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Rodina Moskva - Rubin

Cup August 04, 2026 17:30 Arena Khimki, Khimki
Rodina Moskva
vs
Rubin
Weather at kick-off 🌤️ Mainly clear 27.0°C 💨 4 km/h · Khimki
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.2%
Win
Rodina Moskva
32.98%
Draw
31.82%
Win
Rubin
1.22
Expected xG
1.21

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (15.2%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 33%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 65%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 80%
Over 2.5 62%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Rodina Moskva a 35% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Rubin. Expected goals are 1.2 for Rodina Moskva and 1.2 for Rubin (total 2.4), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 15.2% probability.

Season Stats

Rodina Moskva
1W 1D 0L
Rubin
1W 3D 3L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
0.7
0.0
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
57%
50%
O 2.5
29%
0%
BTTS
14%
100%
Clean Sht
43%
ℹ Based on the last 7 matches in Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
0%
BTTS
Rodina Moskva
0W 1D 0L · at home
Rubin
0W 2D 2L · away
0.0
gls/g
0.0
0.0
Conceded
1.2
0%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
0%
O 1.5
50%
0%
O 2.5
25%
0%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
0%
100%
Clean Sht
50%
100%
Failed to Score
100%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Rodina Moskva Rubin →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9% 10.7% 6.4% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
1 10.8% 13.0% 7.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.6% 7.9% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.7% 3.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva
D Chelyabinsk 0–0
W Ska-khabarovsk 0–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 46%
Rubin Rubin
D Arsenal Tula 0–0
D Akhmat 3–3
L Zenit 0–1
D FC Orenburg 0–0
L Akhmat 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 47%

Playing profile

Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva
Attack
31
Defence
60
Form
52
Rubin Rubin
Attack
35
Defence
69
Form
51
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Rodina Moskva vs Rubin?
The model gives Rodina Moskva a 35% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 31% for an Rubin win.
How many goals are expected in Rodina Moskva vs Rubin?
Expected goals: Rodina Moskva 1.2, Rubin 1.2 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Rodina Moskva vs Rubin?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.2%.