1	58	48%	—	—	—
M. Nadé	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	52	47%	6	—	—
	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	66	59%	—	—	—
K. Pedro	D	58	6.90	—	—	—	40	37%	3	—	—
Dennis Appiah	D	90	6.50	—	—	1	38	32%	3	—	—
I. Miladinović	M	45	6.90	—	—	—	21	17%	2	—	—
A. Boakye	M	90	7.00	—	1	2	37	32%	1	1	—
A. Kanté	M	90	7.00	—	—	—	70	65%	1	—	—
L. Stassin	F	90	5.30	—	—	3	24	18%	—	—	—
J. Duffus	F	73	6.50	—	—	1	14	14%	—	—	—
E. Annan	D	17	6.60	—	—	—	8	8%	1	—	—
I. Cardona	F	45	7.90	1	—	1	16	11%	1	—	—
L. Gadegbeku	M	32	6.30	—	—	—	21	17%	—	1	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Rodez vs Saint Etienne?

The final score was Rodez 2–1 Saint Etienne.

What did the model predict before Rodez vs Saint Etienne?

The model assigned 33% probability to a Rodez win, 27% to a draw, and 39% to an Saint Etienne win.