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Rotherham - Derby

Friendlies Clubs August 04, 2026 20:30
Rotherham
vs
Derby
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.89%
Win
Rotherham
32.82%
Draw
32.28%
Win
Derby
1.07
Expected xG
0.75

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.93%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 33%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 65%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Rotherham a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Derby. Expected goals are 1.1 for Rotherham and 0.8 for Derby (total 1.8), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.93% probability.

Season Stats

Rotherham
3W 2D 1L
Derby
1W 0D 2L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.3
0.7
Conceded
1.7
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
67%
33%
BTTS
67%
50%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 6 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
Rotherham
0W 0D 1L · at home
Derby
1W 0D 1L · away
0.0
gls/g
1.5
2.0
Conceded
1.5
0%
Win %
50%
0%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
50%
0%
O 3.5
50%
0%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
100%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Rotherham Derby →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.2% 12.2% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% —
1 17.3% 13.0% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% —
2 9.2% 6.9% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% —
3 3.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% — —
4 0.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% — —
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Rotherham Rotherham
W Darlington 1883 0–2
L Sheffield Utd 0–2
W Alfreton Town 0–1
D Matlock Town 1–1
D AFC Emley 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 16%
Derby Derby
L Valencia 1–2
L SC Freiburg 3–1
W Alfreton Town 0–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

Rotherham Rotherham
Attack
25
Defence
83
Form
52
Derby Derby
Attack
33
Defence
58
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Rotherham vs Derby?
The model gives Rotherham a 34% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 32% for an Derby win.
How many goals are expected in Rotherham vs Derby?
Expected goals: Rotherham 1.1, Derby 0.8 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Rotherham vs Derby?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.93%.