Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 1
April 10, 2026 00:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rosario Central a 37% win probability (draw 32%, Independiente del Valle 30%). The final result was Rosario Central 0–0 Independiente del Valle. In 1 previous meetings, Rosario Central have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Independiente del Valle.
Match statistics
20
Total shots
8
9
Shots on target
2
1.36
Actual xG
1.40
2
Saves
9
58%
Possession
42%
9
Corners
3
12
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
30'
Carlos Gonzalez
57'
Ronald Briones
/
Justin Lerma
57'
Darwin Guagua
/
Emerson Pata
58'
Arón Rodríguez
/
Matías Perello
60'
Junior Sornoza
Emanuel Coronel
/ Enzo Copetti
63'
73'
Andy Velasco
/
Daykol Romero
Franco Ibarra
75'
80'
Aldair Quintana
Ignacio Ovando
/ Carlos Quintana
82'
Jaminton Campaz
85'
87'
Juan Angulo
/
Carlos Gonzalez
Agustín Sández
/ Julián Fernández
89'
Pre-match prediction
37.28%
Rosario
32.68%
X ←
30.04%
Independiente
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.68%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.09
1.36
+0.27
0.72
1.40
+0.68
xG dominance was balanced (1.36 – 1.40).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
G
3
Agustín Sández
89'
D
Agustín Sández
89'
D
13
Gastón Ávila
D
Gastón Ávila
D
46
Ignacio Ovando
82'
D
Ignacio Ovando
82'
D
32
E. Coronel
63'
D
E. Coronel
63'
D
20
Vicente Pizarro
M
Vicente Pizarro
M
5
F. Ibarra
M
F. Ibarra
M
8
Jaminton Campaz
M
Jaminton Campaz
M
11
Á. Di María
M
Á. Di María
M
16
E. Giménez
M
E. Giménez
M
9
A. Véliz
F
A. Véliz
F
Bench
33
Alexis Soto
D
Alexis Soto
D
22
Enzo Copetti
27'
F
Enzo Copetti
27'
F
39
Fabricio Oviedo
F
Fabricio Oviedo
F
31
Federico Navarro
M
Federico Navarro
M
27
Gaspar Duarte
F
Gaspar Duarte
F
18
Julián Fernández
9'
F
Julián Fernández
9'
F
35
Lucas Ramos
D
Lucas Ramos
D
1
Aldair Quintana
G
Aldair Quintana
G
19
L. Loor
D
L. Loor
D
23
J. Viacava
D
J. Viacava
D
14
M. Carabajal
D
M. Carabajal
D
13
Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla
73'
D
Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla
73'
D
10
J. Sornoza
60'
M
J. Sornoza
60'
M
6
J. Alcívar
M
J. Alcívar
M
53
Justin Lerma
57'
M
Justin Lerma
57'
M
31
Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez
57'
F
Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez
57'
F
9
C. González
87'
F
C. González
87'
F
11
M. Perelló
58'
F
M. Perelló
58'
F
Bench
33
Andy René Velasco García
17'
D
Andy René Velasco García
17'
D
17
A. Rodríguez
32'
F
A. Rodríguez
32'
F
55
Darwin Guagua
33'
M
Darwin Guagua
33'
M
99
D. Reasco
F
D. Reasco
F
4
J. Espinoza
D
J. Espinoza
D
32
J. Méndez
M
J. Méndez
M
50
Juan Riquelme Angulo
11'
F
Juan Riquelme Angulo
11'
F
16
R. Briones
33'
M
R. Briones
33'
M
8
Y. Ochoa
M
Y. Ochoa
M
Best on the pitch
Aldair Quintana
G · Independiente
8.60
· 40 pass
F. Ibarra
M · Rosario
8.00
· 52 pass
Jaminton Campaz
M · Rosario
7.90
6 shots
· 40 pass
M. Carabajal
D · Independiente
7.70
· 21 pass
Á. Di María
M · Rosario
7.50
2 shots
· 39 pass
Gastón Ávila
D · Rosario
7.30
1 shots
· 43 pass
Rosario Central — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | — | — | — | |
| Agustín Sández | D | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Gastón Ávila | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| Ignacio Ovando | D | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | — | — | — |
| E. Coronel | D | 63 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Vicente Pizarro | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Ibarra | M | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 52 | 46% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Jaminton Campaz | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 6 | 40 | 30% | — | 1 | — |
| Á. Di María | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Giménez | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Véliz | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 6 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Enzo Copetti | F | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Julián Fernández | F | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
Independiente del Valle — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aldair Quintana | G | 90 | 8.60 | — | — | — | 40 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Loor | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 30 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Viacava | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Carabajal | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla | D | 73 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Sornoza | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | — | — | 1 |
| J. Alcívar | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| Justin Lerma | M | 57 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | 4 | — | — |
| Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez | F | 57 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| C. González | F | 87 | 6.00 | — | — | 3 | 13 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Perelló | F | 58 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Andy René Velasco García | D | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Rodríguez | F | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Darwin Guagua | M | 33 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Riquelme Angulo | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| R. Briones | M | 33 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rosario Central vs Independiente del Valle?
The final score was Rosario Central 0–0 Independiente del Valle.
What did the model predict before Rosario Central vs Independiente del Valle?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Rosario Central win, 32% to a draw, and 30% to an Independiente del Valle win.