Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 1
April 10, 2026 00:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rosario Central a 37% win probability (draw 32%, Independiente del Valle 30%). The final result was Rosario Central 0–0 Independiente del Valle. In 1 previous meetings, Rosario Central have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Independiente del Valle.
Match statistics
20
Total shots
8
9
Shots on target
2
1.36
Actual xG
1.40
2
Saves
9
58%
Possession
42%
9
Corners
3
12
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
30'
Carlos Gonzalez
57'
Ronald Briones
/
Justin Lerma
57'
Darwin Guagua
/
Emerson Pata
58'
Arón Rodríguez
/
Matías Perello
60'
Junior Sornoza
Emanuel Coronel
/ Enzo Copetti
63'
73'
Andy Velasco
/
Daykol Romero
Franco Ibarra
75'
80'
Aldair Quintana
Ignacio Ovando
/ Carlos Quintana
82'
Jaminton Campaz
85'
87'
Juan Angulo
/
Carlos Gonzalez
Agustín Sández
/ Julián Fernández
89'
Pre-match prediction
37.28%
Rosario
32.68%
X ←
30.04%
Independiente
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.68%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.09
1.36
+0.27
0.72
1.40
+0.68
xG dominance was balanced (1.36 – 1.40).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
G
3
Agustín Sández
89'
D
Agustín Sández
89'
D
13
Gastón Ávila
D
Gastón Ávila
D
46
Ignacio Ovando
82'
D
Ignacio Ovando
82'
D
32
Emanuel Coronel
63'
D
Emanuel Coronel
63'
D
20
Vicente Pizarro
M
Vicente Pizarro
M
5
F. Ibarra
M
F. Ibarra
M
8
J. Campaz
M
J. Campaz
M
11
Á. Di María
M
Á. Di María
M
16
Enzo Giménez
M
Enzo Giménez
M
9
Alejo Véliz
F
Alejo Véliz
F
Bench
33
Alexis Soto
D
Alexis Soto
D
22
E. Copetti
27'
F
E. Copetti
27'
F
39
Fabricio Oviedo
F
Fabricio Oviedo
F
31
Federico Navarro
M
Federico Navarro
M
27
Gaspar Duarte
F
18
Julián Fernández
9'
F
Julián Fernández
9'
F
35
L. Ramos
D
1
Aldair Quintana
G
Aldair Quintana
G
19
L. Loor
D
L. Loor
D
23
Juan Viacava
D
Juan Viacava
D
14
Mateo Carabajal
D
Mateo Carabajal
D
13
Daykol Romero
73'
D
Daykol Romero
73'
D
10
J. Sornoza
60'
M
J. Sornoza
60'
M
6
Jordy Alcivar
M
Jordy Alcivar
M
53
Justin Lerma
57'
M
Justin Lerma
57'
M
31
Emerson Pata
57'
F
Emerson Pata
57'
F
9
Carlos González
87'
F
Carlos González
87'
F
11
Matías Perello
58'
F
Matías Perello
58'
F
Bench
33
Andy Velasco
17'
D
Andy Velasco
17'
D
17
Arón Rodríguez
32'
F
Arón Rodríguez
32'
F
55
Darwin Guagua
33'
M
Darwin Guagua
33'
M
99
Djorkaeff Reasco
F
Djorkaeff Reasco
F
32
Jhegson Méndez
M
Jhegson Méndez
M
4
Jhon Espinoza
D
Jhon Espinoza
D
50
Juan Riquelme Angulo
11'
F
Juan Riquelme Angulo
11'
F
16
Ronald Briones
33'
M
Ronald Briones
33'
M
8
Youri Ochoa
M
Youri Ochoa
M
Best on the pitch
Aldair Quintana
G · Independiente
8.60
· 40 pass
F. Ibarra
M · Rosario
8.00
· 52 pass
J. Campaz
M · Rosario
7.90
6 shots
· 40 pass
Mateo Carabajal
D · Independiente
7.70
· 21 pass
Á. Di María
M · Rosario
7.50
2 shots
· 39 pass
Gastón Ávila
D · Rosario
7.30
1 shots
· 43 pass
Rosario Central — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | — | — | — | |
| Agustín Sández | D | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Gastón Ávila | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| Ignacio Ovando | D | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Emanuel Coronel | D | 63 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Vicente Pizarro | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Ibarra | M | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 52 | 46% | 4 | 1 | — |
| J. Campaz | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 6 | 40 | 30% | — | 1 | — |
| Á. Di María | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Enzo Giménez | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Alejo Véliz | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 6 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| E. Copetti | F | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Julián Fernández | F | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
Independiente del Valle — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aldair Quintana | G | 90 | 8.60 | — | — | — | 40 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Loor | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 30 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Juan Viacava | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Mateo Carabajal | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Daykol Romero | D | 73 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Sornoza | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | — | — | 1 |
| Jordy Alcivar | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| Justin Lerma | M | 57 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | 4 | — | — |
| Emerson Pata | F | 57 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Carlos González | F | 87 | 6.00 | — | — | 3 | 13 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Matías Perello | F | 58 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Andy Velasco | D | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Arón Rodríguez | F | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Darwin Guagua | M | 33 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Riquelme Angulo | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Ronald Briones | M | 33 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rosario Central vs Independiente del Valle?
The final score was Rosario Central 0–0 Independiente del Valle.
What did the model predict before Rosario Central vs Independiente del Valle?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Rosario Central win, 32% to a draw, and 30% to an Independiente del Valle win.