Copa Libertadores
· Round of 16
August 14, 2026 02:30
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rosario Central a 36% win probability (draw 29%, Corinthians 33%). The final result was Rosario Central 0–0 Corinthians. In 1 previous meetings, Rosario Central have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Corinthians.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
5
2
Shots on target
1
0.43
Actual xG
0.43
1
Saves
2
57%
Possession
43%
12
Corners
0
16
Tackles
26
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
V. Pizarro
31'
44'
Breno Bidon
E. Copetti
45'+2
45'+5
Matheuzinho
45'+6
Allan
V. Pizarro
/ F. Navarro
46'
E. Coronel
54'
G. Cantizano
/ T. Badaloni
79'
E. Coronel
/ E. Veron
79'
80'
Allan
80'
Allan
83'
A. Carrillo
/
R. Garro
E. Copetti
/ M. Ruben
88'
A. Sandez
/ A. Rodriguez
88'
88'
J. Lingard
/
Kaio Cesar
90'+6
Andre Ramalho
/
Breno Bidon
Pre-match prediction
36.88%
Rosario
29.25%
X ←
33.87%
Corinthians
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
29.25%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.32
0.43
-0.89
1.31
0.43
-0.88
xG dominance was balanced (0.43 – 0.43).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
J. Ledesma
G
J. Ledesma
G
3
A. Sandez
88'
D
A. Sandez
88'
D
13
G. Ávila
D
G. Ávila
D
46
Ignacio Ovando
D
Ignacio Ovando
D
32
E. Coronel
79'
D
E. Coronel
79'
D
20
V. Pizarro
45'
M
V. Pizarro
45'
M
5
F. Ibarra
M
F. Ibarra
M
8
J. Campaz
M
J. Campaz
M
11
Á. Di María
M
Á. Di María
M
26
G. Cantizano
79'
M
G. Cantizano
79'
M
22
E. Copetti
88'
F
E. Copetti
88'
F
Bench
36
Alvaro Guich
D
Alvaro Guich
D
88
A. Rodríguez
11'
M
A. Rodríguez
11'
M
33
A. Soto
D
A. Soto
D
1
A. Werner
G
A. Werner
G
42
E. Veron
11'
D
E. Veron
11'
D
15
F. Mallo
D
F. Mallo
D
31
F. Navarro
45'
M
F. Navarro
45'
M
28
G. Fernández
M
G. Fernández
M
18
Julián Fernández
F
Julián Fernández
F
7
Marcelo Cabrera
F
Marcelo Cabrera
F
29
M. Ruben
11'
F
M. Ruben
11'
F
16
T. Badaloni
11'
F
T. Badaloni
11'
F
1
Hugo Souza
G
Hugo Souza
G
21
Matheus Bidu
D
Matheus Bidu
D
13
Gustavo Henrique
D
Gustavo Henrique
D
3
Gabriel Paulista
D
Gabriel Paulista
D
2
Matheuzinho
D
Matheuzinho
D
14
Raniele
M
Raniele
M
29
Allan
80'
M
Allan
80'
M
7
Breno
89'
M
Breno
89'
M
8
R. Garro
83'
M
R. Garro
83'
M
37
Kaio César
88'
M
Kaio César
88'
M
18
Pedro Raul
F
Pedro Raul
F
Bench
19
A. Carrillo
16'
M
A. Carrillo
16'
M
63
Alex Santana
M
Alex Santana
M
5
André Ramalho
1'
D
André Ramalho
1'
D
35
Charles
M
Charles
M
61
Dieguinho
M
Dieguinho
M
26
F. Angileri
D
F. Angileri
D
56
Guilherme Inácio
F
Guilherme Inácio
F
77
J. Lingard
11'
M
J. Lingard
11'
M
4
João Pedro
D
João Pedro
D
51
Kauê Camargo
G
Kauê Camargo
G
23
Matheus Pereira
M
Matheus Pereira
M
20
P. Milans
D
P. Milans
D
Best on the pitch
Gabriel Paulista
D · Corinthians
8.00
· 38 pass
G. Ávila
D · Rosario
7.70
2 shots
· 69 pass
Matheuzinho
D · Corinthians
7.30
· 28 pass
F. Ibarra
M · Rosario
7.30
· 55 pass
Raniele
M · Corinthians
7.20
· 30 pass
Gustavo Henrique
D · Corinthians
7.20
· 41 pass
Rosario Central — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Ledesma | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 5% | — | — | — |
| A. Sandez | D | 88 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Ávila | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 69 | 56% | 3 | — | — |
| Ignacio Ovando | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 53 | 44% | — | — | — |
| E. Coronel | D | 79 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 31% | — | 1 | — |
| V. Pizarro | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 6% | 2 | 1 | — |
| F. Ibarra | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 55 | 44% | 6 | — | — |
| J. Campaz | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Á. Di María | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 20% | — | — | — |
| G. Cantizano | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| E. Copetti | F | 88 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Rodríguez | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| E. Veron | D | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| F. Navarro | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| M. Ruben | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Badaloni | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Corinthians — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Souza | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Bidu | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Gustavo Henrique | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Paulista | D | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Matheuzinho | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | 6 | 1 | — |
| Raniele | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 6 | — | — |
| Allan | M | 80 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 38% | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Breno | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | 2 | 1 | — |
| R. Garro | M | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| Kaio César | M | 88 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Pedro Raul | F | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 4% | — | — | — |
| A. Carrillo | M | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| André Ramalho | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Lingard | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rosario Central vs Corinthians?
The final score was Rosario Central 0–0 Corinthians.
What did the model predict before Rosario Central vs Corinthians?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Rosario Central win, 29% to a draw, and 33% to an Corinthians win.