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Premier League · Regular Season - 10 October 11, 2026 18:30 Ak Bars Arena, Kazan
Rubin
#11 · 12 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Dynamo
#2 · 25 pts
(og) 30' Jakhongir Urozov
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Dynamo a 40% win probability (draw 32%, Rubin 27%). The final result was Rubin 0–1 Dynamo. In 2 previous meetings, Rubin have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Dynamo.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
1
0.87
Actual xG
0.63
1
Saves
3
41%
Possession
59%
3
Corners
3
11
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
30'
(og) Jakhongir Urozov⚽
36'
Ilya Samoshnikov
37'
41'
Juan Caceres
45'
Leon Zaydenzal / Juan Caceres ↕
Ignacio Saavedra
55'
↕ Ignacio Saavedra / Ugochukwu Iwu
61'
↕ Nikita Lobov / Ruslan Bezrukov
61'
64'
Viktor Okishor / Arthur Gomes ↕
64'
Josue Casimir / Yaroslav Gladyshev ↕
↕ Nazmi Gripshi / Ulvi Babaev
78'
↕ Jacques Siwe / Eddie Salcedo
79'
82'
Rubens
82'
86'
Dmitriy Skopintsev / Bitello ↕
86'
Ivan Sergeev / Konstantin Tyukavin ↕
↕ Ilya Rozhkov / Daniil Kuznetsov
86'
Jakhongir Urozov
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
27.29%
Rubin
32.04%
X
40.66%
Dynamo ←
we assigned to the actual result (Dynamo) 40.66% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Rubin
0.61
0.87
+0.26
Dynamo
1.06
0.63
-0.43
xG dominance was balanced (0.87 – 0.63). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Zenit Zenit 12 27
2 Dynamo Dynamo 12 25
3 CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow 12 25
4 FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar 12 23
5 Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow 12 23
6 FC Orenburg FC Orenburg 12 16
7 FC Rostov FC Rostov 12 15
8 Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov 12 15
9 Baltika Baltika 12 14
10 Dinamo Makhachkala Dinamo Makhachkala 12 13
11 Rubin Rubin 12 12
12 Akron Akron 12 12
13 Lokomotiv Lokomotiv 12 11
14 Akhmat Akhmat 12 11
15 Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva 12 9
16 Fakel Fakel 12 6
Lineups
Rubin Rubin 5-4-1
38 E. Staver E. Staver G 5.80
51 I. Rozhkov I. Rozhkov 86' D 6.67
13 J. Urozov J. Urozov 1 ⚽ D 5.07
5 I. Vujačić I. Vujačić D 6.65
98 N. Lobov N. Lobov 61' D 6.05
12 A. Arroyo A. Arroyo D 5.72
11 N. Gripshi N. Gripshi 78' M 6.42
14 I. Saavedra I. Saavedra 61' M 5.89
22 V. Hodža V. Hodža M 6.45
71 I. Samoshnikov I. Samoshnikov 37' M 5.36
43 J. Siwe J. Siwe 79' F 6.32
Bench
27 A. Gritsaenko A. Gritsaenko D 0.00
25 A. Nigmatullin A. Nigmatullin G 0.00
8 B. Jočić B. Jočić M 0.00
44 D. Kuznetsov D. Kuznetsov 4' M 6.21
59 D. N. Motorin D. N. Motorin F 0.00
10 E. Salcedo E. Salcedo 11' F 6.16
2 E. Teslenko E. Teslenko D 0.00
18 M. Ignatjev M. Ignatjev D 0.00
86 N. Korets N. Korets G 0.00
23 R. Bezrukov R. Bezrukov 29' D 6.64
7 U. Babaev U. Babaev 12' F 6.33
6 U. Iwu U. Iwu 29' M 6.83
Dynamo Dynamo 4-2-3-1
99 A. Lunev A. Lunev G 7.03
8 Rubens Rubens 82' D 6.28
57 David Ricardo David Ricardo D 7.59
2 N. Marichal N. Marichal D 7.85
4 J. Cáceres J. Cáceres 45' D 6.29
74 D. Fomin D. Fomin M 6.12
15 D. Glebov D. Glebov M 7.20
11 Arthur Gomes Arthur Gomes 64' M 6.57
10 Bitello Bitello 86' M 6.82
91 Y. Gladyshev Y. Gladyshev 64' M 6.65
70 K. Tyukavin K. Tyukavin 86' F 6.21
Bench
50 A. Kutitskiy A. Kutitskiy M 0.00
21 A. Miranchuk A. Miranchuk M 0.00
7 D. Skopintsev D. Skopintsev 4' D 7.08
31 I. Leshchuk I. Leshchuk G 0.00
33 I. Sergeev I. Sergeev 4' F 6.49
77 J. Casimir J. Casimir 26' F 6.53
1 K. Rasulov K. Rasulov G 0.00
56 L. Zaydenzal L. Zaydenzal 45' D 6.88
28 M. Gutiérrez M. Gutiérrez F 0.00
6 R. Fernández R. Fernández D 0.00
60 T. Marinkin T. Marinkin M 0.00
88 V. Okishor V. Okishor 26' M 6.86
Best on the pitch
N. Marichal
N. Marichal
D · Dynamo
7.85
· 65 pass
David Ricardo
David Ricardo
D · Dynamo
7.59
· 86 pass
D. Glebov
D. Glebov
M · Dynamo
7.20
1 shots · 77 pass
D. Skopintsev
D. Skopintsev
D · Dynamo
7.08
· 3 pass
A. Lunev
A. Lunev
G · Dynamo
7.03
· 32 pass
L. Zaydenzal
L. Zaydenzal
D · Dynamo
6.88
· 30 pass
Rubin Rubin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Staver G 90 5.80 — — 0 30 17% 0 — —
I. Rozhkov D 86 6.67 — — 1 24 18% 2 — —
J. Urozov D 90 5.07 1 — 0 53 39% 1 1 —
I. Vujačić D 90 6.65 — — 0 41 30% 1 — —
N. Lobov D 61 6.05 — — 0 23 17% 1 — —
A. Arroyo D 90 5.72 — — 1 43 30% 2 — —
N. Gripshi M 78 6.42 — — 0 20 15% 1 — —
I. Saavedra M 61 5.89 — — 0 30 24% 0 1 —
V. Hodža M 90 6.45 — — 1 44 36% 1 — —
I. Samoshnikov M 37 5.36 — — 1 6 4% 1 — 1
J. Siwe F 79 6.32 — — 4 16 12% 0 — —
D. Kuznetsov M 4 6.21 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
E. Salcedo F 11 6.16 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
R. Bezrukov D 29 6.64 — — 2 16 6% 1 — —
U. Babaev F 12 6.33 — — 1 6 5% 0 — —
U. Iwu M 29 6.83 — — 1 27 25% 0 — —
Dynamo Dynamo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Lunev G 90 7.03 — — 0 32 22% 0 — —
Rubens D 82 6.28 — — 2 74 57% 4 — 1
David Ricardo D 90 7.59 — — 0 86 75% 1 — —
N. Marichal D 90 7.85 — — 0 65 59% 1 — —
J. Cáceres D 45 6.29 — — 0 26 16% 2 1 —
D. Fomin M 90 6.12 — — 0 40 33% 4 — —
D. Glebov M 90 7.20 — — 1 77 72% 0 — —
Arthur Gomes M 64 6.57 — — 0 20 18% 0 — —
Bitello M 86 6.82 — — 0 50 40% 2 — —
Y. Gladyshev M 64 6.65 — — 2 18 15% 0 — —
K. Tyukavin F 86 6.21 — — 1 17 8% 0 — —
D. Skopintsev D 4 7.08 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
I. Sergeev F 4 6.49 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
J. Casimir F 26 6.53 — — 2 14 12% 0 — —
L. Zaydenzal D 45 6.88 — — 0 30 24% 1 — —
V. Okishor M 26 6.86 — — 1 16 13% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rubin vs Dynamo?
The final score was Rubin 0–1 Dynamo.
What did the model predict before Rubin vs Dynamo?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Rubin win, 32% to a draw, and 40% to an Dynamo win.