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← Scottish League One

Ross County - Hamilton Academical

Scottish League One September 12, 2026 16:00 Global Energy Stadium, Dingwall
Ross County
#1 · 19 pts
vs
Hamilton Academical
#2 · 19 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌤️ Mainly clear 16.4°C 💨 22 km/h · Dingwall
⚡ Pre-match analysis
47.58%
Win
Ross County
26.33%
Draw
26.1%
Win
Hamilton Academical
3.49
Expected xG
1.26

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.92%)
1X2 Result
1 48%
X 26%
2 26%
Double Chance
1X 74%
X2 52%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 50%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ross County a 47% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Hamilton Academical. Expected goals are 3.5 for Ross County and 1.3 for Hamilton Academical (total 4.8), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.92% probability.

Season Stats

Ross County
4W 1D 0L
Hamilton Academical
11W 2D 2L
Averages per game
2.4
Goals
1.9
0.8
Conceded
0.8
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
67%
80%
O 2.5
53%
60%
BTTS
40%
40%
Clean Sht
53%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Scottish League One. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
40%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
Ross County
2W 0D 0L · at home
Hamilton Academical
5W 3D 2L · away
3.0
gls/g
1.8
0.5
Conceded
0.9
100%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
80%
100%
O 1.5
80%
100%
O 2.5
60%
50%
O 3.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%
50%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Ross County Hamilton Academical →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.9% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% —
1 3.0% 3.8% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
2 5.3% 6.6% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.1% 7.7% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
4 5.4% 6.7% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
5 3.8% 4.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%

Recent form

Ross County Ross County
W Cove Rangers 0–2
W Queen of the South 8–0
D East Fife 2–2
W East Kilbride 4–0
W Airdrie United 1–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Hamilton Academical Hamilton Academical
W Queen of the South 4–1
W East Kilbride 0–1
W Cove Rangers 1–0
D East Fife 0–0
W Airdrie United 4–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 47%

Playing profile

Ross County Ross County
Attack
69
Defence
83
Form
75
Hamilton Academical Hamilton Academical
Attack
40
Defence
78
Form
63
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Ross County Ross County 7 19
2 Hamilton Academical Hamilton Academical 7 19
3 Montrose Montrose 8 15
4 East Kilbride East Kilbride 8 13
5 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 8 9
6 Airdrie United Airdrie United 8 9
7 East Fife East Fife 8 8
8 Peterhead Peterhead 8 7
9 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 8 5
10 Queen of the South Queen of the South 8 4
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ross County vs Hamilton Academical?
The model gives Ross County a 47% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 26% for an Hamilton Academical win.
How many goals are expected in Ross County vs Hamilton Academical?
Expected goals: Ross County 3.5, Hamilton Academical 1.3 (total 4.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Ross County vs Hamilton Academical?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.92%.