✓Model correct — prediction Rosenborg
A. Pereira
(ast. O. Selnaes)
10'
E. K. Ceide
(ast. O. Selnaes)
13'
A. Chiakha
(ast. M. Bomholt)
77'
I. Fossum
88'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rosenborg a 62% win probability (draw 20%, Fredrikstad 17%). The final result was Rosenborg 4–0 Fredrikstad.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
3
8
Shots on target
2
1.35
Actual xG
0.32
2
Saves
5
58%
Possession
42%
10
Corners
2
14
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽A. Pereira
· ast. O. Selnaes
10'
⚽E. K. Ceide
· ast. O. Selnaes
13'
A. Pereira
32'
46'
S. Laghzaoui
/
J. Nunez
J. Svensson
/ A. F. Witry
46'
57'
G. Wesseh
/
S. Rafn
67'
J. Jezierski
/
O. Ohlenschlaeger
D. Duris
/ J. Reitan-Sunde
70'
A. Pereira
/ T. Dahl
70'
76'
J. Nysveen
/
U. Fredriksen
76'
S. Owusu
/
F. Ghebreyohannes
⚽A. Chiakha
· ast. M. Bomholt
77'
O. Selnaes
/ H. Volden
81'
E. K. Ceide
/ N. Sahsah
85'
⚽I. Fossum
88'
Pre-match prediction
62.19%
Rosenborg ←
20.01%
X
17.81%
Fredrikstad
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Rosenborg)
62.19%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.28
1.35
-0.93
0.86
0.32
-0.54
Rosenborg dominated by xG (1.35 vs 0.32).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Leopold Wahlstedt
65'
G
Leopold Wahlstedt
65'
G
19
Adrian Nilsen Pereira
1 ⚽
65'
D
Adrian Nilsen Pereira
1 ⚽
65'
D
21
Tomáš Nemčík
65'
D
Tomáš Nemčík
65'
D
4
Mikkel Konradsen Ceide
65'
D
Mikkel Konradsen Ceide
65'
D
22
Jonas Svensson
45'
D
Jonas Svensson
45'
D
8
Iver Fossum
1 ⚽
65'
M
Iver Fossum
1 ⚽
65'
M
10
O. Selnæs
2 👟
65'
M
O. Selnæs
2 👟
65'
M
17
M. Bomholt
1 👟
65'
M
M. Bomholt
1 👟
65'
M
35
E. Ceïde
1 ⚽
65'
F
E. Ceïde
1 ⚽
65'
F
18
Amin Chiakha
1 ⚽
65'
F
Amin Chiakha
1 ⚽
65'
F
29
Dávid Ďuriš
65'
F
Dávid Ďuriš
65'
F
Bench
16
A. Witry
20'
D
A. Witry
20'
D
5
Håkon Volden
D
Håkon Volden
D
14
Jesper Reitan-Sunde
F
Jesper Reitan-Sunde
F
25
Johan Johanessen Bakke
M
Johan Johanessen Bakke
M
15
Jonas Mortensen
D
Jonas Mortensen
D
30
Maciej Soboczynski
F
Maciej Soboczynski
F
11
Noah Sahsah
F
Noah Sahsah
F
12
Rasmus Sandberg
G
Rasmus Sandberg
G
3
Tobias Solheim Dahl
D
Tobias Solheim Dahl
D
77
Martin Borsheim
65'
G
Martin Borsheim
65'
G
12
Ulrik Fredriksen
65'
D
Ulrik Fredriksen
65'
D
4
Fredrik Holmé
65'
D
Fredrik Holmé
65'
D
5
Simen Rafn
57'
D
Simen Rafn
57'
D
19
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem
65'
M
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem
65'
M
14
Max Nilsson
65'
M
Max Nilsson
65'
M
20
Oskar Øhlenschlaeger
65'
M
Oskar Øhlenschlaeger
65'
M
16
Daniel Eid
65'
M
Daniel Eid
65'
M
10
Johannes Núñez
45'
F
Johannes Núñez
45'
F
23
Henrik Langaas Skogvold
65'
F
Henrik Langaas Skogvold
65'
F
7
Benjamin Faraas
65'
F
Benjamin Faraas
65'
F
Bench
3
Aleksander Andresen
D
Aleksander Andresen
D
29
Gabriel Wesseh
8'
M
Gabriel Wesseh
8'
M
21
Jakub Jezierski
M
Jakub Jezierski
M
26
Joachim Nysveen
D
Joachim Nysveen
D
18
Jonathan Norbye
D
Jonathan Norbye
D
24
Leonard Owusu
M
Leonard Owusu
M
1
Oystein Ovretveit
G
Oystein Ovretveit
G
9
Salim Laghzaoui
20'
M
Salim Laghzaoui
20'
M
28
Solomon Owusu
D
Solomon Owusu
D
Best on the pitch
E. Ceïde
F · Rosenborg
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 40 pass
O. Selnæs
M · Rosenborg
7.90
2 👟
1 shots
· 51 pass
Jonas Svensson
D · Rosenborg
7.60
· 39 pass
Oskar Øhlenschlaeger
M · Fredrikstad
7.20
· 38 pass
Max Nilsson
M · Fredrikstad
7.20
· 36 pass
Fredrik Holmé
D · Fredrikstad
7.20
1 shots
· 47 pass
Rosenborg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leopold Wahlstedt | G | 65 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Adrian Nilsen Pereira | D | 65 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 43 | 38% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Tomáš Nemčík | D | 65 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 56% | — | — | — |
| Mikkel Konradsen Ceide | D | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 48 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Jonas Svensson | D | 45 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 37% | 5 | — | — |
| Iver Fossum | M | 65 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 40 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| O. Selnæs | M | 65 | 7.90 | — | 2 | 1 | 51 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Bomholt | M | 65 | 6.50 | — | 1 | 2 | 38 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Ceïde | F | 65 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 40 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Amin Chiakha | F | 65 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Dávid Ďuriš | F | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 8% | — | — | — |
| A. Witry | D | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
Fredrikstad — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Borsheim | G | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Ulrik Fredriksen | D | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Fredrik Holmé | D | 65 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| Simen Rafn | D | 57 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem | M | 65 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Max Nilsson | M | 65 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Oskar Øhlenschlaeger | M | 65 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 32% | 4 | — | — |
| Daniel Eid | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| Johannes Núñez | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Henrik Langaas Skogvold | F | 65 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Benjamin Faraas | F | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Wesseh | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Salim Laghzaoui | M | 20 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad?
The final score was Rosenborg 4–0 Fredrikstad.
What did the model predict before Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad?
The model assigned 62% probability to a Rosenborg win, 20% to a draw, and 17% to an Fredrikstad win.