Rubin - Spartak Moscow
Cup
August 19, 2026 17:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.23%
Win
Rubin
33.41%
Draw
30.37%
Win
Spartak Moscow
1.24
1.03
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(15.44%)
1X2 Result
1
36%
X
33%
2
30%
Double Chance
1X
70%
X2
64%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
83%
Over 2.5
66%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Rubin a 36% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 30% for Spartak Moscow. Expected goals are 1.2 for Rubin and 1.0 for Spartak Moscow (total 2.3), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 15.44% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Rubin have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Spartak Moscow.
Season Stats
1W
3D
3L
8W
3D
2L
Averages per game
0.7
Goals
1.8
1.3
Conceded
1.1
Percentages
57%
O 1.5
77%
29%
O 2.5
54%
14%
BTTS
62%
43%
Clean Sht
38%
ℹ
Based on the last 13 matches in Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
42%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
1W
1D
1L
· at home
4W
1D
1L
· away
1.7
gls/g
2.0
1.3
Conceded
1.5
33%
Win %
67%
67%
Win or Draw
83%
67%
O 1.5
83%
33%
O 2.5
67%
33%
O 3.5
50%
33%
BTTS
67%
33%
Clean Sht
33%
33%
Failed to Score
17%
last 6
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Rubin
Spartak Moscow →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.4% | 10.7% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.9% | 13.2% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 8.0% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | — |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Rubin
Attack
35
Defence
69
Form
51
Spartak Moscow
Attack
34
Defence
78
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Rubin vs Spartak Moscow?
The model gives Rubin a 36% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 30% for an Spartak Moscow win.
How many goals are expected in Rubin vs Spartak Moscow?
Expected goals: Rubin 1.2, Spartak Moscow 1.0 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Rubin vs Spartak Moscow?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.44%.