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Rot-Weiß Essen - FC St. Pauli

DFB Pokal August 23, 2026 18:00
Rot-Weiß Essen
vs
FC St. Pauli
⚡ Pre-match analysis
44.27%
Win
Rot-Weiß Essen
27.77%
Draw
27.96%
Win
FC St. Pauli
1.83
Expected xG
1.25

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.69%)
1X2 Result
1 44%
X 28%
2 28%
Double Chance
1X 72%
X2 56%
12 72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 62%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Rot-Weiß Essen a 44% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 27% for FC St. Pauli. Expected goals are 1.8 for Rot-Weiß Essen and 1.2 for FC St. Pauli (total 3.1), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.69% probability.

Season Stats

Rot-Weiß Essen
0W 0D 1L
FC St. Pauli
1W 2D 1L
Averages per game
0.0
Goals
0.8
1.0
Conceded
1.2
5.0
Shots OT
6.8
2.0
Corners
9.3
34%
Poss.
53%
Percentages
0%
O 1.5
75%
0%
O 2.5
50%
0%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in DFB Pokal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
17%
BTTS
Rot-Weiß Essen
0W 0D 1L · at home
FC St. Pauli
1W 1D 1L · away
0.0
gls/g
0.7
1.0
Conceded
1.3
0%
Win %
33%
0%
Win or Draw
67%
0%
O 1.5
67%
0%
O 2.5
67%
0%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
33%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
100%
Failed to Score
67%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Rot-Weiß Essen FC St. Pauli →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6% 5.7% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 8.4% 10.5% 6.6% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.7% 9.6% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.7% 5.9% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% —

Recent form

Rot-Weiß Essen Rot-Weiß Essen
L Borussia Dortmund 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
L Bayer Leverkusen 3–0
W Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–2
D 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1
D Eintracht Norderstedt 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 15%

Playing profile

Rot-Weiß Essen Rot-Weiß Essen
Attack
47
Defence
66
Form
63
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
Attack
56
Defence
49
Form
61
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC St. Pauli?
The model gives Rot-Weiß Essen a 44% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 27% for an FC St. Pauli win.
How many goals are expected in Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC St. Pauli?
Expected goals: Rot-Weiß Essen 1.8, FC St. Pauli 1.2 (total 3.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC St. Pauli?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.69%.