Rosenborg 4–0 Fredrikstad — pre-match prediction — Eliteserien — July 27, 2026

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Eliteserien · Regular Season - 15 July 27, 2026 19:00 Lerkendal Stadion, Trondheim

Rosenborg

#5 · 33 pts

4 – 0

Final score

Fredrikstad

#8 · 28 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Rosenborg

A. Pereira (ast. O. Selnaes) 10'

E. K. Ceide (ast. O. Selnaes) 13'

A. Chiakha (ast. M. Bomholt) 77'

I. Fossum 88'

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rosenborg a 62% win probability (draw 20%, Fredrikstad 17%). The final result was Rosenborg 4–0 Fredrikstad.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.35

Actual xG

0.32

Saves

58%

Possession

42%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽A. Pereira · ast. O. Selnaes

10'

⚽E. K. Ceide · ast. O. Selnaes

13'

A. Pereira

32'

46'

S. Laghzaoui / J. Nunez ↕

↕ J. Svensson / A. F. Witry

46'

57'

G. Wesseh / S. Rafn ↕

67'

J. Jezierski / O. Ohlenschlaeger ↕

↕ D. Duris / J. Reitan-Sunde

70'

↕ A. Pereira / T. Dahl

70'

76'

J. Nysveen / U. Fredriksen ↕

76'

S. Owusu / F. Ghebreyohannes ↕

⚽A. Chiakha · ast. M. Bomholt

77'

↕ O. Selnaes / H. Volden

81'

↕ E. K. Ceide / N. Sahsah

85'

⚽I. Fossum

88'

Pre-match prediction

62.19%

Rosenborg ←

20.01%

17.81%

Fredrikstad

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Rosenborg) 62.19% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Rosenborg

2.28

1.35

-0.93

Fredrikstad

0.86

0.32

-0.54

Rosenborg dominated by xG (1.35 vs 0.32). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Viking	21	50
2	Bodo/Glimt	21	50
3	Tromso	21	38
4	Molde	21	36
5	Rosenborg	21	33
6	Lillestrom	21	32
7	Brann	21	29
8	Fredrikstad	21	28
9	Sarpsborg 08 FF	21	25
10	KFUM Oslo	21	25
11	Sandefjord	21	23
12	Valerenga	21	23
13	Ham-Kam	21	23
14	Aalesund	21	21
15	Kristiansund BK	21	19
16	Start	21	16

Lineups

Rosenborg 4-3-3

L. Wahlstedt 65' G 7.20

A. Pereira 1 ⚽ 65' D 7.20

T. Nemčík 65' D 7.20

M. Ceïde 65' D 6.60

J. Svensson 45' D 7.60

Iver Fossum 1 ⚽ 65' M 6.90

O. Selnæs 2 👟 65' M 7.90

M. Bomholt 1 👟 65' M 6.50

E. Ceïde 1 ⚽ 65' F 8.20

Amin Chiakha 1 ⚽ 65' F 7.20

D. Ďuriš 65' F 6.30

Bench

A. Witry 20' D 6.60

H. Volden D

J. Mortensen D

Johan Johanessen Bakke M

J. Reitan-Sunde F

M. Soboczynski F

N. Sahsah F

R. Sandberg G

T. Solheim D

Fredrikstad 3-4-3

M. Børsheim 65' G 6.30

U. Fredriksen 65' D 6.30

F. Holmé 65' D 7.20

S. Rafn 57' D 6.70

Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem 65' M 6.70

M. Nilsson 65' M 7.20

Oskar Øhlenschlaeger 65' M 7.20

D. Eid 65' M 6.90

J. Hummelvoll-Nuñez 45' F 6.70

H. Skogvold 65' F 6.20

B. Thoresen 65' F 6.90

Bench

A. Andresen D

Gabriel Wesseh 8' M 6.30

J. Jezierski M

Joachim Nysveen D

Jonathan Norbye D

L. Owusu M

Oystein Ovretveit G

S. Laghzaoui 20' M 6.50

S. Owusu D

Best on the pitch

E. Ceïde

F · Rosenborg

8.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 40 pass

O. Selnæs

M · Rosenborg

7.90

2 👟

1 shots · 51 pass

J. Svensson

D · Rosenborg

7.60

· 39 pass

Oskar Øhlenschlaeger

M · Fredrikstad

7.20

· 38 pass

M. Nilsson

M · Fredrikstad

7.20

· 36 pass

F. Holmé

D · Fredrikstad

7.20

1 shots · 47 pass

Rosenborg — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
L. Wahlstedt	G	65	7.20	—	—	—	14	11%	—	—	—
A. Pereira	D	65	7.20	1	—	2	43	38%	1	1	—
T. Nemčík	D	65	7.20	—	—	1	60	56%	—	—	—
M. Ceïde	D	65	6.60	—	—	—	48	43%	—	—	—
J. Svensson	D	45	7.60	—	—	—	39	37%	5	—	—
Iver Fossum	M	65	6.90	1	—	2	40	37%	3	—	—
O. Selnæs	M	65	7.90	—	2	1	51	47%	2	—	—
M. Bomholt	M	65	6.50	—	1	2	38	33%	1	—	—
E. Ceïde	F	65	8.20	1	—	1	40	32%	—	—	—
Amin Chiakha	F	65	7.20	1	—	3	16	12%	1	—	—
D. Ďuriš	F	65	6.30	—	—	1	14	8%	—	—	—
A. Witry	D	20	6.60	—	—	1	15	12%	1	—	—

Fredrikstad — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Børsheim	G	65	6.30	—	—	—	25	18%	—	—	—
U. Fredriksen	D	65	6.30	—	—	—	41	33%	1	—	—
F. Holmé	D	65	7.20	—	—	1	47	45%	2	—	—
S. Rafn	D	57	6.70	—	—	—	33	26%	1	—	—
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem	M	65	6.70	—	—	—	28	24%	1	—	—
M. Nilsson	M	65	7.20	—	—	—	36	29%	—	—	—
Oskar Øhlenschlaeger	M	65	7.20	—	—	—	38	32%	4	—	—
D. Eid	M	65	6.90	—	—	—	27	19%	4	—	—
J. Hummelvoll-Nuñez	F	45	6.70	—	—	—	8	7%	—	—	—
H. Skogvold	F	65	6.20	—	—	1	19	12%	1	—	—
B. Thoresen	F	65	6.90	—	—	1	6	4%	—	—	—
Gabriel Wesseh	M	8	6.30	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—
S. Laghzaoui	M	20	6.50	—	—	—	5	5%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad?

The final score was Rosenborg 4–0 Fredrikstad.

What did the model predict before Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad?

The model assigned 62% probability to a Rosenborg win, 20% to a draw, and 17% to an Fredrikstad win.