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Rodina Moskva - FC Orenburg

Cup August 18, 2026 17:30 Arena Khimki, Khimki
Rodina Moskva
vs
FC Orenburg
⚡ Pre-match analysis
37.5%
Win
Rodina Moskva
32.97%
Draw
29.53%
Win
FC Orenburg
1.33
Expected xG
1.05

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (15.12%)
1X2 Result
1 38%
X 33%
2 30%
Double Chance
1X 71%
X2 63%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 80%
Over 2.5 62%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Rodina Moskva a 37% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 29% for FC Orenburg. Expected goals are 1.3 for Rodina Moskva and 1.0 for FC Orenburg (total 2.4), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 15.12% probability.

Season Stats

Rodina Moskva
1W 1D 0L
FC Orenburg
2W 1D 6L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
0.8
0.0
Conceded
2.6
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
78%
50%
O 2.5
56%
0%
BTTS
33%
100%
Clean Sht
22%
ℹ Based on the last 9 matches in Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
0%
BTTS
Rodina Moskva
0W 1D 0L · at home
FC Orenburg
1W 0D 4L · away
0.0
gls/g
0.2
0.0
Conceded
2.8
0%
Win %
20%
100%
Win or Draw
20%
0%
O 1.5
80%
0%
O 2.5
40%
0%
O 3.5
40%
0%
BTTS
0%
100%
Clean Sht
20%
100%
Failed to Score
80%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Rodina Moskva FC Orenburg →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3% 9.8% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.4% 12.9% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.2% 8.6% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.6% 3.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% —
4 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva
D Chelyabinsk 0–0
W Ska-khabarovsk 0–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 40%
FC Orenburg FC Orenburg
L Krylia Sovetov 2–0
L FC Krasnodar 4–0
L FC Krasnodar 1–3
L Zenit 6–0
W Akhmat 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva
Attack
31
Defence
60
Form
52
FC Orenburg FC Orenburg
Attack
31
Defence
63
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Rodina Moskva vs FC Orenburg?
The model gives Rodina Moskva a 37% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 29% for an FC Orenburg win.
How many goals are expected in Rodina Moskva vs FC Orenburg?
Expected goals: Rodina Moskva 1.3, FC Orenburg 1.0 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Rodina Moskva vs FC Orenburg?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.12%.